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Category: Trend Following

Trend Following and The Financial Times

Posted on by Michael Covel

Consider the helter skelter world of The Financial Times:

September 7, 2014 7:02 am
Trend-following hedge funds’ future in doubt
By Madison Marriage

September 16, 2014 7:37 pm
‘Trend-following’ algo funds back in fashion
By Miles Johnson

Perhaps, FT has other value, but reporting accurately on trend following is not part of their skill set.

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Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Trend Following Goes for the Middle Meat

Posted on by Michael Covel

Consider an illustration that can make you rich:

trend following chart

Trend following does not pick bottoms or tops. You always get into a trend late, and get out late. You cannot predict a trend. That chart might not seem like a great strategy at first glance, but it is the foundation of one of the most profitable insights in the history of market speculation: capture the middle meat and you can make a fortune.

How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

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• Frequently Asked Questions
• Performance
• Research
• Markets to Trade
• Crisis Times
• Trading Technology
• About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 281: Vineer Bhansali Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Vineer Bhansali
Vineer Bhansali

My guest today is Vineer Bhansali, the managing director and portfolio manager at PIMCO. His most recent book is “Tail Risk Hedging”. He has 24 years of investment experience and holds a Ph.D. in theoretical particle physics from Harvard University.

The topic is Trend Following.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • “Trend Following Through The Rates Cycle”
  • Trend following in the classical sense
  • How trend following started to become part of the discussion at PIMCO
  • Introducing new ideas to PIMCO, corporate culture, and to clients
  • The three hypotheses tested in “Trend Following Through The Rates Cycle”
  • Currency trading and trend following returns
  • Why larger trend following shops may have trouble getting into smaller markets
  • Trend following across a diversified portfolio and classical trend following approaches
  • Connecting Bhansali’s hobbies to the quantitative world
  • Structure and thinking in terms of code
  • Imagining and building simulations
  • Being distribution aware
  • Why being at all-time highs is not the time to feel satisfied

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Vineer Bhansali: 10 Things My Hobbies Have Taught Me About Investing

Posted on by Michael Covel

Vineer Bhansali’s interesting paper (PDF) mentioned in our podcast.

Note: Used with permission from Pacific Investment Management Company LLC.

How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

• Trend Following Podcast Guests
• Frequently Asked Questions
• Performance
• Research
• Markets to Trade
• Crisis Times
• Trading Technology
• About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 278: Larry Swedroe Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Larry Swedroe
Larry Swedroe

My guest today is Larry Swedroe, a Buckingham Asset Management principal. He is also a principal and co-founder of BAM Advisor Services, LLC, and serves as the director of research for both entities. Swedroe has authored or co-authored fourteen books and comes at investing from an evidence-based approach.

The topic is outside the box market perspectives.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Forecasters and prediction
  • The three types of forecasters
  • Confirmation bias
  • How your political affiliation might change your willingness to listen to forecasts
  • Value perspective vs. momentum perspective
  • The anomaly of momentum
  • The evidence-based thinking approach
  • Momentum trading in 2008
  • How Swedroe prepares for the unexpected
  • Not treating the unlikely like it’s impossible
  • Managing your risk
  • Process vs. outcome
  • The equity risk premium and bear markets
  • Commonplace crises
  • Planning ahead
  • Diversification attempts to get outside of equities

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Nice Work Sir!

Posted on by Michael Covel

Podcast feedback:

Since discovering your podcasts, I have not gotten much else done. Nice work sir.

A fun comment from Brad Rotter (a guest!).

How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

• Trend Following Podcast Guests
• Frequently Asked Questions
• Performance
• Research
• Markets to Trade
• Crisis Times
• Trading Technology
• About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Trend Following: Freedom and Opportunity

Posted on by Michael Covel

Feedback in:

Greetings Michael, My name is [Name] and I am a relatively new investor/trader. I have been unsuccessfully trading the stock market since early 2012. I have approximately $30K invested in the stock market and have seen that investment go down by $6K twice including today’s massive sell-off as well as up $8K twice. For some reason i keep making the same mistakes and I would appreciate some help with sticking to some rules. I really see myself as a trend follower because the stock market is very unpredictable. I would love for some help and guidance with this. I actually just finished your interview with Kevin Bruce and my goal in achieving high returns in the stock market is for “Freedom” and opportunity for various choices. I follow tweets from both you and Jon Boorman.

Regards,
[Name]

My options: books and podcast. Great place to start. Also, for more hand holding: go.

How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

• Trend Following Podcast Guests
• Frequently Asked Questions
• Performance
• Research
• Markets to Trade
• Crisis Times
• Trading Technology
• About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.