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Category: Interviews

Ep. 375: Mark Sleeman Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Mark Sleeman
Mark Sleeman

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My guest today is Mark Sleeman, the managing director and founder of M.S. Capital Management Limited (“MS”). Mark lives in Auckland, New Zealand and holds an honours degree in Mechanical Engineering (1985) from Auckland university. With over 30 years of trading and research, Mark has extensive experience in trading system design and implementation. Mark is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and is a member of the National Futures Association, as the principal and associated person of MS.

The topic is Trend Following.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio:

  • The fallacy of “buy low, sell high”
  • The psychology of trading
  • Keeping your losses small
  • The importance of maintaining a life
  • Focusing on the strategy, not the instrument
  • Understanding that patience has to be learned

“You’ve gotta be robust because you’re gonna see good markets and you’re gonna see bad markets. I’ve certainly seen both, and expect to see more of both.” – Mark Sleeman

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Ep. 373: Lasse Pedersen interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Lasse Pedersen
Lasse Pedersen

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My guest today is Lasse Pedersen, a finance professor at Copenhagen Business School, principal at AQR Capital Management, and author of the new book “Efficiently Inefficient”. Pedersen earned his Ph.D. in finance from Stanford University and has over a decade of experience in the industry.

The topic is Trend Following.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio:

  • Discretionary vs. quantitative trading
  • The importance of sticking to your financial plan
  • The various investment styles of the successful
  • How reflexivity affects market prices
  • Backtesting to identify effective investment strategy
  • The role of hedge funds

“I think that good quant investment managers can really be thought of as financial economists who’ve codified their beliefs into a repeatable process. They are distinguished by their diversification, sticking to their process with discipline, and the ability to engineer portfolio characteristics.” – Cliff Asness

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Ep. 368: Taylor Pearson Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Taylor Pearson
Taylor Pearson

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My guest today is Taylor Pearson, the author of the #1 Amazon best selling book The End of Jobs. Pearson has spent the last several years researching and traveling the world and talking to successful entrepreneurs, which inspired him to write the book.

The topic is his book The End of Jobs: Money, Meaning and Freedom Without the 9-to-5.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • How entrepreneurship is becoming safer than jobs
  • Why college degrees are getting more expensive and less valuable
  • The importance of relationships and your network in business
  • Why the occupy movement was flawed from the start
  • Not seeking permission to do something you want to do
  • How the perceptions of risk in our society are wrong
  • Choosing a path in life that has meaning to you

“Resources or opportunities are illegible or not clearly defined at the same time that they are most profitable” – Taylor Pearson

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Ep. 365: Chris Clarke Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Chris Clarke
Chris Clarke

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My guest today is Chris Clarke, ex-Goldman Sachs executive director and founder of Lawrence Clarke Investment Management. Clarke has been developing trading systems for decades.

The topic is Trend Following.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Trusting the system once you choose it
  • Being prepared to trade no matter which way the markets go
  • The importance of edge, and why gamblers lose
  • Looking at the math behind trading strategies
  • Understanding “market truths”
  • Drawdowns vs. risks

“The desire to maximize the number of winning trades (or minimize the number of losing trades) works against the trader. The success rate of trades is the least important performance statistic and may even be inversely related to performance.” – William Eckhardt

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Ep. 363: Blair Hull Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Blair Hull
Blair Hull

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My guest today is Blair Hull. Hull founded Hull Investments, LLC in 1999 and currently serves as the firm’s Chairman. He created Hull Tactical Asset Allocation, LLC, a registered investment advisor, in 2013. HTAA operates an actively managed ETF and utilizes advanced algorithms as well as macro and technical indicators to anticipate future market returns. Prior to launching Hull Tactical Asset Allocation, LLC, he was the founder of Hull Trading Company and served as that firm’s Chairman and Chief Executive Officer.

The topics are blackjack and stock trading.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • The importance of having a strategy and sticking to it
  • Why money management and discipline are key to trading success
  • Objectivity vs. emotions in blackjack and stock trading
  • Choosing the right markers and variables
  • Consumption as a function of income and wealth
  • The future of market prediction and machine learning

“We get fearful at the wrong times, we get greedy at the wrong times, when we have to stick to a specific plan.” – Blair Hull

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Ep. 361: Francisco Vaca Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Francisco Vaca
Francisco Vaca

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My guest today is Francisco Vaca. Vaca can be called a second generation turtle trader. He worked with Richard Dennis at C & D Commodities, and for the last 15 years has been closely associated with Paul Rabar. He is now the Co-Chief Investment Officer at Rabar Market Research. Before he became a trader, Vaca was a particle physicist and worked at the famous Fermi lab. This is not an insignificant fact, as his background in mathematics and statistics became very useful in his career as a trader.

The topic is Trend Following.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • The importance of distinguishing between long term and short term track records
  • “Alpha” and “beta” trading strategies
  • How the holding period length affects the risk-reward profile and return streaks
  • The benefits of diversification across different holding times
  • Using high frequency trading technology in long term trend following
  • How correlations are often misinterpreted
  • Knowing the limitations of your tools

“The best performing system historically is not necessarily the best system going forward” – Francisco Vaca

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Ep. 359: Campbell Harvey Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Campbell Harvey
Campbell Harvey

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My guest today is Campbell Harvey, a finance professor at Duke university, and research associate with the National Bureau of Economic Research in Massachusetts. His research papers on these subjects have been published in many scientific journals.

The topic is Trend Following.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Survivorship bias, and not being fooled by randomness
  • Why people with higher risk tolerance experience much higher upsides
  • Understanding process vs. outcome
  • The difference between volatility and skew
  • The importance of recognizing that asset returns are rarely “normally distributed”
  • When it is appropriate to apply a general framework, and when it is not
  • The Sharpe ratio – is it always relevant?
  • Harry Markowitz, Jim Simons, and Nassim Taleb

“These people that are taking a lot of risk, with enough luck, will rise to the top. The person that is risk-averse is stuck in the middle” – Campbell Harvey

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