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Dave Ramsey, Rick Edelman & the Anal Probing of Investors

A reader writes:

Hey Mike. Davie [name] Here. You know Mike, there is something that I keep hearing from two of the most prominent financial advisers in the country and it drives me crazy every time I hear it. I can’t understand how two men who are obvious very intelligent and gifted can be so ignorant of the truth. The two men are Dave Ramsey, and Rick Edelman. I have heard them both on more than one occasion in which they were promoting their buy and hold philosophies that there are no “market timers in the forbes 400 wealthiest list”. Then they go on they point out that “however, the number 2 guy on the list, Warren Buffet is a long term buy and hold guy”. This just drives me crazy Mike because it simply isn’t true and two men who are “experts” in money ought to know better. Sure there is one guy who claims to be a buy and holder on the list named Warren Buffet though as you have pointed out, he really may not have built the bulk of that wealth through classic buy and hold strategies. But that’s beside the point. The point is that of course there are many many more than that one guy who are on that same list who are indeed market timers which is just a fancy word for trader. What is it with Ramsey and Edelman Mike? Have they not heard of George Soros, or Ray Dalio, or T Boone Pickens, Stevie Cohen, James Simons, Paul Tudor Jones, Stephen Feinberg, Bruce Kovner, Eddie Lampert, David Shaw, Louis Bacon, Jeffrey Gendell, Stephen Mandel, Israel Englander, Richard Perry, David Tepper, Stanley Drunkenmiller, William Von Mueffling, John Arnold, John Paulson, or Julian Robertson??? I could go on. All of these guys to my knowledge are billionaires whose net worth is high enough to be qualify for the Forbes 400 list. And that’s not to mention the hoards of “market timers” who may not be wealthy enough to be on the list but certainly are among the top one tenth of one percent of the world wealthiest individuals. Men such as Boaz Weinstein, or Bill Dunn. You know Mike, I can name a heck of a lot more super wealthy “market timers” than I can long term buy and holders. The only super wealthy buy and holders I can name are Warren Buffet and Peter Lynch. It really annoys me that Dave Ramsey and Rick Edelman continue to claim that no one can make any money by trading. It simply isn’t true. I was the guy who sent you the article from yahoo news about the guy who lost in faith in the market. If you read that article, you would have noticed that near the end of the article, they pointed out that the man they highlighted in the article had lost about 90% of his money and only had $800K left. Unbelievable Mike! You talk about taking a 50% draw down with buy and hold! This guy was a multimillionaire with about $8 million in his retirement account, and his buy and hold strategy combined with obvious additional poor choices resulted in him losing about $7.2 million dollars! Meanwhile, these “market timers” I mentioned above had their net worths rise and rise and rise through the past few years. I know this because, I remember reading about many of them in trader monthly magazine back in 2006 and many of them had not even accumulated a billion dollar net worth by then and now most of them are multi billionaires. I really wish Ramsey and Edelman would educate themselves more on this issue before they speak. There! I’m done ranting! I love ya man!

Thanks Davie, but Ramsey and Edelman do what they do on purpose. Very much on purpose. It’s up to everyone out there to figure out their motivations for misleading. Hints for their “why” can be found here: Dave Ramsey 5 foundations.


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Ep. 96: Critical Thinking with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Critical Thinking with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Critical Thinking with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Please enjoy my monologue Critical Thinking the Trend Following Way with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

Listen to this episode:

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Finding A Starting Point

Feedback in:

Mr. Covel, I just ordered your free DVD. Have you written a book that goes over your early beginnings in trading, your early thought processes, your early tinkering and experimenting and the steps you went through to that got you to your goals? I am so overwhelmed in my goal of being a successful trader I feel I need to start from the beginning. Just this weekend finished a ‘Rich Dad’ seminar and I am one of quite a few that did not ‘buy in’ right away. Not taking anything away from his program, it was just too much too quick to think about and do and I decided to wait awhile and do more of my own research. We are going to start an investment club here locally. I am tired of thinking “The Machine” is going to take care of me. I have committed to taking my own retirement funds to a new level. And the good thing is I still have a little time (I am 55). Let me know if you have written the above, or something close. Thanks a lot.
Tom G.
Colorado Springs, CO

Tom, all 4 of my books have bits and pieces of a story in them. See here.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Success… As It Really Works Out


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 95: Chris Kacher and Gil Morales Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Chris Kacher and Gil Morales
Chris Kacher and Gil Morales

My guests today are Chris Kacher and Gil Morales.

Kacher is the co-founder of TriQuantum Technologies, holding company for KJA wherein he is lead portfolio manager. Dr. Kacher’s metrics have called every major top & bottom in bitcoin since 2011 to within a few weeks of the top. He was up in 2018 vs the average performing crypto hedge fund at -54% (PwC).

Morales was personally recruited by Bill O’Neil himself to join William O’Neil + Company, Inc. as a Vice -President and Manager of the Institutional Services Division, responsible for advising over 600 institutional investor clients, and as an internal portfolio manager responsible for managing a portion of the firm’s proprietary, internal assets. From 1997 to 2005 he achieved a return of approximately 2100% in his portion of the firm’s proprietary account. In 2004 he was named Chief Market Strategist at William O’Neil + Company, Inc.

The topic is their book In The Trading Cockpit with the O’Neil Disciples: Strategies that Made Us 18,000% in the Stock Market.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • The “O.W.L.” ethos, and the story behind it
  • Reversion to the mean mentality, and how it can often be the kiss of death for traders and investors
  • Trading psychology, the idea that “you must lose to win”, how the least important statistic is your percentage of gains v. losses in your trading account
  • Dealing with emotionalism and why clients often want to hear something that will make them feel better
  • Teaching people to let go of the news and simply watch the price action
  • Why people think that “this time is different”, put their trust in the central economy, and why trend following will survive into the future
  • Understanding that investing is always a process of changing along the way
  • What mental clutter in the way of fears, biases, concerns and more can build up in the mind and get in the way of clear and decisive decision-making

Listen to this episode:

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Choppy Market Navigation?

Feedback in:

Hi Michael, I met you at Tim Sykes Conference this year. I am interested to know more about your trend following strategies. Are they applicable in today’s choppy market environment and can we apply it to options trading with time decay working against us with the simple calls n puts? –Monique C.

Time decay is an issue for regular options. But as a trend trader you won’t be trading regular options–just LEAPs options–and time decay is not the issue there.

Choppy markets? One can never predict when a market will be choppy or not. You need a strategy for all markets conditions and trend following fits the bill. It won’t make money during the chop, but it will aim to lose less. Sometimes minimizing losses is much more important v. trying to make money. You can only take what the market gives.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 94: Tushar Chande Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Tushar Chande
Tushar Chande

My guest today is Tushar Chande, a trader, author,co-founder and head of research at Rho Asset Management in Switzerland. Chande has had a long and distinguished career in technical analysis; he brings a unique perspective on how to look at the markets as a trend following trader. He came to America and earned his Ph.D. in metallurgical engineering from the University of Illinois in 1984. 

The topic is Trend Following.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Early influences, and chart the journey from his days as an engineering student to his accomplishments as a systematic trend following trader
  • Analogy between sports and trading, how the best sportsmen rely on having a stable and predictable environment (unlike the markets)
  • Evaluating performance within the context of the market
  • Discretionary trading v. systematic trading
  • Learning through “trial and terror”
  • The Rho Trend Barometer and the ability to quantify the environment
  • The problem of indexes
  • The Sharpe ratio
  • The importance of market movement to trend following trading
  • “The black box disease”
  • Trusting your system
  • Cognitive biases
  • The benefit of the “black swan” and outlier events and why these events are so beneficial to a trend following system
  • Whether “one-hundred Ph.D.’s are better than one”

Listen to this episode:

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