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Ep. 389: Joey Yap Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Joey Yap
Joey Yap

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Please enjoy my monologue Logic Over Faith with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio:

  • Experts: get close to them and learn
  • You can’t predict the future, you can only see patterns
  • If you don’t like your destiny, go the other direction
  • Change your environment, change your life
  • Corporate culture: an energy determined by leaders
  • You don’t have to invent – fix something

“There are two kinds of people. People who make things complex, and people who simplify.” – Joey Yap

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Ep. 387: Gabriel Weinberg Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Gabriel Weinberg
Gabriel Weinberg

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My guest today is Gabriel Weinberg, the CEO and Founder of DuckDuckGo, a search engine. What sets DuckDuckGo apart from other search engines is the privacy that it guarantees its users. DuckDuckGo promises to never track a user’s clicks, or use previous searchers to aid current results. Since creating it 11 years ago, his engine has reached 30 million searches a day in 2018, up 50% from a year before, and is poised to grow even faster since Google added DuckDuckGo as a default search-engine option in its latest Chrome browser in more than 60 markets in March 2019.

The topic is startup entrepreneur.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Reaching your goal, then setting another
  • Resilience: vital to the entrepreneur
  • Committing to your idea
  • Psychology: the main barrier to success
  • Understanding that it’s okay to fail
  • Enjoy the challenge – or go do something else

“And so if you think of your initial product as a leaky bucket – you know, you pour in customers at the top and customers leak out of the bucket because your product’s not good yet…You need a steady stream of cold customers with fresh eyes to tell you where those leaks are, and if you don’t have that when you launch you’re still gonna have leaks more of the time than not.” – Gabriel Weinberg

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The Annie Duke Episode: Poker and Trend Following

Posted on by Michael Covel

There are many correlations between trading and poker. Consider this excerpt from my best selling, Trend Following:

In the book Absolute Returns, Alexander Ineichen stresses that trading is a “game.” He sees no rules for the game except the constant of change, but more importantly, he reminds us that it is crucial to avoid becoming the “game.” There are three types of players in the game:

• Those who know they are in the game.
• Those who don’t know they are in the game.
• Those who don’t know they are in the game and have become the game.

If, within a half of an hour of playing poker (or trading for that matter), you don’t know who the patsy is, you’re the patsy, or as Ineichen calls it “the game.” I have introduced those traders who didn’t know they were in the game and therefore became the game in the big events of the Long Term Capital Management hedge fund implosion, the Barings Bank collapse, and the October 2008 market crash. I introduced those traders and investors who did not know they were in the game pursuing Holy Grails that never panned out. And I introduced trend followers who knew they were in a game and brought an edge to the table every time they played. If you know trading is a game and you want to be a part of it, these are stark choices.

—

Recently I had Annie Duke on my podcast. She is an author, entrepreneur and professional poker player. We discussed several ways in which the psychology of gambling overlaps with that of trading, investment and other aspects of business. The following is brief feedback from that interview:

Mike, loved, loved, loved the Annie Duke episode. My favorite one yet. GREAT STUFF! [Name]

Thanks! More on gaming and betting? Go.

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Ep. 386: Expanding Your Thinking with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Expanding Your Thinking with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Expanding Your Thinking with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

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Please enjoy my monologue Expanding Your Thinking with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio:

  • Why embracing uncertainty pays big
  • Trend following: it’s human nature
  • Losses: acceptable when you strategize to cover them
  • The sunk cost fallacy
  • Opening your mind to alternative ways of thinking
  • The mistake of blindly accepting the word of “authorities”

“I remind you there is a new kind of special occupation. I refuse to call it a discipline or a field of study. It’s called futurism. The notion here is that there is a way to study trends and know what the future holds. That would indeed be valuable if it were possible. But it isn’t possible. Futurists don’t know any more about the future than you or I. Read their magazines from a couple years ago and you’ll see an endless parade of error.” – Michael Crichton

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Ep. 384: Living by Your Own Rules with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Living by Your Own Rules with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Living by Your Own Rules with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Subscribe to Trend Following Radio on iTunes

Please enjoy my monologue Living by Your Own Rules with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio:

  • Good decision-making through clarity
  • Examining identity politics
  • Operating under your own rules
  • Political correctness: it’s about agendas
  • Good trading means using your system and your mind
  • The importance of staying focused

“We’ve been crippled by social security, Medicare, Medicaid, by welfare, by entitlements. And that is the root of the problem. Entitlements. Let me be clear…You are entitled to nothing.” – Frank Underwood

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Get the foundation to making money in up, down and *surprise markets on the Trend Following mailing list.

Ep. 382: Dissecting Duplicity with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel

Dissecting Duplicity with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Subscribe to Trend Following Radio on iTunes

Please enjoy my monologue Dissecting Duplicity with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio:

  • Trend following: a system, not a theory
  • Opinions are worthless without strategy
  • The mainstream media’s continued attacks on trend following
  • No one knows the future – embrace the idea
  • Theories are conjecture
  • Focus on the now – that’s the indicator

“So there is a bubble element to what we see, but I’m not sure the current situation is a classic bubble, because I’m not certain that most people have extravagant expectations.” – Robert Shiller

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Want to learn more Trend Following? Watch my video here.

Get the foundation to making money in up, down and *surprise markets on the Trend Following mailing list.

Ep. 381: Ben Whately Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Ben Whately
Ben Whately

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My guest today is Ben Whately, a serial entrepreneur and education innovator. While studying Experimental Psychology at Oxford, Ben became fascinated by the ways that our brains learn. After graduating, he moved to Qiqihaer, a remote city in northern China. He is a memory expert and Memrise co-founder.

The topic is memory.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Memory, a composite of previously formed memories
  • How memories are encoded in the brain
  • To the brain, remembering equals imagining
  • How the most effective way to teach is to be entertaining
  • Technology, and how it affects our views on memory

“People have this experience of being taught to memorize something, and the way they’re taught to memorize it is through sheer boredom, when in fact the most effective way to memorize it is to make it entertaining.” – Ben Whately

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