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Tag: covel

Trend Following Goes By Many Names

Posted on by Michael Covel

Feedback in:

Hi Michael, I just sent you a friend request, I don’t really use Facebook, not very schooled up on appropriate. Facebook told me I should know you personally to friend you…guess I’ll find out.

You’re on it. I have been listening to you for the past couple months and all I have to say is AMEN brother. Trend following has always been my goal though it hasn’t been until recently I knew it as “trend following”. I’d love to chat sometime but I know you’re a busy guy bringing to light the best for a lot of people.

Learning/trading/systems testing has been my life for the last year and a half. Lonely…nobody gets it. And yet, they are all heading for the same inevitable retirement scenario…there isn’t one, at least for your conventional 9-5er’s. I could rant, but you know it already…

At the sure chance I’ll be preaching to the choir, I would love to hear something on managing 401k’s from a trend following perspective. There are some interesting challenges in 401K’s. Holding periods/penalties and most only offer a specific list of investment options. This is something I am currently beginning to work on for mine and my wife’s retirement accounts, I am sure I can increase the returns with backtested timing models.

Anyway, thanks for your work.

Justin

Welcome! Some retirement information on the podcast in the near future. Good point.

How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

• Trend Following Podcast Guests
• Frequently Asked Questions
• Performance
• Research
• Markets to Trade
• Crisis Times
• Trading Technology
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Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 220: Victor Sperandeo Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Victor Sperandeo
Victor Sperandeo


My guest today is Victor Sperandeo, known as “Trader Vic”, a US trader, index developer, and financial commentator. He serves as the President and CEO of Alpha Financial Technologies, LLC (AFT), is a founding partner of EAM Partners L.P., and serves as the President and CEO of its general partner, EAM Corporation.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Recent public policy directions
  • Trading against your public policy interests
  • Zero interest rate policy
  • Whether the S&P is a “bribe”
  • The Fed mandate to keep stocks from falling and to stop volatility
  • The wealth effect
  • Why the stock market going up is a very poor instrument to fix the economy
  • The trend towards socialism
  • Sperandeo’s experience working with George Soros
  • Sperandeo’s experience with the DTI index
  • lack swans and the effects of large, catastrophic events on the market; why the only way to protect yourself is extreme diversification; volatility balancing; and Sperandeo’s experience as a young man and how he came into the trading world

Listen to this episode:

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The Psychology of Losing

Posted on by Michael Covel

Feedback in:

Mike. Are you ever returning to San Diego? How is yoga and world travels? Here is a quote from a guy that has sold millions of books and truly just about sums up the masses and the psychology of losing: “If you made money in 2008, you did something wrong” from Ben Stein. Ok, thought you would get a kick out of it.

Joe C.

I used that quote to start my Little Book of Trading released summer 2011.

I’m in Asia now and the yoga is great!

How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

• Trend Following Podcast Guests
• Frequently Asked Questions
• Performance
• Research
• Markets to Trade
• Crisis Times
• Trading Technology
• About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 219: Carl Richards Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Carl Richards
Carl Richards

My guest today is Carl Richards, a Certified Financial Planner and creator of the Sketch Guy column, appearing weekly in The New York Times since 2010. Carl has also been featured on Marketplace Money, Oprah.com, and Forbes.com.

The topic is finance.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Richards’ new radio venture
  • How Richards came to start The Behavior Gap
  • Outliers, and living your own bell curve
  • Risk on a daily, weekly, and monthly basis
  • The definition of radical self-awareness
  • Mindfulness and awareness as applied to our financial decisions
  • Habit, action, feeling, and thought
  • Simplicity and effectiveness
  • Government intervention in the markets
  • Quantitative easing
  • Buy and hold in Japan
  • Loss aversion and the pain of loss
  • Feeling loss more than the joy of gain

Listen to this episode:

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carl-richards-behavior-gap

Ep. 218: Sam Polk Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Sam Polk
Sam Polk

My guest today is Sam Polk, a former wall street banker who walked away after making millions. Today, Polk runs a non-profit to help the poor understand nutrition. However, his op-ed is definitely controversial.

The topic is his op-ed For The Love of Money. 

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • The intensity surrounding the reaction to Polk’s op-ed piece
  • Reactions from friends and colleagues about the article
  • Envy and jealousy in the Wall Street world
  • Polk’s background and life growing up
  • Filtering cultural messages
  • The line between individual responsibility and being part of a system
  • Crony capitalism
  • Power dynamics
  • The mythology of risk-taking in America
  • The solution for the investment banks out there
  • Polk’s non-profit which he runs today

Listen to this episode:

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sam-polk

Ep. 217: Risk, Reward and The Process with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Risk, Reward and The Process with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Risk, Reward and The Process with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Please enjoy my monologue Risk, Reward and The Process with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

Listen to this episode:

Want to learn more Trend Following? Watch my video here.

—-
More on Malcolm Gladwell & Nassim Taleb can be found here.

New Trend Following Chinese Trader

Posted on by Michael Covel

A recent exchange:

Yuhui: When knowing that if someone strictly uses a trading system that its mathematical expectation is positive in a long time then he will get profit, but a question suddenly came to my mind: What will happen if everyone trades like this? Although in your book[s] you have listed several reasons why there are always many people won’t be the trend traders, but [a] positive math expectation trading system can be easily written to the computer and automatically executed by the computers now. Meanwhile, It’s said that this kind automatic trading system is already generally used in the futures market. I want to know what do you think how trend-trading will [perform] when in this condition. What’s more, I’m wondering about how your life is currently. As a successful trader are you living a free and relaxing life, or busy in dealing with the matter of your company. Finally, if possible, expecting the trend-following DVD, my address is [address] and my telephone number is [#], and my name is Yuhui (喻 辉).

Covel: My five books outline why not everyone will become a trend following trader. It’s often against human nature and people dislike drawdowns. They seem more comfortable with black swans that wipe it out all (their accounts that is). You can follow my life here: podcast.

Yuhui: Thanks for replying. Have read your books again and again and some story impressed me very much. Also read the reason you list why not everyone become a trend following trader. But once upon a time I read a book and remembering that the introduction of the author saying that his average income of programming automatic futures trading system can be up to 8% per month. So I just have an idea that what if everyone trades like him in the market? Maybe this condition will never happen because people are easy to be influenced by the cognitive bias in the trading, but somehow I still feel confused about this. And here is my address in Chinese and English.

Covel: 8% a month? Not a wise goal. That will not happen on a consistent basis that you can count on.

How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

• Trend Following Podcast Guests
• Frequently Asked Questions
• Performance
• Research
• Markets to Trade
• Crisis Times
• Trading Technology
• About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.