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Ep. 445: Parag Khanna Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Parag Khanna
Parag Khanna

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My guest today is Parag Khanna, an international relations expert, a CNN Global Contributor and Senior Research Fellow at the National University of Singapore. He is also the Managing Partner of Hybrid Reality, a geostrategic advisory firm, and Co-Founder & CEO of Factotum.

The topic is his book Connectography: Mapping the Future of Global Civilization.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio:

  • Supply chains
  • Connectivity
  • Cities vs. State
  • Chinese infrastructure growth
  • Trade
  • Trust among China’s neighbors
  • Territory borders
  • Globalization
  • Winners and losers in the 21st century
  • The idea of “not in my backyard”
  • Growth of Dubai

“The truth is that winners and losers in the 21st century will be determined by old versus new. Not any of these ideological things. Who has newer and better stuff and is able to maximize the utility of that stuff to improve the welfare of their population.” – Parag Khanna

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More Feedback on the China Experience

Posted on by Michael Covel

Feedback in:

Hi Michael,

I enjoyed your monologue 358 on Beijing visit very much and could not agree more on being on the ground and be more sensitive to the local customs and norms. I would like to get a copy of the free DVD and would appreciate it if you could send to my address below: (I am a subscriber to your website but it seems to reject me sending feedback message).

[Address]

Best regards
[Name]

Thanks!

How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

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• Frequently Asked Questions
• Performance
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Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

“Good grief Mike… What did you tell our Chinese friends?”

Posted on by Michael Covel

Feedback in (heavy sarcasm):

Good grief Mike…

What did you tell our Chinese friends?

Buy all time highs… with a stop!

Check…

Let’s hope the Chinese government will honor those STOPs. There’s a lesson there somewhere. I’m really enjoying your podcasts. Personally, I’m having trouble managing my clients’ monies in this whipsaw market. My STOPs are going off like firecrackers and then I watch the market spring back up. Most of my clients are in fee accounts so commissions aren’t killing them but the whipsaws are. Frustrating, but it ain’t supposed to be easy is it? I clearly need to use more non-equity ETFs. My model is way too seat-of-the pants and I need a true system.

I do appreciate you understanding that there do exist financial advisors like myself who do not subscribe to the buy and hope, multi-mutual fund nonsense propagated by the big bank-owned firms. I’m trying like crazy to use trend following as a bedrock approach to managing the risk of my clients and capturing the maximum gain. I suspect there’s a much higher percentage of trend following advisors at independent firms like [name] vs. Merrill Lynch. As a former [name] (I’m originally an [name] advisor) advisor, I know first-hand the amount of Kool-Aid being swilled.

Thanks again for all you do,
[Name]

Thanks!

Read about Fund Advisor Mark Kritzman.

How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

• Trend Following Podcast Guests
• Frequently Asked Questions
• Performance
• Research
• Markets to Trade
• Crisis Times
• Trading Technology
• About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Trend Following Feedback from China

Posted on by Michael Covel

Feedback in:

Dear Michael Covel:

您好！我读了您的趋势戒律 和趋势跟踪感觉非常震
撼 ，让我明白了为什么我之前总是亏损！我是一个初学者，对金融投资一点不
懂，但是我有一颗上进的心！想通过自己的努力摆脱目前的经济困境！非常的感
谢您！我 英语不是很好，不知道您能否收到我的邮件，我看了这两本书后 疑惑
很多 ，感觉趋势是有 但是它就像空气一样摸不得看不到，很让我纠结！来自中
国青岛的读者–感谢您！希望能在不就的将来见到您，继续聆听您的指导！谢谢
谢谢 GOOD LUCK!

Thanks for the nice words. Google translate helps! Have you read my books in Chinese? See here.

How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

• Trend Following Podcast Guests
• Frequently Asked Questions
• Performance
• Research
• Markets to Trade
• Crisis Times
• Trading Technology
• About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 360: Pas de Dough with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Pas de Dough with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Pas de Dough with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Subscribe to Trend Following Radio on iTunes

Please enjoy my monologue “Pas de Dough” with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio:

  • What trend following and dancing have in common
  • The philosophical foundations of trend following
  • Stock trading and location independence
  • Why relying on “fundamentals” is fool’s gold
  • What being a silent partner in the trend means
  • Why Darvas’ thinking from 1959 still applies today
  • The importance of having no ego when it comes to trading

“The only sound reason for my buying a stock is that it is rising in price. If that is happening, no other reason is required. If that is not happening, no other reason is worth considering” —Nicolas Darvas

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Have a question or comment about this episode? Post it below.

New Trend Following Chinese Trader

Posted on by Michael Covel

A recent exchange:

Yuhui: When knowing that if someone strictly uses a trading system that its mathematical expectation is positive in a long time then he will get profit, but a question suddenly came to my mind: What will happen if everyone trades like this? Although in your book[s] you have listed several reasons why there are always many people won’t be the trend traders, but [a] positive math expectation trading system can be easily written to the computer and automatically executed by the computers now. Meanwhile, It’s said that this kind automatic trading system is already generally used in the futures market. I want to know what do you think how trend-trading will [perform] when in this condition. What’s more, I’m wondering about how your life is currently. As a successful trader are you living a free and relaxing life, or busy in dealing with the matter of your company. Finally, if possible, expecting the trend-following DVD, my address is [address] and my telephone number is [#], and my name is Yuhui (喻 辉).

Covel: My five books outline why not everyone will become a trend following trader. It’s often against human nature and people dislike drawdowns. They seem more comfortable with black swans that wipe it out all (their accounts that is). You can follow my life here: podcast.

Yuhui: Thanks for replying. Have read your books again and again and some story impressed me very much. Also read the reason you list why not everyone become a trend following trader. But once upon a time I read a book and remembering that the introduction of the author saying that his average income of programming automatic futures trading system can be up to 8% per month. So I just have an idea that what if everyone trades like him in the market? Maybe this condition will never happen because people are easy to be influenced by the cognitive bias in the trading, but somehow I still feel confused about this. And here is my address in Chinese and English.

Covel: 8% a month? Not a wise goal. That will not happen on a consistent basis that you can count on.

How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

• Trend Following Podcast Guests
• Frequently Asked Questions
• Performance
• Research
• Markets to Trade
• Crisis Times
• Trading Technology
• About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Breaking Trend Following Into China

Posted on by Michael Covel

Feedback:

Hi Mike, I was speaking to [name] the other day who is the C.O.O. for [billion plus fund] in Hong Kong. He expressed interest in finding more info about marketing CTAs [trend following] in mainland China and thought that after all your travels you may have some good insight to give him. Would it be OK if I passed him your contact details to send you over some questions? No problem at all if you would rather not.

[name]

Sure.

How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

• Trend Following Podcast Guests
• Frequently Asked Questions
• Performance
• Research
• Markets to Trade
• Crisis Times
• Trading Technology
• About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.