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Jesse Livermore Wisdom

1. The stock market is never obvious. It is designed to fool most of the people, most of the time.

2. Play the market only when all factors are in your favor. No person can play the market all the time and win. There are times when you should be completely out of the market, for emotional as well as economic reasons.

3. Do not use the words “Bullish” or “Bearish.” These words fix a firm market direction in the mind for an extended period of time. Instead, use “Upward Trend” and “Downward Trend” when asked the direction you think the market is headed. Simply say: “The line of least resistance is either upward or downward at this time.” Remember, don’t fight the tape!

4. The game of speculation is the most uniformly fascinating game in the world. But it is not a game for the stupid, the mentally lazy, the person of inferior emotional balance, or the get-rich-quick adventurer. They will die poor.

5. The only thing to do when a person is wrong is to be right, by ceasing to be wrong. Cut your losses quickly, without hesitation. Don’t waste time. When a stock moves below a mental stop, sell it immediately.

6. Emotional control is the most essential factor in playing the market. Never lose control of your emotions when the market moves against you. Don’t get too confident over your wins or too despondent over your losses.

7. All through time, people have basically acted and reacted the same way in the market as a result of: greed, fear, ignorance, and hope. That is why the numerical formations and patterns recur on a constant basis.

8. Watch the market leaders, the stocks that have led the charge upward in a bull market. That is where the action is and where the money is to be made. As the leaders go, so goes the entire market. If you cannot make money in the leaders, you are not going to make money in the stock market. Watching the leaders keeps your universe of stocks limited, focused, and more easily controlled.

9. Failure to take advantage of a serendipitous act of good luck in the stock market is often a mistake.

10. There is nothing new on Wall Street or in stock speculation. What has happened in the past will happen again, and again, and again. This is because human nature does not change, and it is human emotion, solidly build into human nature, that always gets in the way of human intelligence. Of this I am sure.

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Poor, Smart and a Desire to Succeed

I recently reached out to an old trend following friend for a research paper I could not find. This was our interchange:

Hope all is well in [City]. Give me an update! Hey do you have this by chance?

He responds:

Good to hear from you. Let me see if I can find this paper. Ask [Name] also, but the abstract matches our own internal research findings. The update on [Name] is that we’re doing very well. We successfully got past our […], currently running at [number] in annual revenue and growing quick, [number] employees, clear vision for the future. I see us growing to [number] AUM within 5 years. Please consider helping your own loyal followers and encourage your young people looking for opportunity to contact us if they are interested pursuing this industry as a career path. We take bets on unconventional people if they show aptitude. As an example our best [name] and our best [name] came to learn about us via your blog and podcasts. They moved here from far away places like [name] to pursue their dreams and now their lives have been positively changed for the better by joining the meritocracy of [Name]. You have the power to change peoples lives by simply making them aware of an opportunity which they do not know exists.

We’re looking for PSD’s (Poor, Smart with a Deep Desire to Succeed)

Thanks! Fun feedback.

Leave Your Analysis at the Door

Feedback in:

Dear Micheal, I have a question for you that you might be having an answer for it. The question is related to those that try to ignore your market views only because its not based on fundamentals but based on TA [technical analysis], which is a huge debate that has been going on for centuries. For example, when you do your analysis and come up with a result that [the] market is indicting weakness in the medium term but market continues going higher and after few weeks or a month markets start to sell off aggressively and losing 15% in 1 week. Those people come to you and tell you, “But you where bearish for a long time and market went up and if we sold at that time we would have lost that the extra profit,” while if you told them [the] market could drop tomorrow, and it did they will also say that there was not enough time to get out as your call was late. How do you over come such debate? Appreciate your thoughts. Thanks in advance.

I am a trend follower. None of this debate or analysis applies. Have you read my first two books?

Note: Asking to read my books is not a dodge to his question, but rather an answer that will make his life better if he listens.

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