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Ep. 242: Jean-Philippe Bouchaud Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Jean-Philippe Bouchaud
Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

My guest today is Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, the Chairman of the multi-strategy quantitative hedge fund Capital Fund Management (5B+ AUM) and co-supervisor of the research team. He is a well known authority in the field of Econophysics, co-author of “Theory of Financial Risks and Derivative Pricing”, a Professor of École Polytechnique where he teaches Complex Systems and has his Ph.D in theoretical physics from École Normale Supérieure.

The topic is Trend Following.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Bouchaud’s physics background and how it collided with the world of classical economics
  • The Black-Scholes model, and its still use; experimenting with simulation
  • Bouchaud and his colleague’s paper, “Two Centuries of Trend Following“
  • The efficient market hypothesis
  • Why the existence of trends is one of the most statistically significant anomalies in financial markets
  • How trends predate trend following
  • Why classical economics has no framework through which to understand “wild markets”
  • Benign randomness vs. wild randomness
  • Accepting uncertainty
  • Differences between physicists and economists

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Ep. 241: A Cult-Like Indoctrination with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
A Cult-Like Indoctrination with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
A Cult-Like Indoctrination with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Please enjoy my monologue A Cult-Like Indoctrination with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

Keep Calm, The Fire Rises

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Ep. 240: Nir Eyal Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Nir Eyal
Nir Eyal

My guest today is Nir Eyal, an educator, author, and entrepreneur who is all about connecting psychology, technology, and business.

The topic is his book Hooked: How To Build Habit Forming Products.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • How behavior and habits can be engineered, and how technology changes our behavior
  • The moral implications of habit forming activities
  • The difference between habits and addictions
  • Breaking “the hook”
  • The four areas that “the hook” goes through: trigger, action, variable reward, and investment
  • The IKEA example and how value can be built
  • Eyal’s mentors and influences
  • The importance of social feedback from your community
  • The WhatsApp deal, and how to deal with your “insane jealousy” of the messaging app deal
  • Getting equal pay for equal work, and how that might be embedded in our DNA
  • The importance of interface changes when it comes to revolutionary changes in technology

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I Want Your Interview Ideas, But There Are Limits

Posted on by Michael Covel

Don’t hesitate to send me your interview requests or content suggestions. I may decide it is not right for my show, but it never hurts to drop a line and let me know your thoughts. For example, recent feedback in:

How about Gary Smith [as a podcast interviewee], the intraday trader? The image attached is his equity curve…if its real.

Thanks, but I don’t think a pure day trader alone makes much sense for me.

How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

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• Frequently Asked Questions
• Performance
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• Markets to Trade
• Crisis Times
• Trading Technology
• About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 238: Larry Hite and Alex Greyserman Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Larry Hite and Alex Greyserman
Larry Hite and Alex Greyserman

My guests today are Larry Hite and Alex Greyserman.

Hite is a hedge fund manager and is one of the forefathers of system trading. He was famously featured in the Market Wizards book. A few years ago he started ISAM with Stanley Fink. Greyserman has 25 years of experience in the CTA industry, and was originally hired by Larry Hite at Mint.

Greyserman is Chief Scientist at ISAM (PhD in Statistics). He is also a professor at Columbia University.

The topic is Trend Following.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Singapore, and Covel’s recent excursions in Asia
  • How the game has stayed the same despite zero interest rate policy
  • What people are missing when they say “trend following is dead”
  • How you’ll never get perfection
  • Their 800 year study, the premise, and what was found out
  • Measuring human nature
  • The difference between divergent and convergent strategies
  • Risk management
  • Having “perfect” knowledge
  • Using long trends and getting whipsawed in shorter trends
  • The asset class of trend following compared to the NASDAQ buy and hold, etc.
  • What’s changed about human nature through all the booms and busts
  • Insurance, hedging your risk, and the risk transference process
  • Asymmetrical leverage
  • Adjusting to new environments
  • How those that survive are the most adaptable to the environment
  • How trend following automatically adjusts to what’s happening

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Ep. 237: Sharon Moalem Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Sharon Moalem
Sharon Moalem

My guest today is Sharon Moalem, a physician and author. Moalem’s previous book, “Survival Of The Sickest”, was a New York Times bestseller.

The topic is his book Inheritance: How Our Genes Change Our Lives, and Our Lives Change Our Genes.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Rafael Nadal as an example of digging deep in genetics
  • How our bodies are constantly in a state of deconstruction and reconstruction
  • How DNA is under constant modification
  • Genetic personalized medicine
  • “Jeff the chef” and an example of specific dietary needs
  • Dysmorphology and analyzing the hands, feet, and face of an individual
  • Gregor Mendel and his pea experiments in genetics
  • How your behavior can dictate your genetic destiny
  • The future of personalized genetic medicine
  • Critics and misunderstandings of genetics
  • Vitamins on an individual basis

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Ep. 236: Robin Hanson Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Robin Hanson
Robin Hanson

My guest today is Robin Hanson, an associate professor of economics at George Mason University and a research associate at the Future of Humanity Institute of Oxford University.

The topic is outside the box economic perspectives.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Prediction markets
  • Vernon Smith and coming up with the “why” for booms and busts
  • Dealing with a complex world based on our limited abilities
  • Steering towards humanity’s future
  • Hanson’s physics background, and how he came to where prediction markets became a passion
  • How prediction markets can make us pay more attention to the truth
  • Hayek and Mises, and some of their thinking early on
  • What taboos and idealogical beliefs might stop one from making optimal decisions
  • If people have employed particular trading strategies to the prediction markets
  • Stop losses as information and as risk preference
  • Setting up a market to bet on geopolitical events in the Middle East, and the controversy based around that
  • Why DC politicians often cannot handle the research Hanson does
  • Why Hanson has elected to have his head cryonically preserved after medical death based on a cost-benefit analysis

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