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Tag: interview

Ep. 315: Michael Mauboussin Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Michael Mauboussin
Michael Mauboussin

My guest today is Michael Mauboussin, an investment strategist in the financial services industry, professor at the Columbia Graduate School of Business, and serves on the board of trustees at the Sante Fe Institute (an independent, nonprofit theoretical research institute). He is managing director and head of Global Financial Strategies at Credit Suisse, where he advises clients on valuation and portfolio positioning, capital markets theory, competitive strategy analysis, and decision making.

The topics are his books More Than You Know and Think Twice: Harnessing the Power of Counterintuition.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Multi-disciplinary thinking and its influence on Covel
  • Looking at larger reference classes
  • The Swiss Franc
  • Mauboussin’s personal take on the recent oil move
  • Fundamentals and expectation
  • Luck or skill when it comes to trading profits
  • The paradox of skill, absolute, and relative skill
  • Whether scientific principles of luck exist
  • Defining luck
  • Outcome bias
  • The general public perception of behavioral economics

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Ep. 314: Peter Larson Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Peter Larson
Peter Larson

My guest today is Peter Larson, an American paleontologist, fossil collector, and president of the Black Hills Institute of Geological Research, a company that excavates, prepares, and sells fossils. He led the team that excavated “Sue”, the largest and most complete specimen of Tyrannosaurus rex found to date, and has published numerous scientific and popular works on dinosaur paleontology.

The topic is paleontology.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Luck’s role in finding dinosaurs
  • Larson’s personal anecdotes about finding “Sue”
  • Whether Larson knew at the time that he was finding a piece of “land” in a legal sense
  • The scientific data that Larson was able to glean before the government took the bones
  • Telling a male dinosaur from a female dinosaur
  • What makes Larson a T-Rex entrepreneur
  • T-Rex as a predator or scavenger
  • The legal case surrounding “Sue”

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Ep. 313: Jean-Philippe Bouchaud Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Jean-Philippe Bouchaud
Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

My guest today is Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, a French physicist. He is co-founder and Chairman of Capital Fund Management, adjunct professor at École Normale Supérieure and co-director of the CFM-Imperial Institute of Quantitative Finance at Imperial College London.

The topic is Trend Following.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • His firm’s performance for 2014
  • Whether trend following actually “died” prior to it’s “reappearance” in 2014
  • What trend following manages to exploit
  • Exploiting vs. exploring
  • Looking at volatility as a precursor to profit
  • Volatility as a measure of risk
  • Trend following as a genuine market anomaly
  • The behavioral biases in play as oil has fallen fifty percent plus
  • The feedback Bouchaud has received from peers on his newest paper
  • Whether other strategies exploit a genuine market anomaly
  • Bouchaud’s philosophy on transparency and “secrets” in his work
  • Why Bouchaud’s work culture is not a culture of MBA’s

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Ep. 312: Dan Hill Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Dan Hill
Dan Hill

My guest today is Dan Hill, a recognized authority on the role of emotions in consumer and employee behavior. He runs Sensory Logic, a scientific insights firm that analyzes consumers’ facial expressions to help companies better navigate consumers’ emotional decision-making processes.

The topic is consumer and employee behavior.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • What a face coding expert is
  • The evolutionary aspect to face coding and the 43 muscles present in the face; emotional decision-making
  • How Hill found his way personally into this field
  • Why we feel before we think
  • Being hired by the Milwaukee Bucks
  • The importance of a smile in the heart of a champion
  • The difference between technical skill and the factors that Hill is looking for
  • The importance of having the right amount of happiness
  • Some of the limitations of facial coding
  • How technology is intertwined with facial coding
  • Why a personality like Richard Nixon may never be President again
  • The say/feel gap
  • Whether we can learn how to avoid negative facial expressions and emotions
  • A trading system based on the movement of human faces
  • Where we might see facial coding moving to in the future

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Ep. 311: Mebane Faber Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Mebane Faber
Mebane Faber

My guest today is Mebane Faber, a noted author (The Ivy Portfolio), blogger, and portfolio manager with Cambria Investment Management. Faber is involved in many different areas of the market, extremely practical and pragmatic.

The topic is Trend Following.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • The podcast medium
  • Trend following, buy & hold, and emotions
  • Anti-fragility
  • Ray Dalio, risk parity, and his strategies All Weather and Pure Alpha
  • Asset allocation as a buy and hold investor
  • Faber’s five ETF’s, and his factors for starting one
  • Deflation, inflation, Japan, why traders run out of the store when things are on sale
  • Value investing
  • What if governments didn’t meddle with markets

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Ep. 310: Daniel Simons Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Daniel Simons
Daniel Simons

My guest today is Daniel Simons, an experimental psychologist, cognitive scientist, and Professor in the Department of Psychology and the Beckman Institute for Advanced Science and Technology at the University of Illinois. Simons is most well known for his work on change blindness and inattentional blindness, two surprising examples of how people can be unaware of information right in front of their eyes. His research interests also include visual cognition, perception, memory, attention, and awareness.

The topics are experimental psychology and cognitive science.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Simons’ YouTube success
  • The definition of inattentional blindness
  • Why our intuition about our own minds is often wrong
  • Money managers and weather forecasters
  • Serial tasking, multitasking, and focus
  • How Simons became immersed in this area of study
  • Memory and attention, and the myths and misconceptions surrounding them
  • The notion of intuition, gut decisions, and Simons’ thoughts on Malcolm Gladwell’s “Blink”
  • The idea of preparation in relation to expert performance
  • The science behind eyewitness testimony
  • How our minds don’t work the way we think they do

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Ep. 309: Mark Mobius Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Mark Mobius
Mark Mobius

My guest today is Mark Mobius, Ph.D., executive chairman of Templeton Emerging Markets Group, joined Templeton in 1987. Currently, he directs the Templeton research team which is based in 18 global emerging markets offices, and manages emerging markets portfolios. Mobius oversees a team of more than 50 people managing some $45 billion.

The topic is economics.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Key events that happened along Mobius’ development and moved him to find emerging markets as his passion
  • Growth across Asia
  • The importance of being on the ground to see what’s happening in China to have a true picture of what’s going on
  • Why what’s happening in China now is entirely different from the USSR in the early 1980’s
  • The two Koreas, and whether we’ll see one Korea eventually
  • The impact of both North and South Korea on their own
  • Mobius’ outlook on Myanmar
  • Singapore as an emerging market, and as it is compared to a city in the States
  • India, its growth, and how Mobius sees it moving forward
  • The importance of travel, and how it changes everybody that goes out there and experiences it

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