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Benoit Mandelbrot on Efficient Markets


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Trend Following Podcast Guests
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Performance
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Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 323: Jerry Parker Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Jerry Parker
Jerry Parker

My guest today is Jerry Parker, an original Turtle, trained by Richard Dennis. However, since then he has very successfully run a managed money firm called Chesapeake Capital.

The topic is Trend Following.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Series of tweets written by Parker and use them as a jumping-off point for conversation. Topics include price action, “normal” market behavior
  • Recent moves in the Swiss Franc
  • Paying attention to entries as well as exits
  • Why investors are often their own worst enemy
  • The first moment that Parker heard about price-based trading
  • Becoming obsessed with asymmetrical risk and reward
  • Why looking at trend following losses is important
  • Why you can tell a system is robust if it has big drawdowns
  • Backtesting and treating all trades with equal weight

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Ep. 322: Sophia Roosth Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Sophia Roosth
Sophia Roosth

My guest today is Sophia Roosth, a Harvard professor that Covel first heard quoted on DNA privacy from Davos. Roosth’s research focuses on the twentieth and twenty-first century life sciences. Her first book, based on four years of ethnographic fieldwork, examines how the life sciences are changing at a moment when researchers build new biological systems in order to investigate how biology works. In this work, Roosth asks what happens to “life” as a conceptual category when experimentation and fabrication converge.

The topic is science.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Davos event
  • What becomes of privacy in a moment of internet surveillance
  • Having more information out there as a way to control privacy
  • Biological privacy, and whether our DNA is going down a path where it’s a lot more public
  • Discrimination based on genome
  • Genetic McCarthyism
  • Somatic transfer and cloning
  • The story of Chance the bull
  • The idea of de-extinction
  • The ethics of cloning
  • Molecular gastronomy and world hunger

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“To Bankrupt a Fool, Give Him Information”

Great Tweet and link from Jerry Parker:

The headline from:

Nassim Taleb
Nassim Taleb

How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 321: Michael Lardon Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Michael Lardon
Michael Lardon

My guest today is Michael Lardon, one of the premier mental performance coaches in the world, with clients in more than a dozen professional and Olympic sports. His athletes have won major golf championships, Olympic gold medals, Super Bowls and World Series titles, among other achievements. He is an Associate Clinical Professor of Medicine at the University of California San Diego and a Consulting Psychiatrist to the United States Olympic Teams at the Olympic Training Center in Chula Vista, CA.

The topic is mental performance coaching.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Lardon’s early experiences playing professional table tennis; the “slowing down of time” and how it affects performance
  • The importance of mental performance in sports
  • Phil Mickelson’s loss at the 2013 Open and his win at the British Open a month later, and how Lardon was assisting him during this period
  • “The yips”, and what is going on in the mind when someone can no longer perform a simple activity they used to accomplish easily
  • Neurological vs. psychological “yips”
  • Lardon’s opinion on what’s happening with Tiger Woods currently
  • Narrow, intense focus vs. dropping the intense expenditure of energy when you don’t need it (ie. what do you do with your downtime?)
  • The process of desensitization
  • The deliberate plan for improvement and the importance of writing things down

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Ep. 319: Salem Abraham Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Salem Abraham
Salem Abraham

My guest today is Salem Abraham, the President of Abraham Trading Company with a 27-year track record. Salem graduated cum laude from the University of Notre Dame in December 1987 with a bachelor’s degree in finance. He began his investing career as a futures trader while still in college, using quantitative models to trade global futures markets beginning in 1987.

The topic is Trend Following.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Living in Asia and Asian economics
  • A market lesson Abraham first learned in 1987
  • The recent action of the Swiss Franc
  • Artificially priced markets and the analogy of a dam
  • Crude Oil as a trend
  • Speculation at the core of Abraham’s business and its effect on markets generally
  • The effect of Abraham’s grandfather on his work
  • The influences on Abraham’s thinking and business decisions
  • Location independence
  • The importance of a link to the outside world
  • Avoiding disaster
  • Being agnostic to the market

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Ep. 318: Christopher Chabris Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Christopher Chabris
Christopher Chabris

My guest today is Christopher Chabris, an American research psychologist, currently Associate Professor of Psychology and co-director of the Neuroscience Program at Union College in Schenectady, New York, Adjunct Assistant Professor of Neurology at Albany Medical College and a Research Affiliate at the MIT Center for Collective Intelligence.

The topic is his book The Invisible Gorilla: How Our Intuitions Deceive Us.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Witnesses, memory, and the legal system
  • Expert witness testimony
  • “The play that changed poker”
  • Mastery in any field
  • The connection between chess and memory
  • Chabris’ interaction with Neil deGrasse Tyson, and how memory affects our outlook
  • The stock market, prediction, and forecasting
  • The importance of confidence with regard to predictions
  • Simple rules vs. complex rules
  • Oprah Winfrey, Malcolm Gladwell, and intuition
  • Memory and the influx of information coming at us

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