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Ep. 329: Terrance Odean Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Terrance Odean
Terrance Odean

My guest today is Terrance Odean, the Rudd Family Foundation Professor and Chair of the Finance Group at the Haas School of Business, University of California, Berkeley. Odean has extensively researched into the empirical data on active trading. He is very well-known for his work in behavioral finance and is once of the early pioneers.

The topic is his extensive research into the empirical data on active trading.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Odean describes his work
  • How Odean started his work looking at individual broker statements
  • The disposition effect
  • How Odean was able to get individual investor data when he was starting out
  • Looking at early thinkers in the arena of behavioral finance
  • Why people buy low and sell high
  • Why statistics are one of the best ways to understand what’s going on in the market
  • The difference between male and female investors
  • Why overconfidence hurts investors
  • Attention and how we make decisions
  • Why a simple heuristic from Seinfeld could be the best way for most investors

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Ep. 328: Robert Seawright Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Robert Seawright
Robert Seawright

My guest today is Robert Seawright, the Chief Investment & Information Officer for Madison Avenue Securities, a boutique broker-dealer and investment advisory firm headquartered in San Diego, California. Seawright is also a columnist for Research magazine, a Contributing Editor at Portfolioist as well as a contributor to the Financial Times, The Big Picture, The Wall Street Journal’s MarketWatch, Pragmatic Capitalism, and ThinkAdvisor.

The topic is his blog A New Kind Of Investment Outlook.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • How Seawright was able to put together this blog piece
  • Perfection and prediction
  • Bias blindness
  • Volatility vs. risk
  • Separating your politics from your investing
  • Financial media as entertainment
  • Whether Seawright encountered any pushback after putting out his article
  • Letting go of the high leverage idea
  • Why the more we trade
  • The worse we do
  • Nobel laureate David Baltimore
  • Adversarial collaboration

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Ep. 327: Susan Polgar Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Susan Polgar
Susan Polgar

My guests today are Susan Polgar and Douglas Goldstein.

Susan Polgar, American chess grandmaster, and Douglas Goldstein, Certified Financial Planner, had the unique idea of looking at chess and applying the wisdom to investing.

The topic is their book Rich As A King: How the Wisdom of Chess Can Make You a Grandmaster of Investing.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Polgar’s early history as a four-year-old chess playing prodigy, and the trouble some older males had in accepting her; nurture vs. nature; the connection between the Turtle story and chess; the skills that chess provides outside of just playing the game; the importance of keeping your emotions in check; process vs. outcome; and thinking through the possibilities from a chess perspective.
  • Douglas Goldstein, Covel discusses how the idea came about to combine finance with chess in a book; tactics vs. strategy; and pattern recognition

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Ep. 326: Kabir Sehgal Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Kabir Sehgal
Kabir Sehgal

My guest today is Kabir Sehgal, a New York Times bestselling author and Grammy Award-winning producer. He is currently a vice president at JPMorgan Chase. Sehgal’s new book, Coined: The Rich Life of Money and How Its History Has Shaped Us, caught Covel’s eye. This is a subject layered in complexity and depth. Just about everything that goes on in our lives is decided by money and Sehgal digs into its story on a micro level.

The topic is his book Coined: The Rich Life of Money and How Its History Has Shaped Us.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Sehgal’s history
  • Sehgal’s experience winning a Grammy for production and the idea of “no boxes”
  • Why Sehgal sees his life like a jazz composition
  • Defining money as a symbol of value
  • The neurological effects and artistic aspects of money
  • The currency of the natural world
  • Whether Sehgal sees “money as the root of all evil”
  • The idea of charity
  • The politics of money
  • The internationalization of currency
  • Hyperinflation
  • Gold, and Sehgal’s experience going to the basement of the New York Fed
  • Digital money and bitcoin

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Ep. 325: Trend Following Attitude with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Trend Following Attitude with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Trend Following Attitude with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Please enjoy my monologue Trend Following Attitude with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

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Ep. 324: David Stockman Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

David Stockman
David Stockman

My guest today is David Stockman. Those that follow business and politics in the United States will recognize his name. Stockman has been a businessman, a Congressman, and Director of the Office of Management and Budget under President Ronald Reagan.

The topic is his book The Great Deformation: The Corruption of Capitalism in America.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Woodrow Wilson piece
  • How Wilson brought the US into World War I and how the pain of the 1930’s and the pivot point of the 20th century was connected
  • Why the ATM’s going dark in 2008 wasn’t a true possibility
  • Zero interest rate policy and how we’re forcing people to spend down principal
  • How the Fed can generate massive bubbles

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