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Learning the Hard Way… But At Least Learning!

Brazilian feedback in:

Hello, Michael, My name is [Name], I’m Brazilian 51 years old, married for 22 years, and father of five children, two graduates, one studies power engineering and two still in school. At the beginning of my 20’s, I worked for a few years with computer programming. After this, I worked in real estate for several more years, then graduated in law and worked in the consulting business area for a decade. Finally, in the last five years I worked as a branch manager of the largest Brazilian company in the field of power generators. All my jobs could be considered very good (at last, I was earning an annual salary around US$60,000, far above the national average), but did not bring me real personal achievement.

For almost the last two years, I´ve been doing operations in the financial market of Brazil, parallel to my work in power generating company, especially in operations analyzed at night, at home, after my work schedule. I read the Brazilian edition of your book TREND FOLLOWING, earlier this year, almost without stopping! I found it wonderful, but I confess that I could not understand a good deal because I still understood very little about the market… Anyway, I found something in the book that somehow I sought in all my life. Excited by I found on your book, I read some other books and searched for articles and lessons on internet about the market, technical analysis, gold, options etc. But all I found seemed almost fake, systems and techniques that only one quantum physics expert could understand! I think a good system operations should have basic and easy to understand premises, related almost exclusively to the price of assets, and be composed primarily of clear parameters of investment allocation, entry criteria and exit points in case of negative results.

I left my job in the company of power generators four months ago, and my intention was to work exclusively with financial market operations. Although most of my operations made over time, including stocks, options and futures, have generated profit, losses in a few operations exceeded all gain I got.

I´m reading your book for the third time, and this time I can understand everything (I guess!), and it all makes sense. I now realize that I made the elementary mistake of wanting to win first and then learn how to win. I lost a lot of money in senseless operations, some made without the minimum knowledge required and, worst of all, without a risk management system with clear exit points, to limit my losses. I paid a high price, but I think I could learn some important things about the market in this time. I read in your book that Ed Seykota says that “everyone gets what he wants in the market”. Perhaps, what I needed was to know better and to test my strengths (logical-mathematical reasoning, systemic view, willingness to learn) and my weaknesses too (impulsive, lack of discipline, stubbornness).

I need to look for new job. (As I said before, I have five children, and three of them have not yet completed their studies!) I´m going to live with my son who is in the engineering college, in a small town, where the cost of living is much lower. I might study for a public job competition. I am still not sure what I’ll do. I spent almost all my savings [over US$ (number)] in this initial stage full of errors but also of valuable learning. Meanwhile, I´ll start again with the equivalent of just US$ (number). I can say that the challenge of learning how to operate successfully in the market became the biggest goal of my life.

Anyway, I want to thank you for all that your book gave me. Certainly, you did not write because you wanted to show how much you know, but because you want to share with others what you have learned. Thank you so much. Let me ask you not to forget me. I’ll have good news soon. Please, receive my most sincere thanks and cordial greetings,

[Name]
Brazil

Welcome!

Note: Many of my clients are Brazilian based.

Brazil Feedback
Brazil Feedback

How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

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Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 483: Paul Tough Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Paul Tough
Paul Tough

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My guest today is Paul Tough, a Canadian-American writer and broadcaster. As a teenager, he was co-host of Anybody Home, a weekly youth-oriented programme broadcast nationally on CBC Radio. Tough first moved to the United States in 1988 and worked for Harper’s Magazine and then returned to radio becoming senior editor of This American Life in the mid-1990s before moving back to Canada to serve as editor of Saturday Night in 1998. He has written extensively about education, poverty and politics.

The topic is his book Helping Children Succeed: What Works and Why.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Early childhood development
  • Creating the right environment for children
  • Childhood poverty
  • Serve and return parenting
  • Teaching grit and curiosity
  • The accountability movement
  • What motivates us?
  • Education as a national problem

Mentions & Resources:

Listen to this episode:

Jump in!

Jumping from Value Investing to Trend Following, How?

Feedback in:

Hi Michael,

I enjoy the podcasts. I certainly appreciate any tips for someone new in the trend following arena. Coming from a Ben Graham type investing style it is a bit different for me.

Thanks!
[Name]

Sure, start here. And here.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

“I am long overdue in thanking you…”

Feedback in:

Michael, Please forgive me but I am long overdue in thanking you for your fine work and ongoing efforts. (And I live and work in your former back yard no less). I have benefited greatly from your podcasts over the past 4 years or so, sometimes in unusual or un-obvious ways. I tried posting a review to iTunes a few times, but as an Intel/Windows user it didn’t work out so well. I apologize. I love your work with trend followers, hedge fund managers, tactical traders. Too many to mention, but here are a few I recall:

– Interviews with the early CTAs.

“Dual Momentum” author Gary Antonacci who placed academic rigor behind a similar strategy I’ve developed for our clients over the years.

Nigol Koulajian of Quest Partners. Through your podcast I researched him, have met at his offices in NYC, and now am deploying client assets to his AlphaQuest AQO strategy. (I am indebted to you for this connection, and so are my clients).

– Plus there have been a few non-sequiturs. The recent 1958 interview you pulled up (from God knows where) with Ayn Rand was crazy.

I never had heard this, really interesting to hear her speak directly. I couldn’t believe how opinionated and leading Mike Wallace was for a supposedly unbiased interviewer. Really displays the times, how thing have changed over the years (you wouldn’t know it from listening to the world-class interviewers at CNBC). Thanks again for your diligence and perseverance. You set a fine example.

I’ll keep listening!

[Name]

Thanks!


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

How to Start? There Are Many Answers!

A recent email exchange:

Covel: I see you posted an empty comment on my podcast. Questions for me?

Listener: I just purchased your book and was attempting to subscribe to your podcast sorry for the confusion. But, while you’re available, I would love to ask you a few questions. I just finished my Master’s at Harvard and have been trading on average 2,050 equity derivatives contracts per month for 3 years. I am an affiliate member of the MTA and have passed the CMT level 1& 2 and will be taking the level 3 in October. I have my first phone interview with the [Name] Group tomorrow and am committed to a life-long pursuit of being the best trader I can be. Would you have any advice for me? Thank you for your time Mr. Covel

Covel: What’s your goal?

Note: The best that I can be is a mirror. Most everyone knows their answer already. Accepting the answer is the hard part. This particular dialogue next went down the path of employee v. entrepreneur… Tough choices!


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 482: Two Takes with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Two Takes with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Two Takes with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Subscribe to Trend Following Radio on iTunes

Please enjoy my monologue Two Takes with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio:

  • The tulip bubble
  • March 2000
  • Fall of 2008
  • Financial instability hypothesis
  • Trend following philosophy
  • Behavioral economics

“The only way to eliminate market bubble’s and crashes is to eliminate people.” – Michael Covel

Mentions & Resources:

Listen to this episode:

Want to learn more Trend Following? Watch my video here.

Do You Have A Plan for When It Doesn’t Go Your Way?

Insights:

Through the gentle nudging of general manager Matt Millen — who was, in my opinion, one of the only stand-up guys in that organization — I spent a lot of time with a sports psychologist, trying to figure out how to get my confidence back. In the NFL (and especially at the quarterback position), if you don’t have confidence, you’re done.

There are 100 guys out there who can throw a comeback route, and 100 more who can throw a post. But there are only a handful of quarterbacks who can have the route picked off, then come back and throw it again. Who can get knocked down or get hit in the teeth … and throw it again.

That, to me, is the difference between making it to the NFL, and being great in the NFL.

I’m sometimes asked if I was put in an unfair position in Detroit. My answer is always immediate and the same: No. Saying so implies I was the only one in that kind of a position. Welcome to the NFL. Pick a year, and I’ll give you five guys who were in the same type of spot I was. For all of my prior success — all the balls I had bounce my way through college — I wasn’t prepared to deal with it when things no longer went my way.

If we’re being honest, not a lot of people are.

Trend following, take a loss.

Trend following, take a loss.

Trend following, take a loss.

Trend following, boom–winner.

More.

Source: Joey Harrington, Despite What You May Think, My NFL Career Was A Success. Sports Illustrated, December 21, 2015.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.