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Tag: Trend Following

Ep. 280: Joey Reiman and John Brenkus Interviews with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Joey Reiman and John Brenkus
Joey Reiman and John Brenkus

My guests today are Joey Reiman and John Brenkus.

Reiman, who runs Brighthouse, has been called the “father of ideation”. He’s emerged as the subject matter expert in the area of purpose inspired leadership, marketing, and innovation. His breakthrough purpose methodology and frameworks have been adopted by the likes of the Boston Consulting Group, Procter & Gamble, The Coca-Cola Company, McDonald’s, KPMG, and many other Fortune 500 companies across the globe. As an adjunct professor at the Goizueta School of Business at Emory University, he teaches tomorrow’s executives his revolutionary theories and applications for purpose-inspired profit.

Brenkus is the host of the ESPN show, Sport Science. Sport Science is an ongoing television series that explores the science and engineering underlying athletic endeavors.

The topics are marketing and sports science.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Covel and Reiman discuss Reiman’s background and mission in life; looking for meaning; figuring out your “why”; the process of teaching, and the areas where certain people may get tripped up; looking back to your beginnings; the destructiveness of outside voices; calmness and contemplation; solitude vs. aloneness; “money doesn’t create ideas–ideas create money”; why daydreaming isn’t necessarily a bad thing; creativity and environments; changing the world through changing your routine; routine and creativity; thinking with your heart as much as your mind; Apple vs. Google; raw talent, creativity, and environment; lucky people and “yes” people; the power of “slow”; and the importance of storytelling.
  • Anything about statistics and science has the potential to inspire Covel and with John Brenkus, he goes straight into it; Also discussed: what triggered the science and sports connection in Brenkus’ brain; science and martial arts; measuring human performance; why success doesn’t follow a straight line; Brenkus’ college experiences and how they are relevant to his work today; the idea of physical limits being reached; why Brenkus became a crash test dummy; the advantage of applying science to any aspect of life; and the Iron Man competition.

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Handling the Biases: Trend Following

Posted on by Michael Covel

Trend following handles the biases:

biases

Chart H/T: James Montier.

How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

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• Trend Following Podcast Guests
• Frequently Asked Questions
• Performance
• Research
• Markets to Trade
• Crisis Times
• Trading Technology
• About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Trend Following: Freedom and Opportunity

Posted on by Michael Covel

Feedback in:

Greetings Michael, My name is [Name] and I am a relatively new investor/trader. I have been unsuccessfully trading the stock market since early 2012. I have approximately $30K invested in the stock market and have seen that investment go down by $6K twice including today’s massive sell-off as well as up $8K twice. For some reason i keep making the same mistakes and I would appreciate some help with sticking to some rules. I really see myself as a trend follower because the stock market is very unpredictable. I would love for some help and guidance with this. I actually just finished your interview with Kevin Bruce and my goal in achieving high returns in the stock market is for “Freedom” and opportunity for various choices. I follow tweets from both you and Jon Boorman.

Regards,
[Name]

My options: books and podcast. Great place to start. Also, for more hand holding: go.

How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

• Trend Following Podcast Guests
• Frequently Asked Questions
• Performance
• Research
• Markets to Trade
• Crisis Times
• Trading Technology
• About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

PIMCO: Trend Following Through the Rates Cycle

Posted on by Michael Covel

From PIMCO:

Some investors have been concerned that the historical success of trend following–a quantitative strategy that seeks positive returns by capturing momentum across major asset classes–would unravel in a period of range-bound or rising interest rates. PIMCO’s New Neutral thesis anticipates that interest rates will remain lower for longer. Eventually, however, rates are likely to rise from today’s rock-bottom levels. Even so, history shows that trend following strategies have the potential to generate positive returns amid rising rates–and indeed, across all interest rate environments. Most asset classes have benefited from 30 years of falling interest rates, as future cash flows have been discounted at steadily lower rates, boosting present values. Accordingly, passive long-only strategies now face a challenge in generating positive returns in a period of range-bound–or worse, rising–rates, which could partially reverse this discounting windfall. Trend following strategies, which take long or short positions across equity, bond, currency and commodity futures markets consistent with trends in these markets, rode the long downward trend in rates and often profited. However, unlike most passive strategies (and many active ones), trend followers have no fixed directional bias and can short any and all markets that are falling. By their nature, trend followers will often miss turning points. But whether markets are rising or falling, if trends are persistent and strong, trend following strategies are designed to seek profits.

Nice.

How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

• Trend Following Podcast Guests
• Frequently Asked Questions
• Performance
• Research
• Markets to Trade
• Crisis Times
• Trading Technology
• About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Finding Opportunity Means Taking Shots: Same for Football, Same for Trend Following

Posted on by Michael Covel

Excerpt from here:

In finding Leach, an alumnus and fellow acolyte of BYU, Mumme stumbled upon the Paul McCartney to his John Lennon. Neither one of them gave a damn about college football’s hallowed traditions. Both cherished the lessons you could learn from heroic iconoclasts like Davy Crockett or Geronimo. And both liked getting in the car, blasting Jimmy Buffett and driving to any football practice in the country where they thought they could snatch up another crazy idea and make it part of their oeuvre.

More:

Well before Gus Malzahn and Chip Kelly were riding their wide splits and hurry-up offenses all the way to the BCS championship game, Mumme and Leach were running the concept on a small practice field in Mount Pleasant, Iowa. “The more shots on goal you get, the better,” Leach says. “That’s how we saw it. And with so many people touching the ball, it elevates the enthusiasm of the whole team.” In their three years at Iowa Wesleyan, the Mumme and Leach show went 25-10 and led the nation in passing once and finished second twice.

“The more shots on goal you get, the better” is the reason why you CAN’T be a trend follower on one market alone. You need opportunity. Trade one market, you are limited to one opportunity. It’s like running the fullback straight ahead for 3 yards every play. Bad strategy. You need diversity in opportunity.

Bruce Lee on Opportunity

How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

• Trend Following Podcast Guests
• Frequently Asked Questions
• Performance
• Research
• Markets to Trade
• Crisis Times
• Trading Technology
• About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 275: Joel Mokyr Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Joel Mokyr
Joel Mokyr

My guest today is Joel Mokyr, an economic historian at Northwestern University. He focuses on technological progress, and how it affects growth. From Mokyr’s perspective, we haven’t seen anything yet. He’s not trying to predict what will happen next; he’s just confident and ready that big things will continue to happen.

The topic is technology.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Define technology
  • The notion of playing God with technology
  • How technology and economic growth are intertwined
  • Why screwing up is part of technology
  • The acceleration of technology
  • New ways of measuring growth
  • Anesthesia and antibiotics as technologies and imagining new technologies as revolutionary as them
  • Moving from a wheat and steel economy into an information economy
  • The factory, the separation between firm and household, and the Industrial Revolution
  • The death of distance
  • Why technology is often not reflected in the GDP
  • Solving the language barrier through technology
  • Why the global acceptance of the English language is driven by technology
  • Why innovation isn’t natural to us
  • The declining respect of the writings of previous generations
  • Why the median age will continue to increase
  • Why we are moving into a mass-customization society
  • Changes in material science
  • The best way to think about the future

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Ep. 274: Guy Kawasaki Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Guy Kawasaki
Guy Kawasaki

My guest today is Guy Kawasaki. For those of you that pay attention to being an entrepreneur, Kawasaki’s books have been invaluable over the last decade. Currently, he is the chief evangelist of Canva, an online graphic design tool. Formerly, he was an advisor to the Motorola business unit of Google and chief evangelist of Apple.

The topic is entrepreneur.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Why being a consultant or an investment banker are two of the worst first jobs you can get
  • Working in sales, and Kawasaki’s early experience in the jewelry business
  • Some of the most valuable attributes of a good salesman
  • Marketing, social media, and why you’d want to have a rabid fan with fifteen followers rather than just another blurb on the back of your book from the so-called big name
  • Why a book review in The New York Times isn’t as important as it used to be
  • The Amazon and Hachette conflict, and why Amazon is still the best thing to happen to authors in a long time
  • The two types of people in the world–baker vs. eater
  • How Kawasaki manages his time
  • Looking at your social media presence as core to your existence
  • Disruptive high growth opportunities
  • Introversion and getting better at standing on stage

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