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We Don’t All Live Forever

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Hi Michael,

Love the podcast. Just started listening going back into the archives and have found it very enlightening. I have a question with regards to a comment you made in this specific podcast (364) about shooting for average and who wants to be just average. You are speaking my language there!

What is your response to people when they say they got rich because of investing in a diversified index portfolio instead of getting rich by taking on more risk?

For example, authors of books like “Millionaire Teacher” by Andrew Hallam or even the Coffeehouse books that claim to do really well by just buying index funds and riding the market returns instead of taking on more risk shooting for higher returns.

When people challenge me on the index fund thing saying it is the only way, my response is that the authors of these books got rich (define rich right!) because they ended up saving so much of their income as opposed to gaining their wealth through market returns. Both books (more so Hallam’s) talk about being frugal and then investing. I would love to hear how you answer this question!

If you don’t have time to answer, I totally understand and will still continue to be a loyal listener…

[Name]

Just buy and hold?

But the Nasdaq was underwater for 15 years?

The Nikkei is down 50% still since 1989.

We don’t all live forever.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

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William Poundstone’s Fortune’s Formula: Trend Following Insights

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Hi Michael,

I’ve been visiting your website for a while now and I just wanted to drop a note of appreciation for the interviews that you put up on your website. All of the interviews I have listened to have been extremely interesting and high quality. I particularly like the diversity of interviewee’s and content covering a wide range of subjects.

I think I first came across you site while looking for information about Daniel Kahneman and came across your interview with him on 212. Which led me to your others interviews. I bought William Poundstone’s ‘Fortune’s Formula’ immediately after listening to your podcast 254 with him and now have a couple of your books on order.

Although I’ve always had an interest in economics, I’ve never been all that interested in trading before but you website has convinced me to take a closer look. So thanks for creating a content packed website and great interviews. I now look forward to any new interviews you do and visit your site frequently for any updates.

Thanks in advance,
[Name]

Thanks!


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 370: Instruments vs. Strategy with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Instruments vs. Strategy with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Instruments vs. Strategy with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

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Please enjoy my monologue Instruments vs. Strategy with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio:

  • Defining the exact risks involved in a trading strategy
  • The importance of liquidity: entering and exiting markets with ease
  • What we can learn from the history of Commodities Corporation
  • How the scientific method applies to trading logic
  • How Fundamental Analysis differs from Technical Analysis
  • The origins and basic principles of Trend Following Trading
  • The importance of accepting the risks and committing to your strategy

“Never mind the cheese, let me out of the trap” – Amos Hostetter

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Get the foundation to making money in up, down and *surprise markets on the Trend Following mailing list.

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Technology… How Much Has It Really Advanced?

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Michael:

Interesting clip you got in this one [from Feynman ep 366]. It reminded me [of] something Jay Forrester mentioned in some paper that he thought that computer technology advances that were made between 1946 to 1956 were greatest and nothing of that growth was matched in any subsequent decades.

Please keep up the good work, I am enjoying it.

Thanks.

Note: Jay Forrester was a mentor to Ed Seykota.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Feynman on Scientific Method


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Feynman: Mathematicians versus Physicists

The physicist trader is the more likely answer (versus Mathematician).


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 365: Chris Clarke Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Chris Clarke
Chris Clarke

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My guest today is Chris Clarke, ex-Goldman Sachs executive director and founder of Lawrence Clarke Investment Management. Clarke has been developing trading systems for decades.

The topic is Trend Following.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Trusting the system once you choose it
  • Being prepared to trade no matter which way the markets go
  • The importance of edge, and why gamblers lose
  • Looking at the math behind trading strategies
  • Understanding “market truths”
  • Drawdowns vs. risks

“The desire to maximize the number of winning trades (or minimize the number of losing trades) works against the trader. The success rate of trades is the least important performance statistic and may even be inversely related to performance.” – William Eckhardt

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