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Ep. 349: Donald MacKenzie Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Donald MacKenzie
Donald MacKenzie

My guest today is Donald MacKenzie, a Professor of Sociology at the University of Edinburgh, Scotland. He works on the sociology of markets, focusing on automated trading, the use of mathematical models, and the evaluation and trading of bonds. MacKenzie has worked in the past on topics ranging from the sociology of nuclear weapons to the meaning of proof in the context of computer systems critical to safety or security.

The topic is his book An Engine, Not A Camera: How Financial Models Shape Markets.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Economic models
  • Self-fulfilling prophecies and economics
  • Our beliefs and the social world
  • The definition of performativity
  • Mackenzie’s analysis and study of the Black-Scholes model
  • Long Term Capital Management
  • Reflexivity
  • The intellectual gap between purveyors of the efficient market hypothesis vs. behavioral economists as reflected in the 2014 Nobel Prize winners
  • The arms race in high frequency trading.

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Ep. 348: Michael Covel Monologue and Interview on Trend Following Radio

Michael Covel Monologue and Interview on Trend Following Radio
Michael Covel Monologue and Interview on Trend Following Radio

Please enjoy my monologue Michael Covel Monologue and Interview on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

Listen to this episode:

Want to learn more Trend Following? Watch my video here.

Ep. 345: Spyros Makridakis Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Spyros Makridakis
Spyros Makridakis

My guest today is Spyros Makridakis, the Rector of the Neapolis University of Pafos NUP and an Emeritus Professor of Decision Sciences at INSEAD as well as the University of Piraeus and one of the world’s leading experts on forecasting, with many journal articles and books on the subject. He is famous as the organizer of the Makridakis Competitions, known in the forecasting literature as the M-Competitions. His calling is to poke holes in the notion that we can forecast with accuracy.

The topic is his paper Why Forecasts Fail. What to Do Instead.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Known knowns, known unknowns, and unknown unknowns
  • The two main types of uncertainty–“subway” and “coconut”
  • Jim Collins, one of the best-selling business book authors of all time, and why it might not have any use to us
  • Medicine and chance
  • The placebo effect
  • Acceptance of an uncertain world
  • The illusion of control

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Ep. 339: Tim Price Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Tim Price
Tim Price

My guest today is Tim Price, the London-based Director of Investment at PFP Wealth Management. Price has over 20 years of experience in both private client and institutional investment management.

The topic is his blog The Price of Everything.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Why the fundamentals are so ‘shocking’
  • FDR and the Great Depression
  • Why government taking its hands out of the equation can be the solution in a recession or depression
  • Why savers suffer in silence
  • The three scenarios that occur when you accept that much debt simply cannot be paid back (growth, default, or inflation)
  • The standoff between Germany and Greece, and how the average German might feel today about common currency
  • The lack of outrage of zero interest rate policy

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Ep. 338: K.D. Angle Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

K.D. Angle
K.D. Angle

My guest today is K.D. Angle. Angle began trading the futures markets in 1979 and developed his first rules-based trading strategy in 1984. In 1985 he created a newsletter called “The Timing Device” that specialized in making specific trade recommendations in the futures markets. After 1995, Angle retired the newsletter and went into asset management on a full time basis while investing the majority of his time and resources into researching and developing rules-based strategies.

The topic is trading the futures market.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Angle’s father’s history, who turned a two million dollar gold investment into a hundred million in just six months, and the lessons learned
  • Whether there was an early trend trading influence beyond looking at Angle’s father’s career; Angle’s experience with Dunn Capital
  • Freedom of location
  • 100% rule-based and systematic trading vs. adding discretionary elements to your system
  • Why the client part of the business is so important

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Ep. 335: The Bitcoin Episode with Andreas Antonopoulos and Harry Yeh with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

The Bitcoin Episode with Andreas Antonopoulos and Harry Yeh with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
The Bitcoin Episode with Andreas Antonopoulos and Harry Yeh with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Please enjoy my monologue The Bitcoin Episode with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

Listen to this episode:

Want to learn more Trend Following? Watch my video here.

Ep. 334: Correlation with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Correlation with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Correlation with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Please enjoy my monologue Correlation with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

Listen to this episode:

Want to learn more Trend Following? Watch my video here.