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Ep. 307: Bryan Caplan Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Bryan Caplan
Bryan Caplan

My guest today is Bryan Caplan, an American economist and professor of economics at George Mason University, research fellow at the Mercatus Center, adjunct scholar at the Cato Institute, and blogger for EconLog. He works in public choice theory. His books include The Myth of the Rational Voter and Selfish Reasons to Have More Kids. He has also written extensively on open borders and pacifism.

The topic is economics.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Voting, rationality
  • Defining “rational irrationality”
  • What voting patterns in America might look like if the American stock market looked like the Japanese stock market
  • Economic growth in benevolent dictatorships vs. republics like the USA
  • The anti-poverty program in China
  • Caplan’s view on immigration and its effect on the economy
  • The case for more kids, and why Caplan was so passionate and so inspired as to put out a book on the subject
  • Why genetics matter more than the style in which you raise your kids
  • Thomas Piketty’s “Capital in the Twenty-First Century” and wealth and income inequality

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Ep. 306: Tom Basso Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Tom Basso
Tom Basso

My guest today is Tom Basso, the trader most famously known as “Mr. Serenity” in Jack Schwager’s “New Market Wizards”. Basso, now retired from managing client money, was president and founder of Trendstat Capital Management. Basso became a registered investment advisor in 1980, a registered commodities advisor in 1984, and was elected to the board of the National Futures Association in 1998. Today, he is a private trader.

The topic is Trend Following.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • 50% drop in oil and why trend followers have done especially well with this price movement
  • Why people like to blame speculators, and the value of speculation; emotional rushes and emotional devastation
  • Mentally rehearsing catastrophic events
  • Focusing 1,000 trades into the future
  • Separating your trading from your political opinion
  • Trend following and behavioral economics
  • The importance of not letting your trading define you
  • Basso’s advice to newcomers to the CTA industry

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Ep. 305: Mark Manson Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Mark Manson
Mark Manson

My guest today is Mark Manson, an author and personal development consultant. Manson has worked with thousands of people from over 20 countries and his writing offers a different take on the self-help genre. Manson calls it “self help from a first person perspective”. He has sold over 15,000 copies of his book “Models: Attract Women Through Honesty” and almost 400,000 people read his site each month. He’s been published and quoted on CNN, Huffington Post, Business Insider, Yahoo! News, The Sydney Morning Herald and a variety of other publications. He is also the CEO and Founder of Infinity Squared Media LLC.

The topic is personal development.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Why people are such ass—– on the internet
  • Internet communication vs. real world communication
  • Becoming desensitized to the internet
  • How Manson came to his entrepreneurial path and how he was inspired by “The 4-Hour Workweek”
  • Location independence and how travel has changed Manson
  • Consumerism in America
  • Having an excess of choice in your life
  • The type of business Manson has developed and why it’s been successful
  • Why certain approaches to dating aren’t emotionally healthy
  • Our bias against performers
  • Why Manson refers to himself as “self-help for people who don’t like self-help”

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Ep. 304: Crude Oil Folly with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Crude Oil Folly with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Crude Oil Folly with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Please enjoy my monologue Crude Oil Folly with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

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Ep. 303: Charles Faulkner Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Charles Faulkner
Charles Faulkner

My guest today is Charles Faulkner, an author, trader, and an expert on modeling the knowledge and performance of exceptional individuals. He was originally featured in “The New Market Wizards” by Jack Schwager.

The topic is trading psychology.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • The notion of fictional people and why famous figures in finance are “fictional”
  • The importance of narratives, stories, and metaphors
  • The halo effect and deluding ourselves
  • The difference between a story and a strategy
  • The nature of independent thinking; herd behavior
  • Ego, ignorance, and authority
  • The five different types of minds: the experiencing mind, the imaginative mind, the reasoning mind, the reflective mind, and the generative mind
  • System one and system two
  • Why words don’t change people but experience does
  • Experience base and the difference between amateur and professional traders
  • The two kinds of market wizards
  • Language in the context of the five different types of minds
  • The importance of asking “how” does the market work over “why”
  • The importance of luck and time in the case of Warren Buffett
  • Why you shouldn’t get your excitement from trading

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The Straits Times Trend Following Article

the straits times and trend following and covel


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Ep. 302: Zbigniew Hermaszewski and Natasha Reeve-Gray Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Zbigniew Hermaszewski and Natasha Reeve-Gray
Zbigniew Hermaszewski and Natasha Reeve-Gray

My guests today are Zbigniew Hermaszewski and Natasha Reeve-Gray, two of the four founding partners of Altis Partners–a very successful systematic and primarily trend following money management firm.

The topic is Trend Following.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Covel’s recent experiences traveling in Asia
  • The advantages of location independence
  • Early triggers that led Hermaszewski and Reeve-Gray into the systematic trading world and away from the efficient market hypothesis
  • Why Hermaszewskii was motivated to go down the particular path he went down
  • The advantages of a physics background when applied to trading
  • Looking for predicability in the markets
  • How Altis uses predictability in the context of their world
  • The four broad types of market behavior in Altis’ program
  • Trend following and persistence
  • Inter-market relationships
  • Why there are no “manual” inputs in Altis’ systematic program
  • Portfolio construction and why Altis is different from its peers
  • Applying the same models to all markets
  • The collegial atmosphere amongst London CTAs

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