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Higher Education… Not All it’s Cracked Up to be (Mailbag)

David Ricardo (19 April 1772 – 11 September 1823) was an English political economist, often credited with systematizing economics, and was one of the most influential of the classical economists, along with Thomas Malthus, Adam Smith, and John Stuart Mill. According to an 1838 book, The Great Metropolis, Volume 2, Ricardo had certain golden rules:

“As I have mentioned the name of Mr. Ricardo, I may observe that he amassed his immense fortune by a scrupulous attention to what he called his own three golden rules, the observance of which he used to press on his private friends. These were: 1. Never refuse an option* when you can get it, 2. Cut short your losses, and 3. Let your profits run on. By cutting short one’s losses, Mr. Ricardo meant that when a member had made a purchase of stock, and prices were falling, he ought to resell immediately. And by letting one’s profits run on he meant, that when a member possessed stock, and prices were raising, he ought not to sell until prices had reached their highest, and were beginning again to fall. These are, indeed, golden rules, and may be applied with advantage to innumerable other transactions than those connected with the Stock Exchange.”


Building off that consider a story sent in from a listener:

Michael,

I live in Guernsey, which is a small island with several single track lanes in the rural parishes. I was driving yesterday when I came across two cars which were almost bumper to bumper. (I knew the lady driving the car going in the direction we were traveling in, she is a robust lady who is the wife of a close friend.)

Anyway the man driving the other car refuses to back up a few yards to a passing point, and is already getting out of the car, to argue with her, when I drive up behind her, she gave him short shrift and by the time he had acquiesced and decided to reverse a car had come up behind me and he had a lorry approach behind him.

He eventually reversed making a meal of this – and the whole process took a lot longer than it would have if he had just swallowed his pride and reversed immediately.

The moral of the story is – cut your losses short, before they have the opportunity to get your ego involved and the whole situation escalates beyond sensible proportions.

Kind regards,
[Name]

True that!

More feedback in:

Wish you and Taleb did a podcast together. Thank you again for not wasting my time talking about damn beer, the now cool thing to fill time on podcast.

[Name]

Beer is the cool talking point, eh? I am so far out of the loop!

More feedback in:

Hi Michael,

Firstly a quick thank you for all your books, most of which I own and have reread multiple times. I can’t overstate how invaluable they have been in helping develop my views and approach to trading. And thank you for all the other open source sharing of knowledge that you provide in your podcasts and trend following update emails, again I really appreciated them both for the information provided and for the motivation and new trading ideas they have inspired.

I know your views on tertiary education, however I was given an opportunity to study a Masters in Finance and am now mid way through the degree. I’m exploring ideas to focus my research on for my final project and want to use the project as an opportunity to deepen my understanding of the CTA industry. Ultimately I’m aiming for my project to have real value to someone within the industry by sharing new knowledge and insights or ideally providing a solution to an issue they face.

You have a deep understanding of the CTA industry and an amazing network of contacts so I wanted to ask you whether there were any areas you felt required further research. Otherwise whether there were any problems the industry faced that you or your contacts had identified that I could research and challenge myself to solve. I want my research to be relevant and offer practical application and value to the industry, rather than being exclusively an academic exercise so I would appreciate any feedback you could share.

Kind Regards
[Name]
Cape Town, South Africa

Thanks for your nice words.

I don’t have a research idea for you. But going through my world of books and podcast will push serious ideas I suspect.

More feedback in:

BTW, I like how you say PhDs are not necessary…I have a PhD in Microbiology and Immunology and a law degree, bought into the whole education thing. It’s fine as far as making a living but definitely not what it’s cracked up to be.

Indeed.

Michael Covel Trex
Michael Covel Trex

How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

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Ep. 471: Emma Seppala Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Emma Seppälä
Emma Seppälä

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My guest today is Emma Seppala, the author of “The Happiness Track: How to Apply the Science of Happiness to Accelerate Your Success.” She is the Associate Director for the Center of Compassion at Stanford University. Emma’s work isn’t based on theories or common knowledge, there is a tremendous amount of neuroscience backing her work.

The topic is her book The Happiness Track: How to Apply the Science of Happiness to Accelerate Your Success.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio:

  • Benefits of happiness
  • Stresses in life
  • Controlling your mind
  • Happiness in college
  • Cultivating resilience
  • Tapping into the opposite of fight or flight response
  • Impact of different breathing techniques
  • Living in the moment of now
  • Authenticity
  • The flow state
  • Activating creativity

“Self criticism is basically self sabotage.” – Emma Seppala

Mentions & Resources:

Listen to this episode:

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“Stick with what you know best, so you don’t sound like a complete idiot”

Feedback in based on my recent podcast:

“I think you should have named the most latest episode abject stupidity, and lack of human decency. Stick with what you know best, so you don’t sound like a complete idiot. Now you can go ahead and read this email on your podcast like you’ve done to others in the past, but I think you should stop and think for a second that you might be annoying the very people you are expecting to money off of.”

A great excerpt from Ayn Rand, John Galt, in Atlas Shrugged:

“The symbol of all relationships among [rational] men, the moral symbol of respect for human beings, is the trader. We, who live by values, not by loot are traders, both in manner and spirit. A trader is a man who earns what he gets and does not give or take the undeserved. A trader does not ask to be paid for his failures, nor does he ask to be loved for his flaws. A trader does not squander his body as fodder, or his soul as alms. Just as he does not give his work except in trade for material values, so he does not give the values of his spirit – his love, his friendship, his esteem – except in payment and in trade for human virtue, in payment for his own selfish pleasure, which he receives from men he can respect. The mystic parasites who have, throughout the ages, reviled the trader and held him in contempt, while honoring the beggars and the looters, have known the secret motive of the sneers: a trader is the entity they dread – a man of justice.”

A good retort.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 470: Objective with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Objective with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Objective with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Subscribe to Trend Following Radio on iTunes

Please enjoy my monologue Objective with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio:

  • Man’s morality
  • Altruism
  • Self sacrifice
  • Free and unregulated economies
  • Capitalism with government help
  • Welfare
  • Depressions due to government interference
  • Strategic decision making

“Man is entitled to his own happiness but he must achieve it himself. He cannot demand that others give up their lives to make him happy.” – Ayn Rand

“I have no faith at all, I only have convictions.” – Ayn Rand

Mentions & Resources:

Listen to this episode:

Want to learn more Trend Following? Watch my video here.

Ep. 469: Laura Roeder Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Laura Roeder
Laura Roeder

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My guest today is Laura Roeder, a serial entrepreneur and her newest company is Edgar, a social media application. She started working for herself creating websites for people when she was 22 living in Chicago. It spread to optimizing traffic and online marketing for her clients. In 2014 she launched her social media software business, Edgar. They haven’t taken any money from investors and have grown to 2.8 million annual revenue.

The topics are entrepreneur and social media.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio:

  • Social media
  • Business competitors
  • Success of Dropbox
  • Keeping up a great reputation
  • Be aware that competitors can access everything
  • Women in the entrepreneurial space

Mentions & Resources:

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Algorithms and Decision-Making

Algorithms Are Smart
Algorithms Are Smart

Feedback in:

Hi Michael,

You talked about computers and algorithms in a recent podcast.

I just listened to a talk by Brian Christian for the Long Now foundation about using algorithms to support our decision making. Not necessarily using a computer, but rather to help our thinking and decision making process. A great talk which touches on similar issues. I’d love to hear you interview him some time.

Brian Christian is the co-author of “Algorithms to Live By: The Computer Science of Human Decisions”.

Cheers,
[Name]

Thanks! Looks like a good guest.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 468: Irrationality with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Irrationality with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Irrationality with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Subscribe to Trend Following Radio on iTunes

Please enjoy my monologue Irrationality with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio:

  • Law of demand
  • Behavioral economics
  • Experimental economics
  • How do you make bubbles go away
  • Using algorithms over emotions
  • Noise reduction
  • Statistical thinking
  • Understanding the difference between risk and uncertainty
  • Probability theory
  • Risk Communication
  • Unconscious things that make us fearful

At the beginning of the 20th century, the science fiction author Herbert H. Wells made the following prediction, ‘If we want efficient citizens in a modern technological society we need to teach them three things: Reading, writing and statistical thinking.’ That is, a good way to deal with risk and certainty. Now, today almost 100 years later we have taught in the investment world almost everyone to read and write, more or less, but not to think with risk and uncertainty. – Gerd Gigerenzer

Mentions & Resources:

Listen to this episode:

Want to learn more Trend Following? Watch my video here.