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Teller Outlines Trend Following Philosophical Foundations (Though Not His Intent)

Teller writes:

The most important decision anyone makes in any situation is “Where do I put the dividing line between what’s in my head and what’s out there? Where does make-believe leave off and reality begin?” That’s the first job your intellect needs to do before you can act in the real world. If you can’t distinguish reality from make-believe—if you’re at a stoplight and you’re not sure whether the bus that’s coming toward your car is real or only in your head—you’re in big trouble. There aren’t many circumstances where this intellectual distinction isn’t critical.

It was not his intent, but what a great explanation for why trading price is so smart. He continues:

Let’s take what magicians call a force, where the magician gives you a false sense of free action by giving you an extremely controlled choice…When I go to the supermarket, I have a choice of dozens of kinds of cereals—all made by the same manufacturer of essentially the same ingredients. I have the gut impression of variety and freedom, but in the end, the only real choice I have is not to buy.

Mutual funds not really a choice? Left/right politicians not really a choice? Correct, not really a choice.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

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Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 92: Cheat Sheet for Trading Success with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Cheat Sheet for Trading Success with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Cheat Sheet for Trading Success with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Please enjoy my monologue The Cheat Sheet with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

Listen to this episode:

Want to learn more Trend Following? Watch my video here.

John Wooden: The Difference Between Winning and Succeeding

More.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 91: The Six Inches Between Your Ears with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

The Six Inches Between Your Ears with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
The Six Inches Between Your Ears with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Please enjoy my monologue The Six Inches Between Your Ears with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

Listen to this episode:

Want to learn more Trend Following? Watch my video here.

Thinking About Winning and Losing

The guy who wins the most hands is not the guy who makes the most money in the long run. The guy who never loses a hand is not the guy who makes the most money in the long run.

Think about it. Or don’t.

Note: Shout to Tony Hsieh for the words. My film takes the thought further.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

“The Market is Always Right.”

Jim Rohrbach writes:

I was listening to the Gary Kaltbaum show last night, and my friend Brian Balsanek was filling in for Gary. Brian said something that was very profound and simple. He said, “The stock market is always right.” I love that. Yes the market is always right. Often we hear people saying that the market is going to go up or go down. They place their investment decisions with what they think the market is going to do. Then when the market doesn’t do what they think it should do, they try to tell us that the market is wrong. They don’t admit that they are wrong. The market does what it wants to do and it is always right. We may not agree with what the market is doing at any point in time, but it is futile to say the market is wrong or to invest opposite the market. If the trend of the market is up, that is the correct trend and we need to go with it. If the trend is turns down, we should get out and not try to rationalize that the market should not be going down. Since the market is going down, and since the market is always right, we should get out.

Nice Jim.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 90: Richard Weissman with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Richard Weissman
Richard Weissman

My guest today is Richard Weissman, a professional trader with over 25 years of experience and an author. Weissman considers himself a “swing trader”. He is one of the world’s foremost authorities and thought leaders in the fields of derivatives, risk management and technical analysis.

The topic is his book Trade Like a Casino: Find Your Edge, Manage Risk, and Win Like the House.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Weissman’s path from how he started trading with his father in 1987 to how he made his way to where he is today
  • Background to Weissman naming his book
  • The influence of Jack Schwager’s work
  • Risk management
  • Positive expectancy
  • How Weissman defines trends and signs of strength
  • The idea of “don’t anticipate, just participate”
  • Positive expectancy and the probability skew
  • The connection between table limits and risk management
  • How there are no truly “safe investments”
  • Some tools that Weissman has used to influence his own trading psychology and smooth out the emotional highs and lows
  • Not letting a high price stop you from buying, and not letting a low price stop you from selling
  • Weissman’s concept of “the opaque urn”
  • The three things you can guarantee

Listen to this episode:

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