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Ep. 312: Dan Hill Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Dan Hill
Dan Hill

My guest today is Dan Hill, a recognized authority on the role of emotions in consumer and employee behavior. He runs Sensory Logic, a scientific insights firm that analyzes consumers’ facial expressions to help companies better navigate consumers’ emotional decision-making processes.

The topic is consumer and employee behavior.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • What a face coding expert is
  • The evolutionary aspect to face coding and the 43 muscles present in the face; emotional decision-making
  • How Hill found his way personally into this field
  • Why we feel before we think
  • Being hired by the Milwaukee Bucks
  • The importance of a smile in the heart of a champion
  • The difference between technical skill and the factors that Hill is looking for
  • The importance of having the right amount of happiness
  • Some of the limitations of facial coding
  • How technology is intertwined with facial coding
  • Why a personality like Richard Nixon may never be President again
  • The say/feel gap
  • Whether we can learn how to avoid negative facial expressions and emotions
  • A trading system based on the movement of human faces
  • Where we might see facial coding moving to in the future

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Ep. 311: Mebane Faber Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Mebane Faber
Mebane Faber

My guest today is Mebane Faber, a noted author (The Ivy Portfolio), blogger, and portfolio manager with Cambria Investment Management. Faber is involved in many different areas of the market, extremely practical and pragmatic.

The topic is Trend Following.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • The podcast medium
  • Trend following, buy & hold, and emotions
  • Anti-fragility
  • Ray Dalio, risk parity, and his strategies All Weather and Pure Alpha
  • Asset allocation as a buy and hold investor
  • Faber’s five ETF’s, and his factors for starting one
  • Deflation, inflation, Japan, why traders run out of the store when things are on sale
  • Value investing
  • What if governments didn’t meddle with markets

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Ep. 308: Lawrence Delevingne, CNBC and Trend Following with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Lawrence Delevingne, CNBC and Trend Following with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Lawrence Delevingne, CNBC and Trend Following with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Please enjoy my monologue Lawrence Delevingne, CNBC and Trend Following with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

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Want to learn more Trend Following? Watch my video here.

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Ep. 306: Tom Basso Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Tom Basso
Tom Basso

My guest today is Tom Basso, the trader most famously known as “Mr. Serenity” in Jack Schwager’s “New Market Wizards”. Basso, now retired from managing client money, was president and founder of Trendstat Capital Management. Basso became a registered investment advisor in 1980, a registered commodities advisor in 1984, and was elected to the board of the National Futures Association in 1998. Today, he is a private trader.

The topic is Trend Following.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • 50% drop in oil and why trend followers have done especially well with this price movement
  • Why people like to blame speculators, and the value of speculation; emotional rushes and emotional devastation
  • Mentally rehearsing catastrophic events
  • Focusing 1,000 trades into the future
  • Separating your trading from your political opinion
  • Trend following and behavioral economics
  • The importance of not letting your trading define you
  • Basso’s advice to newcomers to the CTA industry

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Ep. 303: Charles Faulkner Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Charles Faulkner
Charles Faulkner

My guest today is Charles Faulkner, an author, trader, and an expert on modeling the knowledge and performance of exceptional individuals. He was originally featured in “The New Market Wizards” by Jack Schwager.

The topic is trading psychology.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • The notion of fictional people and why famous figures in finance are “fictional”
  • The importance of narratives, stories, and metaphors
  • The halo effect and deluding ourselves
  • The difference between a story and a strategy
  • The nature of independent thinking; herd behavior
  • Ego, ignorance, and authority
  • The five different types of minds: the experiencing mind, the imaginative mind, the reasoning mind, the reflective mind, and the generative mind
  • System one and system two
  • Why words don’t change people but experience does
  • Experience base and the difference between amateur and professional traders
  • The two kinds of market wizards
  • Language in the context of the five different types of minds
  • The importance of asking “how” does the market work over “why”
  • The importance of luck and time in the case of Warren Buffett
  • Why you shouldn’t get your excitement from trading

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Ep. 300: Travis Jamison Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Travis Jamison
Travis Jamison

Please enjoy my monologue Michael Covel Monologue and Travis Jamison Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

Listen to this episode:

Want to learn more Trend Following? Watch my video here.

Ep. 299: Scot Billington & Jon Boorman Interviews with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Scot Billington & Jon Boorman
Scot Billington & Jon Boorman

My guests today are Scot Billington and Jon Boorman.

Billington is one of the managers of Covenant Capital along with Brince Wilford. Billington is the Chief Manager, Head Trader, and is responsible for all system development at Covenant.

Boorman is the President and CEO of Broadsword Capital, LLC, a Registered Investment Adviser in Charlotte, NC. Boorman has spent over two decades in global markets, witnessing first-hand some of the most tumultuous periods in financial history. Boorman started the Alpha Capture blog in January 2013 to keep a record of trading signals and market commentary, and demonstrate to a wider audience what could be achieved through trend following. The primary aim has always been to inform and educate.

The topic is trading.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Covel and Billington discuss his firm’s exceptional performance in September of 2014; why low volume and low volatility tend to be accompanied by low returns; whether all of Billington’s trend following trading is predicated on a weekly system; Billington’s background and what got him into the systematic trend following space; why simplicity is the ultimate sophistication; marketing vs. trading reality; why certain investors try and disguise their trend following strategies as something else; why trend following is one of the most repeatable, teachable strateges; why the world still believes in the efficient market hypothesis; why trends continue to emerge as a function of the marketplace; the idea of a barbell strategy; and why upside volatility is not such a bad thing.
  • Covel and Boorman discuss the fear of public speaking; the idea of ego in the context of both trend following and buy & hold systems; why you’d seek to minimize rather than eliminate both ego and emotion in the context of trading; how Boorman and Jerry Parker connected and Parker’s early influence on Boorman; both Parker and Boorman’s views on exit strategies; how Twitter changes the level of access we have to each other; whether Boorman’s RIA might move into a fund structure; and process vs. outcome.

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