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Ep. 119: On Being Picked with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
On Being Picked with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
On Being Picked with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Please enjoy my monologue On Being Picked with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

Listen to this episode:

Want to learn more Trend Following? Watch my video here.

Ep. 118: Trend Following in China with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Trend Following in China with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Trend Following in China with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Please enjoy my monologue The Trends of China with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

Listen to this episode:

Want to learn more Trend Following? Watch my video here.

—

Listen to my interview with Jed Rothstein creator of the China Hustle Film here.

Ep. 116: Jerry Parker Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Jerry Parker
Jerry Parker

My guest today is Jerry Parker. In 1983, Parker was accepted into the Turtle Program, a select investment training program developed by successful Chicago portfolio manager Richard Dennis. He appears in Covel’s “The Complete TurtleTrader” and has been the most successful TurtleTrader. Parker founded Chesapeake Capital Corporation, a global investment manager headquartered in Richmond, Virginia, in 1988.

The topic is Trend Following. 

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Mistake of combining different strategies with trend following, and the importance of having a concentrated strategy that you can rely on
  • How discretionary moves can get in the way of your system, and “systematized discretion”
  • The psychological effect of following a trend following strategy for decades
  • The idea of going for positive expected value over what’s least risky
  • Why Parker doesn’t like to use the term “managed futures”, and why it doesn’t really tell the story of trend followers
  • Trend followers performing well at different points in time compared to long-only
  • Using trend following as another strategy for investors who only invest through a long-only value-based system
  • The importance of not letting your views on politics and society influence your trading, and maintaining a systematic and disciplined approach
  • The growth of news media since 1984, information overflow, limiting your variables, and using price as your primary indicator
  • How Parker has learned over the years to deal with drawdowns, loving your losses, and the importance the Turtle program played in his education on drawdowns
  • Why governments are the ultimate counter-trend traders
  • Why buy and hold is not a good place to be even if people are saying it’s turned around
  • Parker’s stock-only trend following program, and why the diversified program will do better than the stock-only system
  • Leverage as a tool

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Ep. 111: Nick Radge Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Nick Radge
Nick Radge

My guest today is Nick Radge. Radge operates The Chartist (www.thechartist.com.au). He began trading in 1985. During a stint working for an investment bank in Singapore Nick dedicated his evenings testing trading strategies; 2 hours a day for 18 months, a total of at least 750 hours. Nick’s first book, Every-Day Traders (John Wiley & Sons Australia Ltd, 2003), was written to identify the traits of successful traders.

The topic is his book Unholy Grails – A New Road to Wealth.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • How the trend following world is foreign to many people
  • The importance of drawing distinctions between traditional value investing and alternative systems like trend following
  • How the name of the game for many fund managers is not necessarily performance but funds under management
  • Playing the game of mathematics vs. playing the game of picking the right stocks
  • Why the US stock market has gone straight up despite all the fear going on elsewhere in the world, and why you shouldn’t “fight the tape”
  • Closet trend followers
  • Why price can’t be faked
  • Trade restrictions, cultural attitudes, and the importance of being able to step out of the crowd
  • Why individuals have an advantage over fund managers
  • The value of understanding trend following even when you don’t actually use it as a strategy
  • Spotting ‘trends’, how you can’t spot a trend until it’s started or until it’s over, and using hitchhiking as an analogy for trading
  • How trend following is useful when outlier events and black swans appear
  • Using rules and strategies to fight fear
  • The difficulty of using Warren Buffett as an example, and the problems that arise when managing larger amounts of money
  • Radge’s thoughts on being an entrepreneur

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Ep. 107: Be Water My Friend with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Be Water My Friend with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Be Water My Friend with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Please enjoy my monologue Be Water My Friend with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

Listen to this episode:

Want to learn more Trend Following? Watch my video here.

Ep. 106: Personal Responsibility with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Personal Responsibility with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Personal Responsibility with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Please enjoy my monologue Personal Responsibility with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

Listen to this episode:

Want to learn more Trend Following? Watch my video here.

Ep. 95: Chris Kacher and Gil Morales Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Chris Kacher and Gil Morales
Chris Kacher and Gil Morales

My guests today are Chris Kacher and Gil Morales.

Kacher is the co-founder of TriQuantum Technologies, holding company for KJA wherein he is lead portfolio manager. Dr. Kacher’s metrics have called every major top & bottom in bitcoin since 2011 to within a few weeks of the top. He was up in 2018 vs the average performing crypto hedge fund at -54% (PwC).

Morales was personally recruited by Bill O’Neil himself to join William O’Neil + Company, Inc. as a Vice -President and Manager of the Institutional Services Division, responsible for advising over 600 institutional investor clients, and as an internal portfolio manager responsible for managing a portion of the firm’s proprietary, internal assets. From 1997 to 2005 he achieved a return of approximately 2100% in his portion of the firm’s proprietary account. In 2004 he was named Chief Market Strategist at William O’Neil + Company, Inc.

The topic is their book In The Trading Cockpit with the O’Neil Disciples: Strategies that Made Us 18,000% in the Stock Market.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • The “O.W.L.” ethos, and the story behind it
  • Reversion to the mean mentality, and how it can often be the kiss of death for traders and investors
  • Trading psychology, the idea that “you must lose to win”, how the least important statistic is your percentage of gains v. losses in your trading account
  • Dealing with emotionalism and why clients often want to hear something that will make them feel better
  • Teaching people to let go of the news and simply watch the price action
  • Why people think that “this time is different”, put their trust in the central economy, and why trend following will survive into the future
  • Understanding that investing is always a process of changing along the way
  • What mental clutter in the way of fears, biases, concerns and more can build up in the mind and get in the way of clear and decisive decision-making

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