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Ep. 446: Abundant Anarchy with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Abundant Anarchy with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Abundant Anarchy with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

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Please enjoy my monologue Abundant Anarchy with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio:

  • Ego
  • Preparing yourself for the next crash
  • Abundance
  • Downfall of the economy

“Connectivity is giving us a consistency of the like minded.” –Josh Brown

“The only way to save the economy is to crash it. There is too much of everything and it isn’t good for anyone.” –Josh Brown

“Abundance is now the enemy.” –Josh Brown

Mentions & Resources:

Listen to this episode:

Want to learn more Trend Following? Watch my video here.

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You don’t want volatility? That’s ok. It’s all a trade-off.

A fascinating trend following track record:

Mulvaney Capital
Mulvaney Capital

That chart always makes me recall a moronic line from Ben Stein: “If you made money in October 2008 you were doing something wrong.”

You don’t want volatility? That’s ok. It’s all a trade-off. The big question: Can you imagine something like October 2008 happening again and what will you do?


Disclaimers

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Our testimonials are the words of real clients received in real correspondence that have not been paid for their testimonials. Testimonials are sometimes printed under aliases to protect privacy, and edited for length. Claims have not been independently verified or audited for accuracy. We do not know how much money was risked, what portion of their total portfolio was allocated, or their exact positions. We do not claim that the results experienced by such clients are typical and you will likely have different results.

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Further, Trend Following™ cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing.

Additionally, Trend Following™ in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any security or instrument. In addition, Trend Following™ accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as a basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor.

HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.


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Hillary Clinton’s Selective Dot Com Bubble Memory

In a March 2016 debate Hillary Clinton declared:

You know, if we’re going to argue about the 1990’s instead of talking about the future, which I’d much prefer because I think every election is about the future, and you all deserve to know what we will do to help you have a brighter future — but, if we are going to talk about the 1990’s I think it’s only fair to say that at the end of the 1990’s, after two terms of my husband’s presidency, the unemployment rate in Michigan was 4.4 percent.

The 1990s were the biggest stock market bubble in USA history. And now 16 years later, via slight of hand and a fantasy timeline, shes brag about the then great economy that magically only concluded at the tail end of her husband’s Presidency.

Bottom line, politicians are never the path to wealth and their words never tell anywhere close to a full story. Here are the 1990s in Nasdaq chart form:

NASDAQ Bubble Chart
NASDAQ Bubble Chart

How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 405: Didier Sornette Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Didier Sornette
Didier Sornette

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My guest today is Didier Sornette, the Professor on the Chair of Entrepreneurial Risks at Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich. He is also a professor of the Swiss Finance Institute, associated with both the department of Physics and the department of Earth Sciences at ETH Zurich. He has worked on the King effect, a theory used to predict economic bubbles. Didier also set up the Financial Crisis Observatory in October of 2008. He brings an interesting perspective to financial crisis’s, and bubbles.

The topic is market bubbles.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • The adaptive market hypothesis
  • Dragon Kings vs. Black Swans
  • New economy syndrome
  • Predictive markets
  • Finite singularity
  • Equilibrium of the world

“When herding behaviour among investors ramps up, a stock’s or index’s growth rate can increase faster than exponentially, leading to more herding. This positive feedback brings the system to a tipping point. About two-thirds of the time, a crash results.” – Didier Sornette

Mentions & Resources:

Listen to this episode:

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Worried About the Stock Market?

Feedback in:

After listening to your podcast for years – I can just hear you reacting to this:

Read.

Best,
[Name]

Everyone has a choice to make!


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Are You Profiting From the Market Panic?

Feedback in:

Michael,

I received a call from my dad asking if I was OK with the market panic selloff. Even though I had explained how I trade he and many others still think a drop in markets is bad for everyone. Naturally the panic selling was not the start of the down trend so I was nicely short the Dow prior to sell off.

I still can’t believe how robust this system is. Conceptually, I felt I understood it in the past but you just don’t get it until you trade it. And I am still amazed that the general market still thinks that you can only profit from stocks and commodities going up. At the same time I am profiting from that ignorance, so I am inclined to enjoy it.

Regards,
[Name]

Thanks.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Black Swan Events: How Rare Are They Really?

Feedback in:

Mike, I had to send this to you. I snapped this photo near my property at my neighbor’s farm. TWO black swans!

Enjoy!
[Name]

Thanks!


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

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