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Tag: covel

Ep. 247: Van Tharp Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Van Tharp
Van Tharp

My guest today is Van Tharp, Tharp runs the Van Tharp Institute and is the author of four acclaimed books published by McGraw Hill: Super Trader, Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom, Safe Strategies for Financial Freedom, and Financial Freedom Through Electronic Day Trading. He was also featured in Jack Schwager’s Market Wizard’s: Interviews with Great Traders. Van Tharp received his Ph.D. in psychology, is a certified Master Practitioner of Neuro Linguistic Programming (NLP), a Certified Master Time Line Therapist, a certified Modeler of NLP, and an Assistant Trainer of NLP. He has used his expertise in NLP to create the successful models of trading and investing upon which so much of his work is based.

The topic is his book Trading Beyond the Matrix: The Red Pill for Traders and Investors.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Beliefs in the context of trading and investing
  • The moment of now, and the Navajo’s belief of a never-ending present
  • The belief examination paradigm
  • “Big money” and what it means to Van Tharp
  • The idea of “trader jail”
  • Fear of the unknown
  • The importance of sleep
  • The difference between spirituality and religion

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Van Tharp

Ep. 246: David Ryan Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
David Ryan
David Ryan

My guest today is David Ryan. Ryan was famously first featured in Jack Schwager’s “Market Wizards” book. Ryan has been the U.S. Investing Champion for 3 times and also worked for William O’Neil. 

The topic is market wizards strategies.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • How Ryan got his start walking up to the front door of O’Neil’s offices
  • How Ryan would describe his approach to trading today
  • CAN SLIM trading, and buying the breakout vs. buying the dip
  • Enjoying trading without clients
  • Some good CAN SLIM winners in the past two to three years from Ryan’s perspective
  • Big picture-wise, the max loss that Ryan is willing to take on a position
  • The type of winning percentages that Ryan really sees
  • The uneasiness about the overall market system since the 2008 financial crisis and how Ryan looks at how the situation has unfolded
  • High frequency trading
  • How the market can be humbling; and getting your ego out of the market

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David Ryan

5 Minute Bar or Weekly Bar: The Same Thing! Not Exactly the Same

Posted on by Michael Covel

Consider as a foundation to this post:

“The window on analysis is shrinking. People are moving so fast now that they don’t have time to think. They’re scanning, swiping, clicking, liking, tweeting and moving on at full velocity. They’re making decisions based on feelings, not facts. They are often choosing not because of what they think, but because of how something makes them feel.”

So, I was having a conversation with a guy online. A video out there had made the declarative statement that good trading was about switching between time frames: 5 minute bar to weekly bar to whatever. The video implied it’s all about switching. I said to this guy: “It sounds plausible to switch from 5 minute to weekly bar?” He offered:

Let’s say my trading approach is to trade when a particular technical pattern appears. Is it not plausible that I might look on a number of timescales to find instances of that pattern (either manually or getting a computer to do the spade work)?…However, personally I don’t think that published stats are the be all and end all [made in response to my call for empirical data]. For example, if someone who seems plausible tells me that they have traded the (say) the five minute chart using a particular method and made a profit over thousands of trades, I regard that as evidence. Also, I’m more interested in the theoretical underpinnings of a methodology than the empirical evidence, given that markets change and are designed to remove edges over time.

Try to make a system out of those feelings. Try to code those feelings. This inane interchange brought to mind a great line from Graham Greene’s The Quiet American:

“He was impregnably armored by his good intentions and his ignorance.”

Indeed. A failure to communicate:

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Ep. 245: Jerry Parker Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Jerry Parker
Jerry Parker

My guest today is Jerry Parker, an original Turtle, trained by Richard Dennis. However, since then he has very successfully run a managed money firm called Chesapeake Capital.

The topic is Trend Following.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Mean reversion trading
  • What the definition of momentum trading is compared to trend following
  • Why “good enough” is more rigorous than any metric
  • How the intervention of the Fed has broken up trends and made volatility drop in markets
  • How the idea of uncertainty and talking in probabilities makes people uncomfortable
  • The difference between managed futures and trend following
  • Why buy and hold is predicated on trust of the Fed
  • Why trend followers don’t look to “beat” the market

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jerry parker chesapeake capital

Ep. 244: Walter Williams Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Walter Williams
Walter Williams

My guest today is Walter Williams, an American economist, commentator, and academic. He is the John M. Olin Distinguished Professor of Economics at George Mason University, as well as a syndicated columnist and author known for his libertarian views.

The topics are liberty and economics.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Why Williams calls himself a radical
  • The morality of markets
  • The welfare state and bailouts
  • How Williams didn’t “think poor” growing up
  • The nefarious aspect of minimum wage
  • How Williams stayed positive and avoided bitterness despite opposition
  • Malcolm X. and Martin Luther King, Jr.
  • Why there’s no poverty in the United States
  • How Williams felt about the Fall of 2008 and the bailouts that took place
  • How we got to the point where people want to trust the state so much
  • How Williams has developed a thick skin to deal with the criticism of his radical nature

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“How does something immoral, when done privately, become moral when it is done collectively? Furthermore, does legality establish morality? Slavery was legal; apartheid is legal; Stalinist, Nazi, and Maoist purges were legal. Clearly, the fact of legality does not justify these crimes. Legality, alone, cannot be the talisman of moral people.”

Ep. 243: John Mauldin Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
John Mauldin
John Mauldin

My guest today is John Mauldin, a noted financial expert, a New York Times best-selling author, a pioneering online commentator, and the publisher of one of the most widely read investment newsletters in the world.

The topic is finance.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Credit card rates and zero interest rate policy
  • The improper use of credit
  • Debt spirals
  • Central bank policies that keep whipsaw periods going
  • The actions in Japan and how they can spread across the world
  • The justifications that Mauldin sees behind the scenes
  • Black swans and boom-bust periods
  • How the 2008 financial crisis wasn’t a true black swan event
  • The “why” behind zero interest rate policy
  • The specter of Keynesianism over the world

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Ep. 241: A Cult-Like Indoctrination with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
A Cult-Like Indoctrination with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
A Cult-Like Indoctrination with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Please enjoy my monologue A Cult-Like Indoctrination with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

Keep Calm, The Fire Rises

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