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Ep. 383: Lawrence McMillan Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Lawrence McMillan
Lawrence McMillan

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My guest today is Lawrence McMillan of McMillan Analysis Corporation, perhaps best known as the author of Options As a Strategic Investment, the best-selling work on stock and index options strategies, which has sold over 300,000 copies. An active trader of his own account, he also manages option-oriented accounts for certain individuals.

The topic is his Market Commentary.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • American vs. European-style options
  • The logic behind VIX
  • Leverage as a tool
  • Understanding puts and calls
  • Long and short selling
  • Examining the subprime mortgage crisis of 2008

“I’m not counting on disaster. I don’t want there to be disaster. I don’t want my house to burn down, but I do want insurance in case it does. That’s our basic strategy.” – Lawrence McMillan

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Ep. 381: Ben Whately Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Ben Whately
Ben Whately

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My guest today is Ben Whately, a serial entrepreneur and education innovator. While studying Experimental Psychology at Oxford, Ben became fascinated by the ways that our brains learn. After graduating, he moved to Qiqihaer, a remote city in northern China. He is a memory expert and Memrise co-founder.

The topic is memory.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Memory, a composite of previously formed memories
  • How memories are encoded in the brain
  • To the brain, remembering equals imagining
  • How the most effective way to teach is to be entertaining
  • Technology, and how it affects our views on memory

“People have this experience of being taught to memorize something, and the way they’re taught to memorize it is through sheer boredom, when in fact the most effective way to memorize it is to make it entertaining.” – Ben Whately

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Ep. 361: Francisco Vaca Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Francisco Vaca
Francisco Vaca

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My guest today is Francisco Vaca. Vaca can be called a second generation turtle trader. He worked with Richard Dennis at C & D Commodities, and for the last 15 years has been closely associated with Paul Rabar. He is now the Co-Chief Investment Officer at Rabar Market Research. Before he became a trader, Vaca was a particle physicist and worked at the famous Fermi lab. This is not an insignificant fact, as his background in mathematics and statistics became very useful in his career as a trader.

The topic is Trend Following.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • The importance of distinguishing between long term and short term track records
  • “Alpha” and “beta” trading strategies
  • How the holding period length affects the risk-reward profile and return streaks
  • The benefits of diversification across different holding times
  • Using high frequency trading technology in long term trend following
  • How correlations are often misinterpreted
  • Knowing the limitations of your tools

“The best performing system historically is not necessarily the best system going forward” – Francisco Vaca

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Ep. 356: Talk About The Passion with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Talk About The Passion with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Talk About The Passion with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Please enjoy my monologue Talk About The Passion with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

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Ep. 341: Michael Dever Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Michael Dever
Michael Dever

My guest today is Michael Dever, an American businessman, futures trader, entrepreneur, and author. Dever is the founder and CEO of Brandywine Asset Management, Inc., an investment management firm founded in 1982.

The topic is Trend Following.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Multiple fundamentally based strategies in a systematic diversified portfolio that trades across more than one hundred global markets; strategy diversification
  • The word “predictable” from Dever’s perspective; lack of correlation to other strategies
  • What Dever means by a “not purely quantitative” strategy
  • How and why this particular suite of strategies came to exist
  • The five strategy types
  • Crisis events and black swans
  • The weakness in the multiple strategy return driver set
  • The importance of speculators
  • The fixation on low volatility strategies
  • True portfolio diversification.

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Dear Mr. Covel, Thank you for taking the time to read and reply to my emails in the past. I admire you and what you do. Thank you for the wealth of education and the opportunity to dive deep into the world of trend following.

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Ep. 301: Jim Rogers Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Jim Rogers
Jim Rogers

My guest today is Jim Rogers, an American businessman, investor and author currently based in Singapore. He is the Chairman of Rogers Holdings and Beeland Interests, Inc. He was the co-founder of the Quantum Fund and creator of the Rogers International Commodities Index (RICI). Rogers does not consider himself a member of any school of economic thought, but has acknowledged that his views best fit the label of Austrian School of economics.

The topic is investment.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Why it shows that the kind of people that travel are the kind of people you want in your country
  • Infrastructure in China
  • Stereotypes of various countries in Asia
  • China’s military
  • Current Fed policy in America
  • What “can-do” spirit can do in a state of decline
  • Why the next crisis might be worse than the last
  • The importance of language skills
  • Participating in big long-term bets with regard to countries
  • Why, if he could, Rogers would put all of his money into North Korea

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