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Ep. 269: Robert Aumann Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Robert Aumann
Robert Aumann

My guest today is Robert Aumann, the fourth Nobel Prize winner to appear on this podcast. Aumann is an Israeli-American mathematician, and a member of the United States National Academy of Sciences. He is a professor at the Center for the Study of Rationality in the Hebrew University of Jerusalem in Israel.

The topic is game theory.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Conflict and cooperation through game theory analysis
  • World via his game theory perspective
  • Meeting John Nash and Aumann’s early background
  • What game theory is trying to accomplish
  • The economic definition of rationality
  • The idea of a strategy matrix
  • The world champions of peace and the best way to maintain peace
  • The 2008-09 bailouts from Aumann’s perspective and a game theory outlook
  • Behavioral economics
  • Game theory, diplomats, and the Cuban Missile Crisis
  • The existence of nuclear weapons and the Cold War

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Ep. 267: Dennis Gartman Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Dennis Gartman
Dennis Gartman

My guest today is Dennis Gartman, the editor and publisher of The Gartman Letter. Gartman appears on CNBC, ROB-TV and Bloomberg television, discussing commodities and the capital markets, and speaks before various associations and trade groups around the world.

The topic is outside the box market perspectives.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • How Gartman first got started
  • Chicago trading in the late 70’s to the mid 80’s
  • Why you should never add to a losing position
  • Buying strength and selling weakness
  • Systems from Gartman’s perspective, and keeping your systems simple
  • Being patient with winning trades and impatient with losers
  • Gartman’s daily grind and process
  • Mass psychology, efficient markets, and behavioral economics
  • Gartman’s thoughts on the market today and geopolitical events
  • How we hear about geopolitical events today compared to the past

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Ep. 262: Terry Burnham Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Terry Burnham
Terry Burnham

My guest today is Terry Burnham, an economist who studies the biological and evolutionary basis of human behavior. He has a Ph.D. in Business Economics from Harvard University, a Masters from the MIT Sloan School with a concentration in finance. Terry was a professor at the Harvard Kennedy School, the University of Michigan, and the Harvard Business School. His non-academic experiences include working briefly for Goldman, Sachs & Co., being the chief financial officer for Progenics Pharmaceuticals , a start-up biotechnology company, and being the director of portfolio management for Acadian Asset Management, a quantitative equity manager.

The topic is his book Mean Markets and Lizard Brains: How to Profit from the New Science of Irrationality.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Burnham removed $1 million from his Bank of America account and said “I don’t trust the banks”
  • The two ways to think about risk
  • Separating the ideas of luck and skill
  • The lizard brain and how it relates back to our choices
  • A story about interacting with Paul Tudor Jones
  • Why markets have momentum
  • The great driver of conformity
  • Rationality and irrationality
  • Captive chimps vs. chimps in the wild and the differences in behavior
  • Predicting when the Fed will step in
  • Thinking of the worst case scenario for equities and looking to Japan for an example
  • Negative interest rates

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Ep. 261: Andy Puddicombe Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Andy Puddicombe
Andy Puddicombe

My guest today is Andy Puddicombe, the founder of Headspace, an award-winning digital health platform that provides guided meditation sessions. Puddicombe is a former Buddhist monk with a degree in Circus Arts.

The topic is meditation.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Puddicombe’s background and how he came into the position he is in today
  • Some traumatic events which may have had an influence on Puddicombe’s decision to become a monk
  • Covel’s own meditation experience
  • Comparing mindfulness and meditation
  • The importance of a daily practice
  • Stress and the science behind meditation
  • Neuroplasticity
  • The wandering mind and unhappiness
  • The idea of the present moment, and how traders that embrace the present moment have an advantage
  • Intuition

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New Michael Covel Interview

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Ep. 260: Sally Hogshead Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Sally Hogshead
Sally Hogshead

My guest today is Sally Hogshead, a New York Times bestselling author, National Speakers Association Hall of Fame speaker, chief executive officer of How to Fascinate (Fascinate, Inc) and a former advertising executive.

The topic is her book How The World Sees You: Discover Your Highest Value Through The Science of Fascination.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Fascination and paying attention
  • The seven different categories of things that fascinate us
  • What those who fascinate have in common
  • Developing a personality assessment that shows how the world sees you
  • Understanding your own personal branding
  • Analyzing Michael Covel’s own fascination survey
  • Not being a commodity
  • Why if you’re not generating a negative reaction from someone, you’re probably not fascinating anyone
  • Why you don’t want to be vanilla ice cream

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Ep. 259: Bucky Isaacson Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Bucky Isaacson
Bucky Isaacson

My guest today is Bucky Isaacson, one of the early pioneers of managed futures. In 1969, he helped to develop one of the first computerized trading systems. He’s been involved in the managed futures industry ever since, particularly in Asia and the US.

The topic is managed futures.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Fractured state of conferences these days
  • What it was like to be involved with a group developing a computerized trading system in 1969
  • Being with one of the earliest incarnations of a managed futures firm
  • Trading attitudes
  • Marketing and doing business in Asia
  • Differences in business practices between Asian countries
  • Refco, MF Global, PFG and other aberrations that have damaged the Chicago futures brand
  • Madoff as a marketer
  • Raising the initial capital to start a trading venture
  • How to differentiate yourself from a marketing perspective
  • Growth in the managed futures industry

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Read more on Christopher Sugrue of Refco.