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Ep. 353: Steve Burns Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Steve Burns
Steve Burns

My guest today is Steve Burns. He has been investing in the stock market for over 20 years. He is the author of seven books, ranks near the top 500 of all reviewers on Amazon.com, and is one of the sites top reviewers for books about trading. Additionally, Burns has single-handedly developed an exceptional Twitter following.

The topic is trading.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Self-publishing world
  • How one goes about making choices in social media
  • Getting over the obstacle of fundamentals
  • Mindfulness and the writings of Alan Watts
  • Backtesting processes
  • Brand new traders being introduced to a model that loses 60% of the time
  • Survivorship bias
  • Predictive vs. reactive technical analysis

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Ep. 352: Tim Larkin Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Tim Larkin
Tim Larkin

My guest today is Tim Larkin, one of America’s leading Pro-Victim Rights and Personal Safety Advocates. He has had a 25 year career where he has trained over 10,000 clients in 52 countries in how to deal with imminent violence.

The topics are his books How To Survive The Most Critical 5 Seconds Of Your Life and Survive The Unthinkable.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Virginia Tech killings and why it is important to study violence
  • Looking at sports injuries for the purpose of self-defense
  • Honor in fighting
  • The relation between prison gang leaders and CEOs
  • The importance of focusing on the man and his mind rather than the tool
  • Avoidable acts of violence
  • Why the United Kingdom did not allow Larkin into the country
  • Avoiding violence from a game theory perspective.

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“Episode 350: Great interviews”

Posted on by Michael Covel

Feedback in:

Michael: Episode 350: Great interviews. One thing mentioned in that was Dave Druz told Melissinos that the most important item was portfolio construction, i.e. selecting instruments that have tendency to trend, and trend often enough to produce meaningful juice. I agree with that. Any material you have from other people that to deeper into portfolio selection within trend following context, please send it my way. Also, I just heard that in 351 that you are heading to China. See if you could include voice clips from your talk over there and make it an episode.

Keep up the good work.

Thanks,
[Name]

Thanks. More insights on portfolios here, here and here.

Ep. 351: Logical Fallacies and Zero Sum with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel

Michael Covel offers a reminder of how to think and act when responding to certain types of questioning and the translation to markets. Covel can think of no more perfect example than the “greed” exchange between Milton Friedman and Phil Donahue. Covel discusses Milton Friedman more and brings and expands the discussion into the general take-down of bullshit. Covel also discusses the importance of 'losers' (see: zero sum) in the market and why people acting irrationally offers perpetual opportunities for trend following traders. Next, a personal anecdote regarding a pre-interview for a podcast, Maria Bartiromo, and the fundamental question: “Why will trend following continue to excel?” Finally, Covel moves onto a healthy bit of advice in risk management for your trading.

Please enjoy my monologue Logical Fallacies and Zero Sum with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

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Ep. 350: Michael Melissinos & Glenn Graham Interviews with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Michael Melissinos & Glenn Graham
Michael Melissinos & Glenn Graham

My guests today are Michael Melissinos and Glenn Graham.

Michael has assumed research and trading responsibilities. He also works on his emotional and mental game with the help of his local Trading Tribe. Tribe helps him maintain discipline through tough performance periods, remain inventive and push the envelope of improving the firm’s investing and education strategy. He previously held positions at Rothstein Kass, Bear Stearns and J.P. Morgan.

Glenn’s firm is Golden Point Capital. Graham has had extensive experience in quantitative trading strategy development in the futures space. He holds the designation of Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst (CAIA), a designation focusing on the alternative asset classes.

The topic is Trend Following.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Covel and Melissinos discuss Melissinos’ career and beginnings; his history with Bear Sterns; Melissinos’ introduction to trend following; “find trends, align with trends, and manage risks”; the similarities between crude oil, copper, sugar, the Euro, and wheat; and trading based purely on price.
  • Graham and Covel discuss Graham’s early trading track record; niche markets and hedging; Graham’s early trading experiences and his history at a high frequency trading firm; early influences in trend style trading; the parallels between trading and backgammon; the importance of the size of your winners over winning percentage; and style drift.

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Ep. 349: Donald MacKenzie Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Donald MacKenzie
Donald MacKenzie

My guest today is Donald MacKenzie, a Professor of Sociology at the University of Edinburgh, Scotland. He works on the sociology of markets, focusing on automated trading, the use of mathematical models, and the evaluation and trading of bonds. MacKenzie has worked in the past on topics ranging from the sociology of nuclear weapons to the meaning of proof in the context of computer systems critical to safety or security.

The topic is his book An Engine, Not A Camera: How Financial Models Shape Markets.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Economic models
  • Self-fulfilling prophecies and economics
  • Our beliefs and the social world
  • The definition of performativity
  • Mackenzie’s analysis and study of the Black-Scholes model
  • Long Term Capital Management
  • Reflexivity
  • The intellectual gap between purveyors of the efficient market hypothesis vs. behavioral economists as reflected in the 2014 Nobel Prize winners
  • The arms race in high frequency trading.

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Any Trend Followers in San Francisco?

Posted on by Michael Covel

Feedback in:

Hi Michael, I am a big follower of yours and love the trend following philosophy. You always list a lot of the trend following hedge funds, and I was wondering if you knew of any in San Francisco?

Thanks,
[Name]

I don’t keep track like that in any comprehensive way to advise you. Wish better news.

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