I just wanted to start off by saying thank you for making so many resources readily available to learn more about trend following trading.
I have been trading commodity futures for a little over 2 years now and have just recently (within the last 3 months) introduced to trend following trading. Trend following is the trading method that makes the most sense to me and the only method I can see leading to a lifetime of returns. Just recently started reading your Trend Following book and it is already resonating with me and enforcing the idea that this is the trading system for me.
I have also been an avid listener of your podcasts. Really enjoy that you dive in to more than just the trading systems themselves but rather how the individuals got their start and found trend following. I also am a fan of the podcasts that discuss the mental side of trading–the most important part.
One final question, from learning more about the trend following world have become interested in learning more about John W. Henry because like him I am a young farmer. Would ever be a guest on the podcast?
Thanks again and look forward to hearing from you.
John W. Henry would be a great guest.
One of John W. Henry’s associates elaborated on the early days:
“Originally all of our testing was done mechanically with pencil and graph that turned into lotus spreadsheets, which was still used extensively in a lot of our day to day work. With the advent of some of these new modeling systems like system writer, day trader and some of the other things, we’ve been able to model some of our systems on these products. Mostly just to back test what we already knew, that trend following works.”
Had this same conversation this year with one of the interviewees for my book The Little Book of Trading. The difference? He was not talking of thirty years ago, but about being success today!
Back in the mid-nineties I met Mark Rosenberg for the first time in his office in Stamford, CT. Rosenberg was/is a trend following trader. Recently, I caught this line from him describing John W. Henry:
“In 1980, Henry told me, ‘I’m going buy the St. Louis Cardinals.’ I told him, ‘You don’t have any money,’ but he always believed he would.”
Such a good piece of wisdom. Well, Henry did not end up with the Cardinals, but the Boston Red Sox were a nice consolation prize!
Fun story about Rosenberg? When I first met him he shared a great trading/entrepreneurial ‘way’ that always stuck with me. Sitting in his private office, and I still remember the book Future Shock prominently displayed, Rosenberg talked about the ups and downs of trading along with the mental outlook needed to excel. He told me that when the down times came, those losing money times, he would always come home and tell his wife that it was back to “franks and beans”. Meaning, he adjusted. He was pragmatic. He always cut back until trends came back.