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“I would appreciate your views on the main mistakes I made in the trading…”

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My approach to trading in the recent past has been to follow fundamental analysis. I traded the euro us dollar in a long view and entered the market every beginning of only a week when the previous week or weeks there had been a retracement of at least 200 pips since for the theory of parity of the purchasing power of currencies the price of the euro to that relative to the dollar was undervalued. According to Columbia University’s purchasing power currency pricing theory, the equilibrium was around 1.2500 / 1.2700 eur / usd. I was profitable until May 2021 when there was a revaluation of the euro against the dollar up to the price of around 1.2300 and then the price plummeting to parity of (1/1) these days. From May 2021 until October 2021 I continued to trade in the buy euro dollar direction, also averaging downwards and, unfortunately, I suffered heavy losses that canceled out my previous profits. This is the experience I have had on trading trading only one currency pair. doing operations by diversifying between several currency pairs I was able to mitigate the time wasters I was able to obtain some increasing gains or over time. This I cannot say. This is the most important experience I have had in trading. I would appreciate your views on the main mistakes I made in the trading I have carried out. Thanks for the answer that I want to give me.

Best regards,
Stefano D.

Your entire strategy should be tossed. All of it. My FAQs below will give another view.


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Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 1112: Bill George Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Bill George
Bill George

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My guest today is Bill George, an executive fellow at Harvard Business School, where he has taught leadership since 2004. He was chair and CEO of Medtronic, was an executive with Honeywell and Litton Industries, and has served in the U.S. Department of Defense. He has served as a director of Goldman Sachs, ExxonMobil, Novartis, Target, the Mayo Clinic, and World Economic Forum USA. He received the 2014 Bower Award for Business Leadership and was elected to the National Academy of Engineering in 2012.

The topic is his book True North: Leading Authentically in Today’s Workplace.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Today’s world leaders
  • Social networks and Facebook chaos
  • The essence of True North
  • What led Bill to his career?
  • Investment knowledge from Warren Buffett
  • Bill’s core philosophy
  • A message to emerging leaders in the making

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“My biggest challenge has been separating fact from fiction…”

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Dear Michael, My biggest challenge has been separating fact from fiction. Now that I have decided upon trend following, it is also just knowing where to start – how to place a trade, what software (if any) is useful, etc. Any practical tips would be welcomed. Is this covered in your course, or is the focus on the system rather than the practical execution of the theory?

Regards,
Chris

My books My Flagship product. Both can get you there.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 1111: Out of Context with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Episode 1111
Episode 1111

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Please enjoy my monologue Out of Context with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio.

Listen to this episode:

Want to learn more Trend Following? Watch my video here.

“Do we care if the product is zero sum or not zero sum…”

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Hi Michael, I read a few reports, or articles from hyperlinks in your lessons about futures and options being zero sum, whereas stocks and ETFs are not. Does it make much, or any difference to anyone to invest in one or the other? Thanks, and the best and great articles you have are quotes by the masters, like Kovner and Druckenmiller.

Futures, ETFs, and leaps can all be used to trade as a trend following trader. That said, of course, they are different instruments.

Hi Mike, Thank you for your reply. I don’t think I asked the question correctly based on your answer. I will try again. As investors in any products, do we care if the product is zero sum or not zero sum? Thanks Mike.

I don’t know that caring is the issue. The issue is that you can trade as a trend follower using futures, ETFs or leaps. It’s a choice. They can all work. They are different instruments. More.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

“You bring such a range of people on so it’s great…”

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Hey Michael,

Thought I’d drop you a quick note to say thank you for all your content over the years.

I have, I think, listened to every single one of your podcasts! You bring such a range of people on so it’s great, and one of my favorites is when the guy cut you off because you challenged him too much in the end, gave me a good chuckle out loud. It was very interesting to listen as it happened, it escalated so quickly and then he cut the conversation in the end I think.

Anyway, keep up the amazing work you do.

The biggest challenge I have faced in trading is making sure I keep the small bets rolling through, making risk management a top priority, and not betting the farm so to speak on the latest and greatest. I let myself get into the nitty-gritty of the latest, but I let price do the job it is there to do and filter out what is working and what is not.

Price rules and everything else is entertainment.

Once again, a big thanks of gratitude for all the content you have produced over the years. I think the first book I read of yours was the way of the Turtle that my manager left on my desk one day, and the rest is history from that day on.

Rob E.

Nice story and thanks!


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 1110: Mark Rzepczynski Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Mark Rzepczynski
Mark Rzepczynski

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My guest today is Mark Rzepczynski. Prior to co-founding AMPHI, Mark was the CEO of the fund group at FourWinds Capital Mgmt. Mark was also President and CIO at John W. Henry & Co., an iconic Commodity Trading Advisor. Mark has headed fixed income research at Fidelity Management and Research, served as the senior economist for the CME, and as a finance professor at the University of Houston Baer School of Business.

The topics are Trading, Economics and Trend Following.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • How to build a strong trading career
  • How does inflation cause distortions
  • Inflation in financial markets
  • Leverage and portfolio management
  • How the FED would protect the stock market
  • VUCA: Volatility, Uncertainty, Complexity and Ambiguity
  • Accuracy from a trend following perspective

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