Latest from Trend Following

In doing some research on the concept of ‘uncertainty’, this paragraph caught my eye: “If there is one thing that defines and limits our efforts to better understand extreme and rare events…

Food for thought: “Technical trading is not glamorous. It will rarely tell that you bought at the lows and sold at the highs. But trading should be a business, and a systematic…

How should one look at trend following performance? Winton Capital, David Harding’s successful trend following shop, offers insights from their recent white paper PDF.

Consider: “The true meaning of the word [odds] is ”a surprising concurrence of events, perceived as meaningfully related, with no apparent causal connection.” In other words, pure happenstance. Yet by merely noticing…

“To make a simple point, it would be impossible to take a profit (or loss for that matter) unless price trended at least a little bit. Can one know absolutely when price…

Why do markets trend: “Whether it’s because of gradual dispersions of data, participants’ interpretation of data, fundamental factors or seasonal factors, historically, markets trend,” says Bruno. “You can get the edge if…

How do you view your trading downside? “Most traders, being trend followers, get hurt whenever a [market] reverses course. But downside is managed using several techniques: quick stop loses, maintenance of the…