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Michael:
The trend following philosophy to me is: That we live in the fragile universe and must add in a bit of antifragile utility. So your local school district planned only for life continuing as normal rather than having an antifragile backup plan. And you’re surprised by this? I would be shocked to find that a school district had a war room that had gamed this. More likely these same folks are funding their 401-k plans to support their state sponsor pension plans and have never heard of you (sorry), trend following or planning for a black swan event. As a solution let’s suggest that those who are interested should simply look to the “homeschooler parents.” This is your antifragile local community of folks who are not relying on the system. For those parents, it’s just another day in the virtual school. You are simply looking at the clueless administrators who drank the cool-aid. The old adage is there is no amount of money too small to invest wisely. Likewise, there is no amount of money to invest poorly. Apply that to the school district and it’s spendthrifts. Was it bad for me to see SPY drop from 330 to 311 in one session (2xATR). And then go to 250? Antifragile trend trading. Keep fighting the good fight but don’t be shocked that your district is not antifragile.
All the best
Frank V
Thanks!
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