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Wisdom from Famed Value Guy

Jeremy Grantham:

The central truth of the investment business is that investment behavior is driven by career risk. In the professional investment business we are all agents, managing other peoples’ money. The prime directive, as Keynes knew so well, is first and last to keep your job. To do this, he explained that you must never, ever be wrong on your own. To prevent this calamity, professional investors pay ruthless attention to what other investors in general are doing. The great majority “go with the flow,” either completely or partially.

True. Not wise when the outliers hit.


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Trend Followers Are Lone Wolfs, Not Coyotes

In a new book derived from his letters the late General Patton offers:

“It never pays to fight an underdog. You can fight for them, but never against him.”

He also wrote down very appropriate advice for investors even though probably not intended as such:

“It is very foolish, but quite understandable, that one should run around raising hell, but it gets one nowhere and betrays a lack of self-confidence. A man who is self-confident does not run around with a gang. It is much better to be a lone wolf than a coyote.”

Trend following 101 wisdom. Stand your ground by yourself. Avoid running with packs of coyotes, even though the vast majority of modern society has become a coyote pack. Packs don’t hold the secret to wealth.

Note: Thanks to Ed Moy for the idea. Also be sure to check out Patton i read your book!