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1907 Stock Market Wisdom: Trend Trading Never Dies

Timeless wisdom! Consider winning trend following charts over 2010-11:

Sugar

Corn

Cotton


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

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Performance
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Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Bernard Drury: Grain Trader Turned Trend Following Trader

Bernard Drury (PDF) is a trend trader today, but he started as a fundamental grain trader. He is in my new book.

Disclaimers:

Our firm can not promise you will earn like returns of traders, charts or examples (real or hypothetical) mentioned. All past performance is not necessarily an indication of future results. Data presented is for educational purposes. This information is not designed to be used as an invitation for investment with any adviser profiled. All data on this site is direct from the CFTC, SEC, Yahoo Finance, Google, IASG and disclosure documents by managers mentioned herein. We assume all data to be accurate, but assume no responsibility for errors, omissions or clerical errors made by sources.

HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Transtrend: Netherlands Based Trend Pioneer

The history of trend following trader Transtrend:

Following a research project that was initiated in 1987, Transtrend B.V. (“Transtrend”) was established in 1991 as an asset manager purely focused on systematic trading strategies. Transtrend’s approach is aimed at exploiting trends in financial and commodities markets and is entirely based on quantitative analysis of typical price behavior in these markets. Transtrend’s trading strategies have no directional bias and can go long or short in their attempt to benefit from price patterns that represent good profit expectancy over time.

Transtrend slide show (PDF).

Performance (The Enhanced Risk (USD)/Transtrend’s Diversified Trend Program):

transtrend

Disclaimers:

Our firm can not promise you will earn like returns of traders, charts or examples (real or hypothetical) mentioned. All past performance is not necessarily an indication of future results. Data presented is for educational purposes. This information is not designed to be used as an invitation for investment with any adviser profiled. All data on this site is direct from the CFTC, SEC, Yahoo Finance, Google, IASG and disclosure documents by managers mentioned herein. We assume all data to be accurate, but assume no responsibility for errors, omissions or clerical errors made by sources.

HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Dickson Watts: He Never Goes Stale

Dickson Watts (PDF) has been dead for decades, but his wisdom never dies. Some fine lines:

“Many lean, few lift.”

“The man who conforms never transforms.”

“Rest with descending wave; mount with the ascending wave.”

“There is many a slip between the cup and the lip, but only one slip between the cup and the ground.”

“The unpardonable sin — not to make money.”

“Some men are alive after they are dead; others are dead while still alive.”

Nice.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Jim Cramer Supporter Stalks Me; I Always Wanted a Stalker!

In April of 2010 this guy wrote me about my critique of Jim Cramer (he was reading intro to my 2nd book?). Almost a year has passed with no contact and now today this ditty comes rolling in from Dave Loevner:

I have so far skimmed the information you have to offer, and intend to go back, and read verbatim. What bothers me specifically about you, and certainly not your material is your opinion of me. Obviously, with the fact that I do watch Mad Money w/ Jim Cramer makes me an idiot. Why do you waste energy slamming someone else when, that energy could be used more productively? Why even bring up Jim Cramer when you have so much to offer? Put the energy there. Every time I see your name on the internet, it’s never about you, and what you have to offer. It’s you, slamming Jim Cramer.  Much rather hear more of what you have to offer. Are you so filled with jealousy over not having a TV show that, you have reduced yourself to this playground nonsense? That was rhetorical, only asking that you give yourself an honest answer. You have value, and much to give but, not because, in your opinion Jim Cramer doesn’t. Knock it off, and focus on the information you have to offer. Yes, I enjoy Mad Money. One thing Jim Cramer emphasizes is, due diligence! I take him at his word as he has been wrong more than once. He emphasizes that because he, admits he has been wrong. It is entertaining to me, and I do get some valuable information to at least enable me to continue looking at the market. I have learned much on analyzing my market activity. I intend to learn more from you, as well but, it is difficult learning from someone who thinks I’m an idiot, and focuses so negatively on someone else. Both of you have different styles but, much to offer. When you finally free yourself from focusing so negatively on someone else, and referring to me as an idiot perhaps, I can feel a little better about reading your material word for word. Hopefully, you will move forward with an emphasis on you, and your work. Thank you, Dave Loevner

Let me get this straight Dave, you don’t want to read about trend following because a small part of my job is to slam your boy Cramer? I recommend sticking with him. Working with lost clients is not my cup of tea. Here are two more shows to add to your watch list: 1 and 2. When done there start at about the 27:00 minute mark here.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Merchants of Debt

My favorite excerpt from Merchants of Debt:

“Most people feel intimidated when seeking a loan. Bankers like to view potential borrowers with suspicion…dallying a bit before deciding whether a borrower is sufficiently creditworthy. But George Roberts of KKR never asked to borrow money. He always asked if his bankers could raise a loan for him. The slight difference in wording proved crucial. Suddenly Roberts controlled the situation. The bankers, even if they represented a giant institution a thousand times KKR’s size, were the ones put to the test.”

Nice.

Note: The author George Anders appeared on my podcast in 2018.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Trigger Your Thinking: Jim Simons

An excerpt from: The Secret World of Jim Simons by Hal Lux:

Like all quantitative money managers, Renaissance aims to find small market anomalies and inefficiencies that can support profitable trading on billions of dollars of capital. Though all quant shops are alike in their dedication to models Let the best algorithm win! Renaissance’s approach differs from the “convergence trading” popularized by John Meriwether’s Long-Term Capital Management and similar arbitrage shops. Convergence traders price financial instruments based on complex mathematical models, find two different instruments that are cheap and expensive on a relative basis and then buy one and sell the other, betting that the prices will, at some point, have to return to their proper level. The Renaissance approach requires that trades pay off in a limited, specified time frame. And Renaissance traders never override the models. Back in action, Medallion made its mark through rapid, short-term trading across futures markets. “I have one guy who has a Ph.D. in finance. We don’t hire people from business schools. We don’t hire people from Wall Street,” says Simons. “We hire people who have done good science.” “We have three criteria,” says Simons. “If it’s publicly traded, liquid and amenable to modeling, we trade it.” Unusual for a hedge fund, the heart of Renaissance is not its trading room an uncluttered room where a score of traders buy and sell around the clock but rather an auditorium with exposed beams that seats 100 and features biweekly science lectures. Last month a molecular biologist presented research on colon cancer. “When you hear someone talk about an interesting use of statistics it helps trigger your thinking,” says one Renaissance employee.

I remember a few years ago, sitting in the private office of one of the best trend following traders around (performance and assets), talking about this very issue with him: how does Simons really trade?

He was not buying the ‘short term’ public facade.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.