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“Michael, I have spent some time thinking about the underlying forces of the markets and I believe I have the answer…”

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Michael, I have spent some time thinking about the underlying forces of the markets and I believe I have the answer. The market moves in three basic ways. Trend, cycles and breakouts. The mind of man/woman drives the market but which mind. Science says we have three brains. One in our head, one in our heart and one in our gut. So what does what! The head nuts things out and wants to find trends. The heart wants cycles and looks for seasonal patterns. The gut is ready and always looking for breakouts and disaster and and fat tails, the fight or flight response. This is why the market is so hard to understand, there are three brains at work all the time. Only occasionally do they all agree.

Regards, Kalvert

Trend followers don’t try to understand markets. Why not just make money instead?


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Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

“I have been listening to your podcast for about three years now. I have to say your way of thinking…”

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Hi Michael, I have been listening to your podcast for about three years now. I have to say your way of thinking and framing the world has changed my life from investing to even how I run my business. I have read one of your books, Trend following the latest edition. And recently started the new one with Tom Basso. I’m not trying to kiss your ass or anything, but I appreciate your insight, no f******* bullshit approach to business and investing. I tend to drop a lot of F bombs, my wife always gives me shit about it, I have to be careful i have two young boys running around. To get the fucking point, I love trading, and I am very interested in trend folowing. I have been trading for about 5 years now and I try to do it on the side since my business and family keep me very busy. How do I adopt a very focused, consistent trend following approach to the markets? How do I develop a system that I can follow on a regular basis and not get bogged down by the random noise of the market? [read] I’m interested in your education and products. How does it work, how much does it cost, what can I expect to learn and get from it. Keep up the good work, I recently sent your video to one of my old profs at the university of Guelph, someone who has great insight and influence in my line of business. A very acclaimed and successful professor. He does very interesting research in my industry, hospitality. An industry somewhat neglected and heavily affected by the pandemic recently. We both really enjoyed your interview with Hubert Joly, a very refreshing approach to leadership and business. If one day you’re looking for a very interesting guest, look no further, I can give you his credentials. Anyways I wish you well, and long live the trend

Joe

Thanks for the nice words! Start here and here.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

“I have created my own trading community and ultimately want to start my own proprietary trading firm…”

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I have created my own trading community and ultimately want to start my own proprietary trading firm. I was a buy and Hold investor not long after I turned 18 and finally had enough capital to get started investing. Fast forward to after the Covid crash I started day trading Option Contracts, I did have some great beginner’s luck turning $500 into $4,500 after my first month, luckily withdrew 3k of it, turned the 1.5k into 10k during a week the FED started buying assets which led me to lose it all in the weeks after that. Once I had that taste of what the markets hold for opportunities, I just had to devote my time to learning/figuring out where the “bigger” guys are making their money. I got started down the road of prediction technical analysis which worked very well for me but honestly was not the path for me. Fast forward to January of this year (2021) the OTC market bubble had emerged which gave me the opportunity to turn $2,000 into $93,000 (give or take some change) in just under a month and a half so I withdrew 80k of that. I came across some personal problems so I left the rest in on essentially gambles “Buy and Hold” of some OTC stocks. During my absence from the markets during me trying to situate my personal problems, I found your books and instantly got hit that “Trend Following” is where I belong. I did swing trade options with the prediction TA having the same mindset of letting our winners run and cutting our losses quick which helped me drastically making this transition into “Trend Following.” I started futures trading when I came back from my break just in time to catch some trends in Soybeans, wheat, and corn netting close to 250% overall portfolio gain on the month which I honestly think came from me over leveraging during the trends. If you are still with me I am going somewhere with this my question finally: I have coded a simple strategy which I use on the hourly time frame and 4 hour time frame but I am having trouble with my Stop Loss, currently I will just go and check in daily to adjust my stops accordingly ~if necessary~ but I have heard a lot of your podcasts where some of the traders use Average True Range which I have tried to mess around with but I am not entirely sure on how I am able to code that out into a stop loss order. I do have a daily and weekly system as well but not as active which is foreseen to happen. Thank you for your time and I truly appreciate all the material and wisdom you have put out and continue to put out, I found your podcast a month and a half ago already on episode 465 just wanting more!

Dakota

Thanks for the nice feedback, but trend following is not hourly bars. I would walk away from that.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 977: Trend Following Kick Ass Reminder with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

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Please enjoy my monologue A Trend Following Kick Ass Reminder with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

Want to learn more Trend Following? Watch my video here.

Listen to this episode:

“My main challenge is too much information, too many systems, too many books…”

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Hi Michael,

If you do really read emails would be great to hear back from you. My main challenge is too much information, too many systems, too many books. I am trying to build a learning path and make sure I learn the right principles and acquire the right knowledge and have strong fundamentals before I get into the advanced topics. I have been trading in the market for many years now mostly based on tips and hearsay and haven’t had a great experience. I have recently purchased your turtle trader book as well. More and more I read the more I am getting a feeling that simplicity is the key. I am looking to build a simple trading system/setup and start from there.

Look forward to hearing your thoughts on how to put a method to this madness.

Thanks,
Arjun.

Dive in.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

“I had no clearly defined trading plan because I was not diligent in my planning to begin with…”

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In response to your question: “What is your biggest challenge you have faced with your trading?”

  1. I had no clearly defined trading plan because I was not diligent in my planning to begin with.
  2. I have no tested/proven strategies yet and little understanding of the markets.
  3. I was careless in my execution. Gambling, essentially.
  4. I did not preserve my capital and I would not stay out of the market once I achieved my trading goal or reached my loss limit.
  5. I did not seek understanding of trading signals and did no back testing.

Good self-awareness.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 976: Scott O’Neil Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Scott O'Neil
Scott O’Neil

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My guest today is Scott O’Neil, one of the most recognized, connected and dynamic executives in the sports and entertainment industry today. He has more than 25 years of experience leading NBA, NHL and NFL teams and leagues, including the National Basketball Association, Philadelphia 76ers, New York Knicks, New Jersey Nets, Philadelphia Eagles, New York Rangers and New Jersey Devils.

The topic is his book Be Where Your Feet Are: Seven Principles to Keep You Present, Grounded, and Thriving.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Sports Business
  • Sports Executive Career
  • Be Where Your Feet Are
  • Business Internal Management
  • NBA Teams
  • Work-Life Balance
  • Have a Big Vision
  • Success in Life

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