Subscribe now and watch my free trend following VIDEO.

Blog

“I need to learn the one that will work well enough…”

Feedback in:

Hi Mike, I trade an Ichimoku TK Cross above or below a 200 EMA on the 4 Hour. I’ve been trading crypto the last year. 12 years ago I traded a bit of Forex and dabbled in Options in Futures. Read your Trend Following Book and I’m now consuming everything I can about systematic trend following. The problem being is that there are so many strategies and then all the optimizing. I need to learn the one that will work well enough and implement it. I’m Canadian and plan to add Tim Pickering’s Auspice Capital to my portfolio. I’m really enjoying your podcast.

Thanks for the email.

Anders

Thanks, but I would leave the hourly bar trading. That’s not trend following.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

“The Complete Turtle Trader has really given me steadiness with my emotions…”

Feedback in:

The biggest challenge I have faced with my trading is calculating my loss limit for exit and actually exiting when I reach that loss limit.

Your strategy and time frame now?

Great book by the way on the Turtles! Strategy/time frame: I enter options straddles when 1) price is at the mean or 2) day before earnings, on certain stocks. I enter calls or puts on certain stocks when price is at the mean. I enter calls or puts when stock is clearly trending down or up. I use several indicators for confirmation to enter. I use no more than 50% of my account. I started with $500. I’m now at $1000. I am in think or swim practice account. I’ve lost $750 of my real money. So taking a break. I buy from 1 to 13 contracts. I plan to have two real money accounts. One with $500, the other $3000, when I get back in the game. (I started my trading journey by actually entering trades late last summer, so about 9 months. But I started learning in 2019. Once upon a time I was briefly a runner in Chicago in the mid 1990s. But for the life of me I can’t remember if it was CBOT or CME.) My stop is half of what my exit is. If my exit is at 40% then my stop is 20%. Or if my exit is at 30 cents then my stop is at 15 cents. Once I enter I use indicators for exit but much less than what I use for entry. If I buy multiple contracts, I get out of all at my stop, but if I reach my original exit then I get out of some and stay in others and stay in based on next level of support or resistance for hard exit, and set a 20% trail stop limit with no offset for Mark price to manage loss. I primarily use day or weekly for finding trends, daily for everything else, including exit/stop. I also look at 233 or 34 minute chart before I enter. All of the above are my planned strategy based on Complete Turtle Trader and other books I’ve recently read but do I follow it to a tee with discipline and consistency? No. And last year when I started trading my strategy wasn’t this fleshed out at all. The Complete Turtle Trader has really given me steadiness with my emotions when I am losing paper money. One of the lines that resonates with me is that the Turtles would get back in after several losses in a row. I have a list of over 100 equities but would like to get down to less than 50. But then again maybe even less so I can add other types of securities/derivatives. Why so many? Because ultimately I want to be able to enter 15 to 100 trades per month. No more than 30 if I decide not to aim for Trader Tax Status with the IRS.

I highly recommend to throw that strategy out and go trend following. Nothing in your description is worth saving.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 1069: Algos, Negotiation, Meditations with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Episode 1069
Episode 1069

Subscribe to Trend Following Radio on iTunes

Please enjoy my monologue Algos, Negotiation, Meditations with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio.

Listen to this episode:

Want to learn more Trend Following? Watch my video here.

Ep. 1068: Michelle Drouin Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Michelle Drouin
Michelle Drouin

Subscribe to Trend Following Radio on iTunes

My guest today is Michelle Drouin, a psychology professor, forensic consultant, expert witness, and internationally-recognized researcher and speaker on issues related to technology, relationships, couples, and sexuality, including issues related to addiction and partner violence.

The topic is her book Out of Touch.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • How social media is shaping society
  • The Tinder Swindler movie
  • Different facets of intimacy
  • How does pornography affect young children’s ideas of intimacy and even sexuality, and how does exposure to pornography change all of us?
  • The most desirable body shape
  • Novel sex tech devices on the rise
  • The traditional relationship, fidelity, and commitment
  • The diversity of our social network promotes longevity, promotes illness repulsion, and the ability to fight off illness promotes happiness.

Mentions & Resources:

Listen to this episode:

Jump in!

“I am trading based on technical analysis mostly on nifty and bank nifty…”

Feedback in:

Hi Michael, My name is [name]. Since last year I am trading based on technical analysis mostly on nifty and bank nifty options (Indian indices). I use CPR and pivot point and some important levels like PDH/PDL and supply/ demand zone. How is trend following is different from this?

I would never recommend anyone use the strategies you describe. See my faqs.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

“Recently, purely by accident, came across your book Trend Following…”

Feedback in:

Before I answer ‘What is the biggest challenge you have faced with your Trading?’, here is a little background. I have been swing trading since 2014 after the oil price collapse. Half in Canadian and half in US markets, stocks and ETFs only. Up to that time, I was working in an engineering consulting business, specifically O&G facilities design as a Mechanical Piping engineer. Specialty – piping stress analysis. Recently, purely by accident, came across your book Trend Following and subsequently onto your website. Just by reading the introduction and preface, I realize it is the same as what I was doing up to now. The only difference, I consider myself a ‘surfer’ on the market tide fluctuations. And yes, I am not convinced of EMT existence. One of the minor permanent upsets is when the company’s quarterly results beat the market predictions, stock price direction is 50/50. Back to your original question, I have a couple of ongoing challenges: Finding what designated market makers (DMM), previously called specialists, are doing, where are they going, why. Also, it appears that market money moves like ocean currents underneath and is difficult to detect (except Atlantic ocean). Today the only explanation is a result of ‘sentiment’. Wind direction for this phenomenon is another challenge.

Regards,
Dan K.

Why not just go trend following? Let go of the trying to understand why, along with assorted dead end strategies.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

“The stock I am trading with moves within a range leading to multiple loss…”

Feedback in:

I have an intraday trading system based on trend following supertrend indicator on 3 min time frame. But it fails pretty miserably on sloppy days where the stock I am trading with moves within a range leading to multiple loss making trades. So I thought I need to find volatile stocks that doesn’t move into range for a particular day and that day trade on that stock, but haven’t been successful in finding those kind of stocks each day.

P. G.

Two things:

1. That will fail as a strategy guaranteed.
2. That’s not trend following.

The good news? You can leave that strategy.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.