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Ep. 1168: Robert Waldinger Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Robert Waldinger
Robert Waldinger

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My guest today is Robert Waldinger, a psychiatrist, psychoanalyst, and Zen priest. He is a clinical professor of Psychiatry at Harvard Medical School, director of the Center for Psychodynamic Therapy and Research at Massachusetts General Hospital, and director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development. He is the author of numerous scientific papers as well as two books. He is a practicing psychiatrist and psychoanalyst, and teaches Harvard medical students and psychiatry residents. He is also a Senior Dharma Teacher in Boundless Way Zen.

The topic is his book The Good Life: Lessons from the World’s Longest Scientific Study of Happiness.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Study of adult development
  • The interpretation of ‘the good life’
  • Modern life today
  • Emotional intimacy
  • How warmth defines the good life
  • How are fame and wealth winning?
  • Steps to having a good life

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“One cannot be confident that what has been working for the past five hundred years will continue to work…”

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Hi Michael,

I have recently discovered you and your work through the Trend Following book (although I was familiar with the turtles), and I have to start by thanking you for your great work. Your podcast are just golden, and the whole content from the website is just top quality.

I am replying just to share my biggest concern regarding trading, not expecting to find a definitive answer, and that is the problem of inductive reasoning. All backtested results and all systems that have been wildly successful in the past cannot mitigate the fact that there is no fixed underlying distribution from which the events are drawn, so one cannot be confident that what has been working for the past 500 years will continue to work for the next 500.

That might sound farfetched, but having a somewhat obsessive personality really creates some level of discomfort. The remedy for this is acknowledging the fact that human behavior, the ultimate catalyst for market moves, is and expected to remain unchanged. So at least trend following strategies with sound risk management should be expected to give a long lasting edge, as they are based on the “big picture” of what moves the market.

Thank you for taking the time to go through my thoughts, I would love to hear your take on this.

I wish you a lovely day!

Kind regards,
Dimitri K.

My Trend Following book 5th edition counters this 500 year view. In detail. 220,000 words.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

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Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 1167: The Prince of the Pits with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Episode 1167
Episode 1167

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Please enjoy my monologue The Prince of the Pits with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio.

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“I really want to make this work for me. I am trying but I am failing…”

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Mr. Covel,

I have listened to your to books on audio. I maybe should actually buy a copy maybe I can get the info I am really look for in there.

Let me tell you my trading journey. In 2020 during COVID I started following markets all my friends at work were saying get in now it is low. Buy now. I was skeptical about it so I just looked at it made and account. Did one trade on an oil EFT made a quick $500. Then I witness the fall of crude oil to the negatives. I got into another oil trade made $15,000 from that. I thought this shit is easy. And of the story always repeats after that all the winning gone going negative. Realizing this is not easy, but there has to be away.

I see people make money. I mean there are professionals out there making money. Surely I can make money doing this. So I looked in to learning. I got some more gains from the market on some lucky trades so I put that towards my education. I consider myself a Trend Following trader. I have spent money on education of the markets. I did not just but anyone’s course I followed them looked them up trying to determine for myself they are who they are.

I have learned about all sorts of ways to use fib ratio, elliot wave analysis, support and resistance, supply and demand wyckoff theory. All of these have improved my understanding of markets but not to the point to get me in profit. I am tired of hearing my friends just getting into trades not knowing why they do it like assholes and just make money. I mean what the fuck am I doing wrong. I did back test and realized if I trade like an asshole I make money but I would have to endure I huge draw down of more than 60% of my capital or more who knows what markets will do in the future. I cannot fathom trading without a stop loss. But a lot of people do it. Every time I hear my friends telling they are in a trade I say where is your stop loss they always say ‘What is that?’ Then I proceed to ask ‘How much you down?’ They tell me. I say ‘What is your initial account size?’ I always tell them they are crazy. But they make money. Am I just too scared?

I just want to know are you gaining in these current market conditions. I do not remember anything in your books about how to determine trends I feel like it was just a huge plug for your system to get me to pay for it. Are you real? I look up google trying to get any info on your system and nothing, somehow you are keeping it a secret very well. I am not looking for rich quick I am just wanting to be profitable and take one trade at a time. I have visited your site. I am looking at your Flagship program. All the mentors always say you will make your money back but I have yet to do that. I am not looking for a promise from you … I really want to make this work for me. I am trying but I am failing. I hope you will respond to me. Thank you for your time.

Respectfully,
Gregory C.

Unfortunately, “fib ratio, elliot wave analysis, support and resistance, supply and demand wyckoff theory” are all useless. Jump into one of my books first. Those will set you on the right path.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

“Trading with the trend means if in a trending bullish market…”

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Hello sir.

I trust you are doing amazingly well.

Trading with the trend means if in a trending bullish market, wait for drop in price to the low trendline to buy, buys should be what should be targeted. And this is trading with the trend, if trend lines are the guiding lines.

What’s your experience about this sir?

Abimbola A.

Trend lines are nonsensical predictive technical analysis. All the links below will set you on the path.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

“I keep the stop loss very tight and eventually it gets hit…”

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Hi Michael,

The biggest challenge I face with my trading is how to control my emotions while seeing a loss in MTM.

I am in my “fear” mode. So, to keep MTM at small loss, I keep the stop loss very tight and eventually it gets hit most of the time.

Could you give me an insight… a work around?

Regards
SM

A work around? How about a system! Start with my FAQs below.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 1166: Edward Lee Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Edward Lee
Edward Lee

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My guest today is Edward Lee who teaches international intellectual property law, copyright law, and trademark law. He joined IIT Chicago-Kent’s faculty in 2010 as a professor of law and director of the Program in Intellectual Property Law. His research focuses on the ways in which the internet, technological development, and globalization challenge existing legal paradigms. He also writes extensively about the Framers’ understanding of the Free Press Clause as a limit on using the Copyright Clause to restrict technologies.

The topic NFTs.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Intellectual property; digital products
  • Virtual tokens as smart contracts
  • Advantages of blockchains
  • Advantages of ownership in the developing web
  • Copyright law
  • Skepticism of cryptocurrency

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