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When the Trend Following Light Bulb Hits

Excerpts from nice feedback in tonight:

Michael, I want to thank you for pursuing your passion for trend following so tenaciously. I consider myself very new to the concept of trend following. I was first introduced to this style of trading and the story of the turtles traders in 2007 by a mentor of mine. I was 25 years old. At the time, I had become very interested in trading, stocks, and the allure of making money in the market. All the “knowledgeable and older” people I spoke to of this passion said there’s no such thing as fast money and it was best to stick with a buy and hold strategy. The message was, I should save 10% of my income and wait 40 years and I’d retire as a wealthy person. During this period, I read a few books on trading, mostly about using fundamental analysis and executing a buy and hold strategy to identify stocks with a high growth potential. I executed a few trades, made some money, lost some money and than walked away from trading believing it just wasn’t for me. I started funding my IRA and 401K using run of the mill mutual funds and put my active trading interest on hold. Fast forward to last summer, I am sitting in a tent in Kandahar, Afghanistan working for the U.S. Air Force. It’s the middle of the night and after reading on the Internet for days about trend following and the turtle traders story, I declared to a partner of mine. “I am going to teach myself how to trade.” He laughed at me and said you’ll likely lose all your money and for Gods sakes don’t buy some canned trading training program. He told me if your going to learn to trade, teach yourself, because that’s probable the only way that’s you’ll be successful. I thought it was good advice and I followed it. By the middle of the summer of 2012, I had become disgusted with the options I had for a executing a traditional buy and hold strategy. I had watched friends and family lose thousands of dollars in the 2008 crash, than gain some of it back, but at the same time, intuitively it didn’t seem right to me that I should be investing my hard earned money in mutual funds knowing those fund managers must be making millions on us “Joe Public”. Do they have my best interests in their hearts? What makes them smarter than me? How come it seems like the game everyone is playing is fixed? Additionally, I felt like having to be an expert in stock picking by reading companies balance sheets, or discerning broad trends, or by identifying hot market sectors through the news wasn’t going to work for me. I thought diversification only meant buying and holding different asset classes based on a defined time horizon. I didn’t understand what technical analysis was. By this time, I was trading here and there, but all the time, I felt like my activity was no better than guessing. I had no idea how much of an equity to buy, how long to hold, or what the function of a stop loss was. I didn’t understand the concept and application of trending following. I’d never heard of an automated trading system. Sitting in that tent, that very night, I went on Amazon bought 3 of your books, had them shipped to me in Afghanistan. I than began reading everything I could find on trending following, the turtle story and alternatives to discretionary trading. After I made this decision to teach myself to trade, it was as though something clicked in my mind. Ed Seykota says “intention = results”. Well I intended to learn to trade and I intended to use trending following as the vehicle. Thanks to the guidance, data, results, and discussions on trading software outlined in your books I’ve been able to make this happen. From your books, I’ve learned 90 percent of what I need to know about trend following and the rest was filled in by additional reading and through though trial and error. I kept thinking back to my past trading successes and failures, and realized I had been blindly making classic trading mistakes. After I made the decision to pursue developing an automated trending following system. I found the work in your books invaluable in solidifying and clearly defining a path to an alternative way of thinking and trading. Something about your descriptions of taking emotion out of the trading process was deeply appealing to my mind. Armed with all the evidence and knowledge from your work, I am now able to confidently say trend following is really the only method for trading that I can see will win in the long term. It was through your work that you lifted the val on this style of trading for me, and I’m sure, many other people like. In closing, I want to thank you for being so passionate about this style of trading. It comes through clearing in your books, on your websites, and in your podcast. Without your dedication and passion for trend trading, I wouldn’t be applying my own passion for being successful in my life. I just wanted to tell my story about teaching myself how to trade; going from zero to an active trading system by sheer determination with an intention to following a different path outlined through your work and others like you. Hopefully, I can endure the inevitable draw downs and second guessing that comes with trend following. Armed with the knowledge outlined in your work, I think I can.

Thanks,
Daniel

Winners just win. They want it. He wants it.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

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Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Inspirational Proof

Feedback in:

Hi Mike. Thank you for the latest newsletter and for introducing me to Asacker and Watts. The podcast with Tom Asacker is superb. The final part, listening to Alan Watts moved me to tears, what he said is so true and said so eloquently. I have two daughters and hope to convince them to work for themselves when they get through their education. I hope they will listen to your podcast at some point – they’re aged 11 and 13. Your own story of itself is inspirational and proof that belief is crucial. Incidentally, JOB, stands for; JUST OVER BROKE! I heard that many years ago, and how true it is. Which ever part of the world you’re in, have a good day.
Best wishes,
Rob

Thanks!


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

You Are Here for Change

My world is designed to change you. The change I want:

1. Have investors burn buy and hold investing at the stake.
2. Properly classify Warren Buffett as not you. You can’t do what he does.
3. Acknowledge the black swan risks associated with centrally planned ZIRP policy–responsible for the boom/bust cycles.
4. Adopt trend following strategies and philosophies as a solution for profit and outlier (black swan) protection.

That’s why you are here.

Note: If you groove off trusting big brother, the central planners, to take care of you–wrong place–stop reading & listening now.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 141: Trading Places with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Trading Places with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Trading Places with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Please enjoy my monologue Trading Places & Nature v. Nurture with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

Listen to this episode:

Want to learn more Trend Following? Watch my video here.

Falling Prey to The Wall Street Journal Spin

Received this request recently:

Hello, I would like to know your view on this article by John Taylor.

Thanks for the opportunity to clarify:

1. In my 4 books I address multiple historical instances where trend following was pronounced “dead”.

2. Trend following is not meant to be a currency only strategy. Diversification is mission critical.

3. Some trend following performance for comparison: https://www.trendfollowing.com/performance. Please keep eyes wide open to a longer time horizon v. the short-term focus of a WSJ reporter spin pen.

4. Taylor sounds as if he is using fundamentals to explain trend following strategy. Trend following is a systematic technical strategy. There is no fundamental usage.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 140: Tom Asacker Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Tom Asacker
Tom Asacker

My guest today is Tom Asacker, an artist, writer, inventor, and philosopher. He writes, teaches, and speaks about radically new practices and ideas for success in times of uncertainty and change.

The topic is his book The Business of Belief: How the World’s Best Marketers, Designers, Salespeople, Coaches, Fundraisers, Educators, Entrepreneurs, and Other Leaders Get Us To Believe.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Choice and distraction/distrust
  • Belief and its connection to how people make decisions and habit
  • Faith healers and how information can change our beliefs and perceptions
  • How the supermarket works as a metaphor for belief and choice
  • Vernon Smith and Daniel Kahneman
  • The instinctive “feeling” mind vs. the slow, deliberate thinking mind
  • Leading people to choose themselves vs. just getting a job
  • Thinking like a child
  • Comfort vs. desire
  • Why those that have nothing to lose can put themselves in the best position for success
  • Pulling the curtain back on your own mind to determine what your own mind is doing to prevent you from living a full life
  • The power shift to the individual via the internet
  • Why we see what our minds are conditioned to see
  • Practice, hard work, and passion
  • The metaphor of baseball, perception, belief, and behavior
  • Thinking your way to a change vs. acting your way to a change
  • Alan Watts, and the question of “What if money was no object?”

Listen to this episode:

Jump in!

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Check out this guest post by Robert Kramer on How our beliefs can affect our reactions to truth, facts, and lies.

ZIRP Has Eliminated Income; Sorry Old People

An excerpt spotted:

This week’s Consuelo Mack WealthTrack guides you through “The New Retirement Conversation”…With traditional pension funds rapidly disappearing, what are the new building blocks for a secure retirement? Personal finance experts Mary Beth Franklin, Contributing Editor, InvestmentNews, and Kim Lankford, Contributing Editor, Kiplinger’s Personal Finance, discuss the essentials. As Franklin puts it, the old three-legged model of social security, a pension plan and savings is now a “pogo stick!” They will explain why and what needs to replace it. Lankford says, “One of the biggest challenges that people are having, is to take all that money they’ve been accumulating for years and years…and translate that into income that will last for their lifetime.”

Income is gone people. The central planners took it away. Zero interest rate policy is standard operating procedure. Worse yet? What will you do when the next black swan hits?

Michael Covel has a solution.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.