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The Truth: A Two-Edged Sword

The truth is, almost everything about superior investing is a two-edged sword:

-If you invest, you will lose money if the market declines.
-If you don’t invest, you will miss out on gains if the market rises.

-Market timing will add value if it can be done right.
-Buy-and-hold will produce better results if timing can’t be done right.

-Aggressiveness will help when the market rises but hurt when it falls.
-Defensiveness will help when the market falls but hurt when it rises.

-If you concentrate your portfolio, your mistakes will kill you.
-If you diversify, the payoff from your successes will be diminished.

-If you employ leverage, your successes will be magnified.
-If you employ leverage, your mistakes will be magnified.

HT Howard Marks.

More on stretching the truth.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

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Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Any Trend Followers in San Francisco?

Feedback in:

Hi Michael, I am a big follower of yours and love the trend following philosophy. You always list a lot of the trend following hedge funds, and I was wondering if you knew of any in San Francisco?

Thanks,
[Name]

I don’t keep track like that in any comprehensive way to advise you. Wish better news.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 348: Michael Covel Monologue and Interview on Trend Following Radio

Michael Covel Monologue and Interview on Trend Following Radio
Michael Covel Monologue and Interview on Trend Following Radio

Please enjoy my monologue Michael Covel Monologue and Interview on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

Listen to this episode:

Want to learn more Trend Following? Watch my video here.

Don’t Get Sucked into the Junk

Feedback in:

Michael,

I have a friend here who subscribes to [name]. I tried their trial membership but didn’t continue. Now I get all this junk. Your stuff ain’t junk at all and I love how prolific you are with your podcasts. It’s only a matter of time before I buy your Trend Following system to add to my [name]. Funny thing is I discovered you through [name] daily reports. One of the articles from [name] Money Management mentioned your name. Then I bought and read all of your books.

Warmest regards,
[Name]

A followup email:

I forgot to mention the main point of my message: There’s so much junk out there people have no idea what the real stuff is. For example, I personally surveyed more than 300 “advisors” last year and not one, that would be zero, had heard of Michael Covel or your books. Just one of them had heard of [name]. You see, at all these industry events, mainly for CE credits, I casually ask the advisor sitting next to me “what’s your plan for the next bear market? Or Black Swan Event?” Absolutely no clue from any of them, except this one guy who knew about [name]. That’s one out of more than 300 Michael. These people are so called “Advisors”. Selling nothing but MPT, the “Great Intellectual Fraud”. In Canada, that’s about a Trillion dollar fraud. I’m sure glad I’m no longer with a bank owned brokerage. Otherwise this kind of message would be a no no. As it is [name] is owned by a $100 billion mutual fund company, whose compliance people will never approve of what I do. The beauty of being 100% self-employed, merely telling the truth, and having Branch Compliance people who are open minded. After all results Speak.

Thanks!

Read about how Philip Bennett Refco got hit for a $669 million judgment.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 347: Kathryn Kaminski Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Kathryn Kaminski
Kathryn Kaminski

My guest today is Kathryn Kaminski, the Director of Investment Strategies at Campbell and Co–the famed CTA started by Keith Campbell. Today, Kaminski outlines her new whitepaper, specifically diving into correlation among traders (CTAs).

The topic is Trend Following.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Correlation between fund managers and strategies
  • The media’s misrepresentation of systematic strategies
  • Diversification in the CTA and equity world
  • Why one trend following strategy is similar to just one stock

Listen to this episode:

Jump in!

“The Secrets Have Finally Been Harnessed!”

Feedback in:

Since I’ve been following your books and podcasts, I view [promotional] email blasts (I must receive 10-15 a day) from the investment community with a whole different attitude. I used to read them with the eagerness of a novice seeking wisdom at the master’s feet. Now, not so much. I’ve been a financial advisor for 25 years and I’ve grown so very tired of the “I wasn’t wrong, I was just early” attitude taken by Wall Street research departments and pundits. The stock market will indeed correct 10%, maybe 15% or 20%, but waiting for [that] while our currency implodes seems not only foolish but downright arrogant. It’s not so much what is [in the promo fluff] that bothers me but the implied subtext that I find offensive and so very wrong. Thank you Mike for all you do – keep shining the light. You are helping me help hundreds.

Welcome!


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

HSBC to Charge for Holding Deposits: NIRP Arrives Full Blown

The system plans to drip you dry if “income” is your goal:

HSBC has become one of the biggest global banks to say it will begin charging clients on deposits in a basket of European currencies.

The decision underlies the extraordinary measures banks are taking to prevent their profit margins being crushed in the record low-interest rate environment.

HSBC has written to other banks to warn it will start charging them for deposits in euros, Swiss francs, Danish krone and Swedish krona — all currencies of countries that have negative interest rates — at its UK, German and Hong Kong operations from this summer.

It is the first UK bank to announce such charges following similar announcements from Swiss, German and Nordic institutions.

“HSBC charges banks for deposits they hold with us in currencies where negative interest rates apply,” the UK-based lender said in a statement on Tuesday. “Banks affected have been notified and we continue to monitor the situation.”

Still trust the authorities?


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

Trend Following Podcast Guests
Frequently Asked Questions
Performance
Research
Markets to Trade
Crisis Times
Trading Technology
About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.