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“I have a pretty good method using technical analysis. I tend to trust it too much…”

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I have a pretty good method (using technical analysis). I tend to trust it too much. I sell naked puts and when one re-educates me, I keep rolling it out until it recovers. My problem is taking too large of a position. CAT, for example, took several months to get profitable. ROKU is presently giving me a problem. SI is working well. No losers yet. Deep out of the Money, short term, high IV. A recent problem seems to be early exercise.

Michael J.

I don’t see a consistent strategy in your description. You need:

• Exact rules for selecting your tracking portfolio.
• Exact rules for entering your trades at the right time.
• Exact rules for exiting your trades with a loss.
• Exact rules for exiting your trades with a profit.
• Exact rules for how much money to bet on each trade.


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Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 1072: Phuc Map Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Phuc Map
Phuc Map

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My guest today is Brandon J. Hurley, an American Youtuber, who to his Vietnamese audience is known as Phuc Map. He graduated with a double major in journalism and sports studies at the University of Iowa. He was a professional journalist for more than 10 years, a sports editor for the Jefferson Herald, and also an assistant sports editor for the Carrol Times Herald.

The topic is his life in Vietnam.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • How he mastered a foreign language
  • Being a teacher
  • How he gained an audience on his YouTube and other social media platforms
  • Lifestyle and infrastructure

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“Larry Hite’s ‘don’t give a shit’ freedom of both age and money…”

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Larry Hite’s “don’t give a shit” freedom of both age and money is delicious. Yes, make it a regular feature checking in with this old pro. A funny question would be his take on such non-subjects as the Will Smith slap, now that would be a hoot. My God, how delicious if you could nail Charlie Munger at his raw best of don’t give a shit. With his Expiration Date coming faster and faster, we so need “Munger, Raw”. Hell, become a vault for all the old pros who no longer giving a flying Elf. Please, if you ever discover a biographer of Alan Watts, go for it. Imagine, Watts died of all things alcoholism, for starters (according to Wikipedia).

The old pros unvarnished are the best.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

• Trend Following Podcast Guests
• Frequently Asked Questions
• Performance
• Research
• Markets to Trade
• Crisis Times
• Trading Technology
• About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

“Never heard you say anything about Mark Douglas…”

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I’m just curious because I’m 550 episodes into the podcast and never heard you say anything about Mark Douglas. Was there a reason? He seemed to align with so much of what you talk about. I know he’s no longer with us. He was the first person I ever came across who talked about uncertainty and probability thinking. Then over hundreds of hours, you and your guests have really solidified so much of that. Was just listening to him again today and was just curious. Or have I not read and listened far enough?

Joshua C.


He was scheduled for an interview, but he unfortunately passed on. R.I.P.

How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

• Trend Following Podcast Guests
• Frequently Asked Questions
• Performance
• Research
• Markets to Trade
• Crisis Times
• Trading Technology
• About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

“I’m trying to think through how to effectively employ trend following…”

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Hi Michael, [I’m trying to] find a way to employ a trend following strategy within a market neutral framework with strict risk parameters.

Best regards,
Brian

Why?

I’ve been learning about trend following/swing trading for about 2 years now. Becoming increasingly frustrated with a fundamental approach, I’m trying to think through how to effectively employ trend following concepts within the framework I’m required to work within. Effectively, I can’t lean my longs more than 10% vs my shorts (and vice versa) along with other risk limits on concentration. I’m also limited to the Industrials industry (with some leeway into tech and materials). I’m thinking pair trades (viewing it like a single security) could be the way to go. I haven’t seen anyone write on or employ this trend following/market neutral approach before. I would love to hear any thoughts you might have on the approach or if you’re aware of any literature/other investors that have utilized this approach.

Go trend following. Don’t complicate it. Market neutral is not trend following.


How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

• Trend Following Podcast Guests
• Frequently Asked Questions
• Performance
• Research
• Markets to Trade
• Crisis Times
• Trading Technology
• About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 1071: Kick Them in the Ass with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Episode 1071
Episode 1071

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Please enjoy my monologue Kick Them in the Ass with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio.

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Ep. 1070: Becca Levy Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Becca Levy
Becca Levy

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My guest today is Becca Levy, a Professor of Epidemiology at the Yale School of Public Health and Professor of Psychology at Yale University. She has received awards from the American Psychological Association, the Gerontological Society of America, and the International Association of Gerontology and Geriatrics. Dr. Levy has given invited testimony before the US Senate on the adverse effects of ageism and has contributed to US Supreme Court briefs to fight age discrimination.

The topic is her book Breaking the Age Code.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Beliefs in aging and health
  • Why creativity is much lower in older people who have higher levels of mental illness?
  • Research about cultural age beliefs
  • Research that compares and contrasts the use of antidepressants
  • The advantage of people of different ages getting together
  • Physiological factors about age beliefs
  • How does Japanese culture view aging?
  • How important are genetics in aging?

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