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Please enjoy my monologue Simple Heuristics with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio.
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Hi, Michael. Thanks for keeping this site up and updated. Anything controversial is never easy, even when you know you’re doing the right thing.
I got intro’d to trend following by Matthew Erickson’s book, “Asset Rotation”, and I’m working my way through your “Trend Following” now. First, I have a copy that published in the early 2000s. Do more recent editions address how to tactically survive and potentially defeat a lot of the whipsaw I’m seeing in data since 2012?
Second, has anyone published data on the efficacy of trend following using mutual funds?
Thanks much, and have a great week ahead, sir.
Whipsaws are not new and the only way to avoid them is to not trade. I don’t see anything special about 2012 to now, especially since I have no idea what you are doing or what data you are analyzing. My 5th edition of Trend Following blows away the total content of my 1st edition of Trend Following. 1000s of mutual funds buying and holding will naturally have high correlation, so I don’t see the need or benefit there. Trade the stock indicies in a trend following portfolio and there you go. The same thing.
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Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.
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Mr. Michael,
Psych is where it’s at in trading.
Thank you for another job well done.
Merry Christmas,
Kevin W.
Welcome!
How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.
Also jump in:
• Trend Following Podcast Guests
• Frequently Asked Questions
• Performance
• Research
• Markets to Trade
• Crisis Times
• Trading Technology
• About Us
Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.
Subscribe to Trend Following Radio on iTunes
My guest today is Tobias Dengel, the President of WillowTree, a TELUS International Company. With over 20 years of technology expertise, Tobias has been recognized by Glassdoor as a Top CEO and featured as a VOICE Summit speaker at the Consumer Electronics Show in 2022 and 2023. Prior to WillowTree, Tobias helped steward strategic partnerships and acquisitions and drive innovation on behalf of companies including AOL and Kearney.
The topic is his book The Sound of the Future: The Coming Age of Voice Technology.
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Please enjoy my monologue Inside the Mind with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio.
Want to learn more Trend Following? Watch my video here.
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Michael,
Sending you the receipt from my purchase of Trend Following so I may get a copy of your free interactive trend following presentation.
Not sure if you read these emails or not but stumbled across your little book of trading at my local library. It was eye opening! I then bought your turtle trader book and would love to have had the opportunity to learn under Richard Dennis.
But it did not happen so I have to figure this out on my own. I have a lot to learn but I am going to make this happen.
Respectfully,
Kevin
Dennis is out of that game. Here is your next best option for learning.
How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.
Also jump in:
• Trend Following Podcast Guests
• Frequently Asked Questions
• Performance
• Research
• Markets to Trade
• Crisis Times
• Trading Technology
• About Us
Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.
Feedback in:
Mr. Covel,
Thank you for hosting such a wonderful website and trend following starter pack. The good men at Dunn Capital pointed me in your direction after I found them through Neils Karstrup-Larson. I have also listened to the Market Wizards books.
I have begun my trend following journey and naturally started out with MUCH too short of a time frame and got eaten up by the whipsaw that is trying to use trend in that environment. I’m CERTAIN you understand my plight with that particular issue. I have since gone searching for the right time frame to allow trend to work for me instead of me having to work for trend. Investing should not have to be a full time job, and I would like to remove some, if not most, of myself from the investing process. I do believe some human intervention makes sense as there are some things that are hard to robots or programmed processes to see, particularly at the level of the individual investor.
I’m taken a “trading” journey over the last 20 months where I have leveraged my ability to network with others to reach out to guys who used to trade in the futures pits and in options pits. I fully grasp the power of options and the only hurdle I have now is the application of them to maximize return and LIMIT RISK!
I have a little coding experience and can do some things within the tools I have.
My biggest problem from here is how many markets to cover, what time frame is ideal, how to build the right rules and the discipline around that (I’m much more well based here than I used to be, mindset is so important) and finally, how to make it cleaner and easier.
Where is the best place to start from here?
In my coming free time, I plan to consume all of the emails and information you have available.
Thank you.
Ethan K.
Here is the start!
How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.
Also jump in:
• Trend Following Podcast Guests
• Frequently Asked Questions
• Performance
• Research
• Markets to Trade
• Crisis Times
• Trading Technology
• About Us
Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.