Dumb Luck

Don’t confuse luck with a profitable system. Dumb luck is just dumb luck:

Reader: I open[ed] an account with 10 USD and with trend following I make 20 USD in 6 days.

Covel: That is gambling. Not trend following.

Reader: But it’s profitable.

Covel: Someone wins the lottery, and you apparently won the scratch off this week. That’s not a system. Luck.

Note: Yes, some not so wise people occasionally write me.

You might like my 2017 epic release: Trend Following: How to Make a Fortune in Bull, Bear and Black Swan Markets (Fifth Edition). Revised and extended with twice as much content.