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Tag: markets

Ep. 388: Logic Over Faith with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Logic Over Faith with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Logic Over Faith with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

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Please enjoy my monologue Logic Over Faith with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio:

  • Logic over faith
  • Financial advisors: there to give mutual fund advice
  • Adapting your strategy
  • How quitting can keep you in the game
  • Forcing yourself to make decisions
  • Risk and reward

“What I say is, at what price? If low interest rates were just that simple of a panacea, we would never have recessions. We would never have these crises, we would never have these panics.” – Carl Icahn

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Ep. 387: Gabriel Weinberg Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Gabriel Weinberg
Gabriel Weinberg

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My guest today is Gabriel Weinberg, the CEO and Founder of DuckDuckGo, a search engine. What sets DuckDuckGo apart from other search engines is the privacy that it guarantees its users. DuckDuckGo promises to never track a user’s clicks, or use previous searchers to aid current results. Since creating it 11 years ago, his engine has reached 30 million searches a day in 2018, up 50% from a year before, and is poised to grow even faster since Google added DuckDuckGo as a default search-engine option in its latest Chrome browser in more than 60 markets in March 2019.

The topic is startup entrepreneur.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Reaching your goal, then setting another
  • Resilience: vital to the entrepreneur
  • Committing to your idea
  • Psychology: the main barrier to success
  • Understanding that it’s okay to fail
  • Enjoy the challenge – or go do something else

“And so if you think of your initial product as a leaky bucket – you know, you pour in customers at the top and customers leak out of the bucket because your product’s not good yet…You need a steady stream of cold customers with fresh eyes to tell you where those leaks are, and if you don’t have that when you launch you’re still gonna have leaks more of the time than not.” – Gabriel Weinberg

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Ep. 386: Expanding Your Thinking with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Expanding Your Thinking with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Expanding Your Thinking with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Subscribe to Trend Following Radio on iTunes

Please enjoy my monologue Expanding Your Thinking with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio:

  • Why embracing uncertainty pays big
  • Trend following: it’s human nature
  • Losses: acceptable when you strategize to cover them
  • The sunk cost fallacy
  • Opening your mind to alternative ways of thinking
  • The mistake of blindly accepting the word of “authorities”

“I remind you there is a new kind of special occupation. I refuse to call it a discipline or a field of study. It’s called futurism. The notion here is that there is a way to study trends and know what the future holds. That would indeed be valuable if it were possible. But it isn’t possible. Futurists don’t know any more about the future than you or I. Read their magazines from a couple years ago and you’ll see an endless parade of error.” – Michael Crichton

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Want to learn more Trend Following? Watch my video here.

Get the foundation to making money in up, down and *surprise markets on the Trend Following mailing list.

Ep. 383: Lawrence McMillan Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Lawrence McMillan
Lawrence McMillan

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My guest today is Lawrence McMillan of McMillan Analysis Corporation, perhaps best known as the author of Options As a Strategic Investment, the best-selling work on stock and index options strategies, which has sold over 300,000 copies. An active trader of his own account, he also manages option-oriented accounts for certain individuals.

The topic is his Market Commentary.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • American vs. European-style options
  • The logic behind VIX
  • Leverage as a tool
  • Understanding puts and calls
  • Long and short selling
  • Examining the subprime mortgage crisis of 2008

“I’m not counting on disaster. I don’t want there to be disaster. I don’t want my house to burn down, but I do want insurance in case it does. That’s our basic strategy.” – Lawrence McMillan

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Ep. 380: Lessons from Ken Tropin with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Ken Tropin
Ken Tropin

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Please enjoy my monologue Lessons from Ken Tropin with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio:

  • Recognizing that without a strategy, you’re at the mercy of the machine
  • Embracing uncertainty
  • Understanding that knowing every market move won’t help without a plan
  • The importance of setting your strategy beforehand
  • Seeing that media personalities are paid to pretend to know all
  • How the principles of trend following apply to other disciplines

“Trend following is one of the most mature and well-established systematic trading styles with a thirty-three year track record of profitability.” – Ken Tropin

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Want to learn more Trend Following? Watch my video here.

Get the foundation to making money in up, down and *surprise markets on the Trend Following mailing list.

Ep. 379: John Casti Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
John Casti
John Casti

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My guest today is John Casti, an internationally-recognized complexity scientist and best-selling popular science author, mathematician, and entrepreneur. He has written more than 120 scientific articles, seven technical monographs and textbooks on mathematical modeling, and sixteen books on popular science. His book, Alternate Realities, was awarded the Association of American Publishers prize. Prey for Me is his first work of fiction.

The topics are his books X-Events: The Collapse of Everything and Mood Matters: From Rising Skirt Lengths to the Collapse of World Powers.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • The fundamentals of socionomics
  • The science of surprise
  • Understanding that social mood is time-dependent
  • How X-events can trigger mood reversals
  • Isolating the collective social belief
  • The mindset of “the crowd”

“So you’re gonna have a lot of small losers. But, hopefully, you have a few homeruns that pay for the losers and leave you something extra for your efforts.” – John Casti

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Ep. 375: Mark Sleeman Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Mark Sleeman
Mark Sleeman

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My guest today is Mark Sleeman, the managing director and founder of M.S. Capital Management Limited (“MS”). Mark lives in Auckland, New Zealand and holds an honours degree in Mechanical Engineering (1985) from Auckland university. With over 30 years of trading and research, Mark has extensive experience in trading system design and implementation. Mark is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and is a member of the National Futures Association, as the principal and associated person of MS.

The topic is Trend Following.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio:

  • The fallacy of “buy low, sell high”
  • The psychology of trading
  • Keeping your losses small
  • The importance of maintaining a life
  • Focusing on the strategy, not the instrument
  • Understanding that patience has to be learned

“You’ve gotta be robust because you’re gonna see good markets and you’re gonna see bad markets. I’ve certainly seen both, and expect to see more of both.” – Mark Sleeman

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