“Ninety percent of financial stress lives in a handful of persistent, unanswered questions. Solving even one of them can shift your entire trajectory. And when we finally clear it, the relief—and the returns—are usually life-changing.”
—Michael Covel

The Illusion of Control in a Chaotic World and the System That Sets You Free

Imagine a world where markets aren’t enemies to conquer, but waves to ride. Where uncertainty isn’t a threat, but the source of your greatest opportunities. Paul Tudor Jones, one of the greatest macro traders alive, once said: “If there was a strategy that I would want to employ right now, if someone put a gun to my head, I’d say simple trend following strategies. They are not too popular today… They will probably do very well in the next 5 to 10 years.”

But trend following isn’t just a strategy—it’s a philosophy. In a world obsessed with prediction, analysis, and “hot tips,” it’s the antifragile mindset that thrives on disorder. Nassim Taleb taught us that black swans—those unpredictable events—destroy the unprepared. Trend followers? They profit from them. This isn’t about getting rich quick; it’s about engineering a life where wealth compounds through discipline, where you evolve from reactive gambler to systematic architect of your future.

Most traders chase illusions: Day-trading adrenaline, fundamental forecasts, or ego-driven predictions. They end up stressed, broke, and chained to screens. You? With trend following, you build a system that simplifies complexity, removes emotion, and delivers absolute returns across bull, bear, and crash markets. It’s the difference between surviving volatility and turning it into generational wealth. Less time trading, more time living—on a beach in Bali or a quiet cabin, laptop optional.

Who This Is For: The Builders, Not the Gamblers

You’re not here for hype. You’re a lifelong learner, a DIY investor tired of buy-and-hold rug pulls, or a professional (RIA, fund manager, broker) seeking an edge that scales. Maybe you’re a college student eyeing financial independence or a retiree refusing to let inflation erode your nest egg. You’ve tried the noise: Candlesticks, Elliott Waves, mean reversion. It left you exhausted.

Trend following is for those who understand markets as complex adaptive systems—unpredictable, driven by human psychology, not logic. You don’t need a PhD or Wall Street pedigree. Just the willingness to model the masters: Ed Seykota, who turned $5,000 into $15 million; Larry Hite, who built a billion-dollar firm; David Harding, whose Winton Capital manages $30B+. They didn’t predict; they reacted. They built systems that endure centuries, from the 1800s cotton trades (see hundreds of years of performance) to today’s crypto booms.

What it demands: Discipline over dopamine. Probability over certainty. If you’re ready to install these mental models, this is your blueprint.

The Core Problem: Why 90% of Traders Fail and How You Won’t

Behavioral finance isn’t theory—it’s reality. Daniel Kahneman‘s Nobel-winning work shows how our brains sabotage us: Loss aversion makes us hold losers too long; confirmation bias blinds us to trends; FOMO drives impulsive buys. Markets exploit these flaws, turning smart people into statistics.

The solution? A system that overrides biology. Trend following measures one truth: Price. Not news, not earnings, not guru tweets. It’s pure signal in a sea of noise. Enter when trends emerge; exit when they bend. Risk a fixed percentage per trade—never more than 1-2% of your capital. Small losses compound into survival; big wins (the “grand slams”) compound into freedom.

Think probabilistically: Like Babe Ruth, Aaron Judge or Shohei Ohtani, you’ll strike out often (60% of trades might lose), but the home runs—capturing 20-50x moves in oil crashes or Bitcoin surges—make you legendary. This isn’t gambling; it’s expected value math. Over 1,000 trades, the edge emerges. Without it, you’re the house’s edge.

Deeper still: Trend following mirrors life. It’s a meta-skill—building systems that adapt to chaos, much like evolving your one-person business or personal brand. Your “value equation”: Massive upside (freedom + wealth) divided by minimal effort (end-of-week checks) equals an irresistible ROI.

One legendary trend follower summed it up: “I’m very uncomfortable with black box trading where I’m dealing with algorithms I don’t understand. Everything we do we could do on the back of an envelope with a pencil.”

The Trend Following System: Your Step-by-Step Evolution

I’ve distilled 25+ years of proprietary research and global interviews with billion-dollar traders into a transparent, executable framework. No black boxes, no secrets—just rules you can scribble on a napkin. Delivered via a secure online platform: Written guides, audio modules, video interviews, and months of my personal coaching (unlimited emails, 24-48 hour responses; no upsells).

Core Components: The Foundation of Your Edge

Classic Trend Following Systems I-III: Timeless entries/exits. Adjustable for risk tolerance—aggressive for 20-30% annual returns, conservative for stability.

Weekly Trend System: My proprietary edge—scan once a day or week, execute, and forget. Perfect for busy professionals; captures multi-month trends without daily noise.

Money Management Module: The real secret. Position sizing formulas, volatility adjustments, portfolio diversification. Learn to pyramid winners and cut losers ruthlessly. Includes a customizable risk plan template.

ETFs & LEAPS Options Modules: Apply trends to liquid assets. Trade S&P 500 ETFs for broad exposure or LEAPS for leveraged asymmetry (upside without full downside).

Case Studies Module: Breakdowns of the strategy. See patterns repeat across eras.

Alternate Entries Module: Advanced tweaks for choppy markets—filters to avoid whipsaws.

Wizard Video Series (1-4): Deep dives into psychology, from overcoming drawdowns to modeling trader legends.

Trading Coach Video 5: Integration—how to blend systems into your life rhythm.

Markets You’ll Master: Universal applicability.

Stocks (AAPL, TSLA), bonds (T-Notes), forex (EUR/USD), crypto (BTC, ETH), commodities (gold, oil, wheat).

• Stocks: S&P 500, Nikkei 225, DAX, AAPL, TSLA, FB, etc.
• Interest Rates: Eurodollar, 10-Year T-Note, Bund, etc.
• Currencies, FX: USD, EUR, JPY, GBP, AUD, CHF, CNY, etc.
• Cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin, Ethereum, etc.
• Metals: Gold, Silver, Copper, etc.
• Energies: Oil, Natural Gas, etc.
• Agriculturals: Wheat, Corn, Soybeans, etc.
• Softs, Meats: Coffee, Sugar, Cotton, Lean Hogs, Feeder Cattle, etc.
• Futures, Commodities, ETFs, LEAPS Options.

No expertise needed—price tells the story. This isn’t tactics; it’s transformation. You’ll internalize mental models: Antifragility (gain from disorder), convexity (limited downside, unlimited upside), and second-order thinking (how trends cascade across assets). You will learn:

• What to trade.
• How much to trade.
• When to enter.
• When to exit a loser.
• When to exit a winner.
• How to balance long and short trades.
• How to scale up winning positions.
• How to adjust for volatility.
• How to stay out of bad markets and trade the best markets.
• How to survive losing streaks and maximize winning streaks.

All systems and training are delivered via a password-protected platform that contains all primary documents and selected audio and video modules. Lifetime access.

Mastery v. Essentials v. Kickstart	$3,997	$2,997	$1,997
Custom coaching	12 months	6 months	3 months
Proprietary library	Yes	–	–
Core systems trading module	Yes	Yes	Yes
Exchange traded funds (ETF) module	Yes	Yes	Yes
LEAPs options module	Yes	Yes	Yes
Money management module	Yes	Yes	–
Case study module	Yes	Yes	–
(3) additional trading systems	Yes	Yes	–
Alternate entries module	Yes	Yes	–
Wizard video: one	Yes	Yes	–
Wizard video: two	Yes	Yes	–
Wizard video: three	Yes	Yes	–
Wizard video: four	Yes	Yes	–
Trading coach video: five	Yes	Yes	–

Your Next Step: Claim the System That Builds Empires

Massive returns: Financial freedom through a proven system.
Modeling: Success is not DNA.
No prediction: Trade with certainty.
Stop market gossip: No stories, no narratives.
Vacation trading: Trade from anywhere, anytime.
End-of-day systems: Eliminate daily stress.
Timeless: Strategy that works regardless of year.
Rock-solid strategy: Structure, not irrational panic.
Fully disclosed: No secrets, no black boxes.
Unique: Market access no one else offers.
Desire is mandatory: Traits of a winning trader.
Robust: Processes built to endure.
Probabilities: Perform like the greats.
No opinion, no ego: Data beats emotion.
No Favorite Stocks: Trade opportunistically.
Embrace disorder: Chaos equals profits.
Behavioral finance: Exploit human nature.
Babe Ruth parallel: Strikeouts, then grand slams.

Total stacked value: Over $25,000 USD. Your investment small (one-time, no subscriptions). Markets won’t wait. Neither should you. Enroll now and start building your edge today. This isn’t a course; it’s your evolution into a trend following master. Freedom awaits.

Authentic Testimonials from Real Transformers

“The way I see it, you have two choices—you can do what I did and work for 30-plus years, cobbling together scraps of information, seeking to create a money-making strategy, or you can spend a few days reading Covel’s book [Trend Following] and skip that three-decade learning curve.”
—Larry Hite, Market Wizard

“I was on the right track at the time, but definitely had a few ‘ah-ha!’ moments upon going through his course. I’m guessing that some of his material probably saved me a year or two. Not to mention the many dozens (literally) of testing ideas generated from all of his subsequent books.”
—Paul Britton

“I have to thank Mike for his in-depth research on this subject and a proven way for traders to make money – simply by following the trends. Mike’s trading system course has made positive contributions to my success in trading and managing my clients’ money.”
—Brendon W., Chicago.

“Trend Following” has changed my life, not only with trading, but also the way I view the world and live my life. If there is anyone who thinks trend following doesn’t work, I am a living, breathing example that it does.”
—Todd M., New Jersey

“What really convinced me to follow this path is I recently met a trader that has been successfully trend trading for over five years using your methods. Thank you for making me aware of the ultimate retirement plan.”
—Mitch C., California

“I consider Mike to be the “Best of the Best”. Mike truly cares about his students and wants us to succeed.”
—Barry N., California.

“In his now numerous books, courses and programs, [Michael] solidly demonstrates trend following is a viable trading and investment strategy; moreover, one that can be learned and mastered.”
—Charles Faulkner, Market Wizard

“I have been asked many times for advice about how to attempt to be a successful trader. My answer: read and apply Covel.”
—Jack Z., New York.

“Michael Covel is a rare breed. He is the only author I have come across who really understands how traders can make money, regularly and consistently over a long period of time. [He] shines a light in this world and is indeed a rare breed. I cannot recommend his work enough.”
—Jad T., Chicago

“Would-be winners will ensure that they study Mike’s teachings and books before stepping onto the playing field. His books ARE required reading here for all our traders, marketers and interns.”
—Christopher Cruden, Insch Capital

“I decided to contact Mike and work with him one on one … I would recommend any trader who is not where they want to be to start with Mike.”
—Steve Burns

More testimonials.

Questions: Email.

 

Risk Disclaimers

Trend Following™ and TurtleTrader® can’t promise you will earn the returns of traders, charts or examples (real or hypothetical) stated. All past performance is not necessarily an indication of future results. Data presented is for educational purposes. Trend Following™ products are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as personalized investment advice. All data on this site is direct from the CFTC, SEC, Yahoo Finance, Google and disclosure documents by managers mentioned herein. Trend Following™ assumes all data to be accurate, but assumes no responsibility for errors, omissions or clerical errors made by sources. Our testimonials are the words of real customers received in real correspondence that have not been paid for their testimonials. Testimonials are sometimes printed under aliases to protect privacy, and edited for length. Claims have not been independently verified or audited for accuracy. We do not know how much money was risked, what portion of their total portfolio was allocated, or their exact positions. We do not claim that the results experienced by such customers are typical and you will likely have different results. Trend Following™ is not registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. This information is not designed to be used as an invitation for investment with any adviser profiled. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Further, Trend Following™ cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Additionally, Trend Following™ in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any security or instrument. In addition, Trend Following™ accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as a basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.