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Author: Michael Covel

“To get the market diversification, the allocations to each market will be too small…”

Posted on by Michael Covel

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Hi Michael,

I have followed your work and listened to your podcasts for many years, and appreciate your knowledge and general commentary. I can see conceptually how trend following can work, as well as philosophically understand it, but my reticence has been that unless you have a fairly substantial asset base to work with, it strikes me that you are either risking almost everything on 1 or two markets, or to get the market diversification, the allocations to each market will be too small. I see how some of these market titans have grown accounts from nothing, but there must be 100’s of others that have blown up their accounts simply by being stopped out of “good” trades. I would appreciate your opinion on that.

Regards,
Tony G.

Trend following is not trading one market alone. Trend following is not betting it all on one market alone or risking too much on one market alone. I add more here on capital. There are many different types of instruments to trade opening up trend following to many.

How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

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• Frequently Asked Questions
• Performance
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Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 1275: Two Months in 2024 with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Episode 1275
Episode 1275

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Please enjoy my monologue Two Months in 2024 with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio.

Listen to this episode:

Want to learn more Trend Following? Watch my video here.

“Every once in a while when I get frustrated at the nonsense I see going on, I go back and listen to…”

Posted on by Michael Covel

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Michael,

Really enjoyed the podcast. Every once in a while when I get frustrated at the nonsense I see going on, I go back and listen to an interview you did with Ed Seykota, where he described what was going on and what was coming. (He wasn’t panicked about it, he was just preparing for it.) I will admit it’s hard to do, especially when I see what is happening to friends and family who are like sheep waiting for Mr/Miss/Gender Neutral person to rescue them.

Anyway, I just wanted to thank you again for your podcasts. So glad I found them at the beginning.

Jim P.

Thanks!

How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

• Trend Following Podcast Guests
• Frequently Asked Questions
• Performance
• Research
• Markets to Trade
• Crisis Times
• Trading Technology
• About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 1274: Doug Greenig Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Doug Greenig
Doug Greenig

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My guest today is Doug Greenig, CEO of Florin Court Capital. He has 29 years of experience in portfolio management and trading. From 2012 to 2014, he was Chief Risk Officer of Man/AHL and also headed the Portfolio Management Group. Doug was jointly responsible (with the CIO) for the evaluation and approval of all investment strategies and trading systems. Prior to AHL, Doug was a Managing Director working as a quantitative portfolio manager at the Fortress Investment Group. From 2001 to 2006, Doug was Head of Agency Mortgage Trading at RBS Greenwich Capital.

The topic is Trend Following.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Diversification
  • Analysis of current global economic risks and trends
  • Systematic macro fund
  • Exotic and unusual markets
  • Complexities of trading diverse markets
  • Systematic approach

Mentions & Resources:

Listen to this episode:

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“I am still trying to find the one that works the best…”

Posted on by Michael Covel

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I mean the trading system. Moving averages and Stochastics. There are many others.

I am still trying to find the one that works the best.

Time frame of a year or so.

Regards,
Adam S.

You need a full system. You are talking about an indicator. You need:

Portfolio: What market do you buy or sell?
Bet Sizing: How much of a market do you trade?
Entry: When do you buy or sell a market?
Exit: When do you exit a losing trade?
Exit: When do you exit a winning trade?

This is trend following.

How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

• Trend Following Podcast Guests
• Frequently Asked Questions
• Performance
• Research
• Markets to Trade
• Crisis Times
• Trading Technology
• About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.

Ep. 1273: Time for Change with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Posted on by Michael Covel
Episode 1273
Episode 1273

Subscribe to Trend Following Radio on iTunes

Please enjoy my monologue Time for Change with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio.

Listen to this episode:

Want to learn more Trend Following? Watch my video here.

“I’m sure they weren’t sitting around calculating ATRs. Likely it was more intuitive…”

Posted on by Michael Covel

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Hi Michael,

Haven’t contacted you in ages, but I do listen to your podcast. You might recall we met up in Saigon a few years ago. I live in Bangkok now.

In a recent interview with Larry Hite, and in one with Salem, they gave examples of taking big bets. Larry risking $500k? to make $3m, or Salem taking options bets on Covid. I’m sure they weren’t sitting around calculating ATRs. Likely it was more intuitive than that. I don’t know of course what % of net worth those bets represented at the time, but they sound like non-rule based bets to me 🙂 So, what’s going on in their heads in these circumstances?

Reason I ask, is I’m in a similar situation with Bitcoin… way longer-term bet tho. If you recall I was telling you about Bitcoin back in 2016-2017, but I’ve been in it deeply since 2014. I’ve only sold enough for living expenses, but now it’s over 75% of my net worth, and has allowed me to get out of the US. But at 75% of net worth I feel like I’m risking my lifestyle now by continuing to hold it so heavily.

Perhaps something you can talk about in a podcast when not doing an interview.

Hope you’re well.

Gene S.

You are buy and hold. I can’t easily persuade you. Why not just have a stop?

How can you move forward immediately to Trend Following profits? My books and my Flagship Course and Systems are trusted options by clients in 70+ countries.

Also jump in:

• Trend Following Podcast Guests
• Frequently Asked Questions
• Performance
• Research
• Markets to Trade
• Crisis Times
• Trading Technology
• About Us

Trend Following is for beginners, students and pros in all countries. This is not day trading 5-minute bars, prediction or analyzing fundamentals–it’s Trend Following.